The interaction between non-technical and technical risks in upstream natural gas project schedule overruns: Evidence from Australia

Extractive Industries and Society - Tập 8 - Trang 100971 - 2021
Munmun Basak1, Vaughan Coffey1, Robert K. Perrons1,2
1Queensland University of Technology, GPO Box 2434, Brisbane, QLD 4001, Australia
2Centre for Strategy and Performance, University of Cambridge, United Kingdom

Tài liệu tham khảo

El-Razek, 2008, Causes of delay in building construction projects in egypt, J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 134, 831, 10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9364(2008)134:11(831)

Accenture. (2015). Ready Or Not? Creating a world-Leading Oil and Gas Industry in Australia. Retrieved from https://www.accenture.com/in-en/_acnmedia/Accenture/Conversion-Assets/DotCom/Documents/Global/PDF/Dualpub_14/Accenture-Australia-LNG-Report.pdf.

Adekoya, 2016, Managing non-technical risk in exploration and production (e&p) projects: opportunity to leverage the ia process, 36th Annu. Confer. Int. Assoc. Impact Assess. (IAIA16), Resilien. Sustain., 11

Ahsan, 2010, Analysis of cost and schedule performance of international development projects, Int. J. Proj. Manage., 28, 68, 10.1016/j.ijproman.2009.03.005

Aibinu, 2006, Construction delays and their causative factors in nigeria, J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 132, 667, 10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9364(2006)132:7(667)

Al-Khalil, 1999, Important causes of delay in public utility projects in saudi arabia, Constr. Manage. Economi., 17, 647, 10.1080/014461999371259

Al-Kharashi, 2009, Causes of delays in saudi arabian public sector construction projects, Constr. Manage. Economi., 27, 3, 10.1080/01446190802541457

Al-Momani, 2000, Construction delay: a quantitative analysis, Int. J. Proj. Manage., 18, 51, 10.1016/S0263-7863(98)00060-X

Anderson, 1988, Structural equation modeling in practice: a review and recommended two-step approach, Psychol. Bull., 103, 411, 10.1037/0033-2909.103.3.411

Arditi, 1985, Reasons for delays in public projects in turkey, Constr. Manage. Econ., 3, 171, 10.1080/01446198500000013

Assaf, 1995, Causes of delay in large building construction projects, J. Manage. Eng., 11, 45, 10.1061/(ASCE)0742-597X(1995)11:2(45)

Azadeh, 2018, An intelligent algorithm for determination and optimization of productivity factors in upstream oil projects, J. Petrol. Sci. Eng., 167, 375, 10.1016/j.petrol.2018.03.099

Aziz, 2013, Ranking of delay factors in construction projects after egyptian revolution, Alexandr. Eng. J., 52, 387, 10.1016/j.aej.2013.03.002

Aziz, 2016, Exploring delay causes of road construction projects in egypt, Alexandr. Eng. J., 55, 1515, 10.1016/j.aej.2016.03.006

Baccarini, 1996, The concept of project complexity—a review, Int. J. Proj. Manage., 14, 201, 10.1016/0263-7863(95)00093-3

Bagozzi, 1982, Representing and testing organizational theories: a holistic construal, Administrat. Sci. Q., 27, 459, 10.2307/2392322

Baker, 1999, Survey of risk management in major u.k. companies, J. Profession. Issu. Eng. Edu. Pract., 125, 94, 10.1061/(ASCE)1052-3928(1999)125:3(94)

Baloi, 2003, Modelling global risk factors affecting construction cost performance, Int. J. Proj. Manage., 21, 261, 10.1016/S0263-7863(02)00017-0

Basak, 2018, Risk factors affecting delays in upstream natural gas mega-projects: an australian perspective, Pap. Present. SPE. Asia Pacif. Oil Gas Confer. Exhibit.

Belcher, 2014

Boomsma, 1983

Boomsma, 2001, The robustness of lisrel modeling revisited, 139

Brown, 2006

Buys, F. (2015). Five Causes of Project Delay and Cost Overrun, and Their Mitigation Measures. Retrieved from https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/five-causes-project-delay-cost-overrun-mitigation-measures-buys.

Byrne, 1998

Cavana, 2001

Chanmeka, 2012, Assessing key factors impacting the performance and productivity of oil and gas projects in alberta, Canadi. J. Civil Eng., 39, 259, 10.1139/l11-128

Chapman, 2006, Key points of contention in framing assumptions for risk and uncertainty management, Int. J. Proj. Manage., 24, 303, 10.1016/j.ijproman.2006.01.006

Choudhry, 2014, Cost and schedule risk analysis of bridge construction in pakistan: establishing risk guidelines, J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 140, 10.1061/(ASCE)CO.1943-7862.0000857

Christian, 1999, Risk assessment in construction schedules, J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 125, 8, 10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9364(1999)125:1(8)

Clews, 2016, Chapter 6 - Upstream oil and gas, 101

Cooper, 1987

Dao, 2016, Identifying and measuring project complexity, Procedia Eng., 145, 476, 10.1016/j.proeng.2016.04.024

de Carvalho, 2015, Project management and its effects on project success: cross-country and cross-industry comparisons, Int. J. Proj. Manage., 33, 1509, 10.1016/j.ijproman.2015.04.004

Dehdasht, 2017, DEMATEL-ANP risk assessment in oil and gas construction projects, Sustain., 9

Dey, 2010, Managing project risk using combined analytic hierarchy process and risk map, Appl. Soft. Comput. J., 10, 990, 10.1016/j.asoc.2010.03.010

Dey, 2012, Project risk management using multiple criteria decision-making technique and decision tree analysis: a case study of Indian oil refinery, Product. Plann. Contr., 23, 903, 10.1080/09537287.2011.586379

Dillman, 2000

Doll, 1995, A confirmatory factor analysis of the user information satisfaction instrument, Info. Syst. Resear., 6, 177, 10.1287/isre.6.2.177

Doloi, H., Sawhney, A., & Iyer, K.C. (2012). Structural equation model for investigating factors affecting delay in indian construction projects. construction management and economics, 30(10), 869–884. doi:10.1080/01446193.2012.717705.

Eriksson, 2007, Modelling procurement effects on cooperation, Constr. Manage. Econ., 25, 893, 10.1080/01446190701468844

Ernst & Young Pty Ltd. (2011). Engineering Procurement and Construction (EPC): Driving Growth Efficiency, New Delhi, India.

EYGM Limited. (2014). Spotlight On Oil and Gas mega Projects. Retrieved from http://www.ey.com/Publication/vwLUAssets/EY-spotlight-on-oil-and-gas-megaprojects/$FILE/EY-spotlight-on-oil-and-gas-megaprojects.pdf.

EYGM Limited. (2015). Joint Ventures For Oil and Gas Megaprojects. Retrieved from https://www.ey.com/Publication/vwLUAssets/ey-joint-ventures-for-oil-and-gas-megaprojects/$FILE/ey-joint-ventures-for-oil-and-gas-megaprojects.pdf.

Fan, 2010, Factors affecting response rates of the web survey: a systematic review, Comput. Hum. Behav., 26, 132, 10.1016/j.chb.2009.10.015

Faridi, 2006, Significant factors causing delay in the uae construction industry, Constr. Manage. Econ., 24, 1167, 10.1080/01446190600827033

Field, 2009

Flanagan, 1993

Flyvbjerg, 2003

Fornell, 1981, Evaluating structural equation models with unobservable variables and measurement error, J. Market. Resear., 18, 39, 10.1177/002224378101800104

Fugar, 2010, Delays in building construction projects in ghana, Australas. J. Constr. Econ. Build., 10, 103, 10.5130/ajceb.v10i1/2.1592

Hair, 2006

Hair, 2010

Hair, 2019

Hu, 1999, Cutoff criteria for fit indexes in covariance structure analysis: conventional criteria versus new alternatives, Structu. Eq. Model.: Multidisciplin. J., 6, 1, 10.1080/10705519909540118

IFoA. (2016). Risk Management Case Study-– Oil and Gas Industry. 1-18. Retrieved from https://www.google.com.au/search?ei=y8QVXKdHxIG9BPDBrsAG&q=RISK+MANAGEMENT+CASE+STUDY%E2%80%93+OIL+AND+GAS+INDUSTRY&oq=RISK+MANAGEMENT+CASE+STUDY%E2%80%93+OIL+AND+GAS+INDUSTRY&gs_l=psy-ab.3..0i22i30l2.19408.19408..21344...0.0..0.382.382.3-1......0....1j2..gws-wiz.cL043o8ruV0.

Jarkas, 2015, Major construction risk factors considered by general contractors in qatar, J. Eng., Desi. Technol., 13, 165, 10.1108/JEDT-03-2014-0012

Jick, 1979, Mixing qualitative and quantitative methods: triangulation in action, Administrat. Sci. Q., 24, 602, 10.2307/2392366

Joreskog, 1996

Kadry, 2017, Causes of construction delays in countries with high geopolitical risks, J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 143, 10.1061/(ASCE)CO.1943-7862.0001222

Kaming, 1997, Factors influencing construction time and cost overruns on high-rise projects in indonesia, Constr. Manage. Econ., 15, 83, 10.1080/014461997373132

Kaynak, 2005, Exploring quality management practices and high tech firm performance, J. High Technol. Manage. Resear., 16, 255, 10.1016/j.hitech.2005.10.002

Kazaz, 2012, Causes of delays in construction projects in turkey, J. Civil Eng. Manage., 18, 426, 10.3846/13923730.2012.698913

Khodeir, 2014, Identifying the latest risk probabilities affecting construction projects in egypt according to political and economic variables, HBRC. J., 11, 129, 10.1016/j.hbrcj.2014.03.007

Kim, 2012, Relationship between quality management practices and innovation, J. Operat. Manage., 30, 295, 10.1016/j.jom.2012.02.003

Kline, 2011

Koehn, 1993, Infrastructure construction: effect of social and environmental regulations, J. Profession. Issu. Eng. Edu. Pract., 119, 284, 10.1061/(ASCE)1052-3928(1993)119:3(284)

Krejcie, 1970, Determining sample size for research activities, Edu. Psychol. Measure., 30, 607, 10.1177/001316447003000308

Kumaraswamy, 1998, Contributors to construction delays, Constr. Manage. Econ., 16, 17, 10.1080/014461998372556

Lo, 2006, Construction delays in hong kong civil engineering projects, J Constr. Eng. Manage., 132, 636, 10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9364(2006)132:6(636)

Loehlin, 1998

Luke, 2017, Social resistance to coal seam gas development in the northern rivers region of eastern australia: proposing a diamond model of social license to operate, Land Use Policy, 69, 266, 10.1016/j.landusepol.2017.09.006

Luke, 2019, All dressed up with nowhere to go’: navigating the coal seam gas boom in the western downs region of queensland, Extract. Industr. Societ., 6, 1350, 10.1016/j.exis.2019.11.003

Mahamid, 2012, Causes of delay in road construction projects, J. Manage. Eng., 28, 300, 10.1061/(ASCE)ME.1943-5479.0000096

Mainul Islam, 2005, Structural equation model of project planning effectiveness, Constr. Manage. Econ., 23, 215, 10.1080/0144619042000301384

Marsh, 1985, Application of confirmatory factor analysis to the study of self-concept. first- and higher order factor models and their invariance across groups, Psychol. Bull., 97, 562, 10.1037/0033-2909.97.3.562

Martin, 2007, Is project management: size, practices and the project management office12, J. Computer Info. Syst., 47, 52

McCaffer, 1998, Factors of non-excusable delays that influence contractors' performance, J. Manage. Eng., 14, 42, 10.1061/(ASCE)0742-597X(1998)14:3(42)

McCord, 2015, Understanding delays in housing construction: evidence from northern ireland, J. Financi. Manage. Propert. Constr., 20, 286, 10.1108/JFMPC-07-2015-0028

Merrow, 1988

Merrow, 2011

Merrow, 2012, Oil and gas industry megaprojects: our recent track record, Oil Gas Faciliti., 1, 38, 10.2118/153695-PA

Mihm, 2003, Problem-solving oscillations in complex engineering projects, Manage. Sci., 49, 733, 10.1287/mnsc.49.6.733.16021

Miles, 1979, Qualitative data as an attractive nuisance: the problem of analysis, Administrat. Sci. Q., 24, 590, 10.2307/2392365

Mills, 2001, A systematic approach to risk management for construction, Structur. Surv., 19, 245, 10.1108/02630800110412615

Naimi, 2008, Delay and its consequences in construction of Iranian petrochemical plants, Int. Confer. Multi-national Constr. Proj.

Odeh, 2002, Causes of construction delay: traditional contracts, Int. J. Proj. Manage., 20, 67, 10.1016/S0263-7863(00)00037-5

Ogunlana, 1996, Construction delays in a fast-growing economy: comparing thailand with other economies, Int. J. Proj. Manage., 14, 37, 10.1016/0263-7863(95)00052-6

Olaniran, 2017, Chaos theory: implications for cost overrun research in hydrocarbon megaprojects, J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 143, 10.1061/(ASCE)CO.1943-7862.0001227

Ou, 2008, Using structural equation modeling to analyze relationships among key causes of delay in construction, Canadi. J. Civil Eng., 35, 321, 10.1139/L07-101

Perera, 2009, Risk management in road construction: the case of sri lanka, Int. J. Strat. Propert. Manage., 13, 87, 10.3846/1648-715X.2009.13.87-102

Perry, 1985, Risk and its management in construction projects, Proceed. Institut. Civil Engin., 78, 499, 10.1680/iicep.1985.859

Pham, 2014, Schedule delays in engineering, procurement, and construction petrochemical projects in vietnam: a qualitative research study, Int. J. Energ. Sect. Manage., 8, 3, 10.1108/IJESM-06-2013-0009

Pinto, 1996, How to fail in project management (without really trying), Bus. Horiz., 39, 45, 10.1016/S0007-6813(96)90051-8

2017

PwC. (2014a). Large Capital Projects in the Oil and Gas sector, Keys to Successful Project Delivery. Retrieved from https://www.strategyand.pwc.com/gx/en/reports/large-capital-projects-in-the-oil-and-gas-sector.pdf.

PwC. (2014b). The Progression of an LNG Project. Retrieved from https://www.pwc.com/gx/en/mining/publications/assets/pwc-lng-progression-canada.pdf.

Qureshi, 2015, Analysing the organizational factors of project complexity using structural equation modelling, Int. J. Proj. Manage., 33, 165, 10.1016/j.ijproman.2014.04.006

Reio, 2015, Exploratory factor analysis: implications for theory, research, and practice, Adv. Developi. Hum Res., 17, 12, 10.1177/1523422314559804

Rostand, 2012

Ruqaishi, 2015, Causes of delay in construction projects in the oil and gas industry in the gulf cooperation council countries: a case study, J. Manage. Eng., 31, 10.1061/(ASCE)ME.1943-5479.0000248

Sambasivan, 2007, Causes and effects of delays in malaysian construction industry, Int. J. Proj. Manage., 25, 517, 10.1016/j.ijproman.2006.11.007

Sauer, 2007, The impact of size and volatility on it project performance, Commun. ACM., 50, 79, 10.1145/1297797.1297801

Saunders, 2009

Schroeder, 2007, Why traditional risk management fails in the oil and gas sector: empirical front-line evidence and effective solutions, AACE. Int. Transact.

Shen, 2001, Risk assessment for construction joint ventures in china, J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 127, 76, 10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9364(2001)127:1(76)

Svenja, 2004, Selectionism and learning in projects with complexity and unforeseeable uncertainty, Manage. Sci., 50, 1334, 10.1287/mnsc.1040.0274

Sweis, 2008, Delays in construction projects: the case of jordan, Int. J. Proj. Manage., 26, 665, 10.1016/j.ijproman.2007.09.009

Tabachnick, 2007

Tah, 2000, A proposal for construction project risk assessment using fuzzy logic, Constr. Manage. Econ., 18, 491, 10.1080/01446190050024905

Tah, 1993, Contractor project risks contingency allocation using linguistic approximation, Comput. Syst. Eng., 4, 281, 10.1016/0956-0521(93)90052-X

Tenenhaus, 2008, Component-based structural equation modelling, Tot. Qualit. Manage., 19, 871, 10.1080/14783360802159543

Thoumy, 2012, Environmental projects and financial performance: exploring the impact of project characteristics, Int. J. Product. Econ., 140, 28, 10.1016/j.ijpe.2012.01.014

Vinodh, 2012, Structural equation modelling of lean manufacturing practices, Int. J. Product. Resear., 50, 1598, 10.1080/00207543.2011.560203

Vu, 2017, Risk analysis of schedule delays in international highway projects in vietnam using a structural equation model, Eng., Constr. Architectur. Manage., 24, 1018, 10.1108/ECAM-06-2016-0138

Wagner, 2010, Managing environmental and social risks in international oil and gas projects: perspectives on compliance, J. World Energ. Law Busi., 3, 140, 10.1093/jwelb/jwq002

Ahmad, 2016, The influence of external factors on supply chain sustainability goals of the oil and gas industry, Res. Polic., 49, 302, 10.1016/j.resourpol.2016.06.006

Wang, 2017, System dynamics approach for investigating the risk effects on schedule delay in infrastructure projects, J. Manage. Eng., 33, 10.1061/(ASCE)ME.1943-5479.0000472

Webb, 2003

Westney, 2008

Whitfield, 2015, Managing nontechnical risk in offshore projects, Oil Gas Facilit., 4, 16, 10.2118/1015-016-OGF

Williams, 2002

Wong, 2005, Structural equation model of trust and partnering success, J. Manage. Eng., 21, 70, 10.1061/(ASCE)0742-597X(2005)21:2(70)

Zou, 2007, Understanding the key risks in construction projects in china, Int. J. Proj. Manage., 25, 601, 10.1016/j.ijproman.2007.03.001