Springer Science and Business Media LLC
0165-0009
Cơ quản chủ quản: N/A
Lĩnh vực:
Phân tích ảnh hưởng
Thông tin về tạp chí
Các bài báo tiêu biểu
The feasibility of low CO2 concentration targets and the role of bio-energy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS)
Tập 100 Số 1 - Trang 195-202 - 2010
Getting from here to there – energy technology transformation pathways in the EMF27 scenarios
Tập 123 Số 3-4 - Trang 369-382 - 2014
Global fossil energy markets and climate change mitigation – an analysis with REMIND
Tập 136 Số 1 - Trang 69-82 - 2016
Will economic growth and fossil fuel scarcity help or hinder climate stabilization?
Tập 136 Số 1 - Trang 7-22 - 2016
Fossil resource and energy security dynamics in conventional and carbon-constrained worlds
Tập 123 Số 3-4 - Trang 413-426 - 2014
RCP 8.5—A scenario of comparatively high greenhouse gas emissions
Tập 109 Số 1-2 - Trang 33-57 - 2011
Trends and climate evolution: Statistical approach for very high temperatures in France
Tập 81 Số 3-4 - Trang 331-352 - 2007
Canopy Structure Parameters Derived from Multi-Angular Remote Sensing Data for Terrestrial Carbon Studies
Tập 67 Số 2-3 - Trang 403-415 - 2004
The future of the past—an earth system framework for high resolution paleoclimatology: editorial essay
Tập 94 Số 3-4 - Trang 247-259 - 2009
Unravelling the effect of climate change on fire danger and fire behaviour in the Transboundary Biosphere Reserve of Meseta Ibérica (Portugal-Spain) Abstract
The impacts of wildfires are increasing in the Mediterranean Basin due to more extreme fire seasons featuring increasingly fast and high-intensity fires, which often overwhelm the response capacity of fire suppression forces. Fire behaviour is expected to become even more severe due to climate change. In this study, we quantified the effect of climate change on fire danger (components of the Canadian FWI System) and wildfire behaviour characteristics (rate of spread and fireline intensity) for the four major Mediterranean forest ecosystems located in the Transboundary Biosphere Reserve of Meseta Ibérica under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios. The effect of climate change on wildfire behaviour was supplemented by taking into account net primary production (NPP), hence fuel load. Our results show that the meteorological fire season will start earlier and end later, leading to a significant increase in the number of days with weather conditions that promote high-intensity wildfires, for both climate scenarios. Fuel type shapes how wildfire spread characteristics will unfold. The most relevant changes are projected to occur in pine forests, where a wildfire with median fireline intensity will offer serious resistance to control from spring to autumn. The severity of fire behaviour in shrublands also increases substantially when considering climate change, with high-intensity wildfires potentially occurring in any time of the year. Both deciduous and evergreen broadleaf forests are predicted to typically generate wildfires with low enough intensity to remain within suppression capability. By adjusting fuel load to future climate conditions, our results highlight that fireline intensity in deciduous and evergreen broadleaf forests may not increase during summer, and can even be significantly reduced in shrublands. This study suggests that improved fire planning and management of wildfire-prone landscapes will counteract the effect of climate change on fire behaviour and impacts.
Tập 173 Số 1-2 - 2022