Springer Science and Business Media LLC

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The feasibility of low CO2 concentration targets and the role of bio-energy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS)
Springer Science and Business Media LLC - Tập 100 Số 1 - Trang 195-202 - 2010
Christian Azar, Kristian Lindgren, Michael Obersteiner, Keywan Riahi, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Michel den Elzen, Kenneth Möllersten, Eric D. Larson
Getting from here to there – energy technology transformation pathways in the EMF27 scenarios
Springer Science and Business Media LLC - Tập 123 Số 3-4 - Trang 369-382 - 2014
Volker Krey, Gunnar Luderer, Leon E. Clarke, Elmar Kriegler
Global fossil energy markets and climate change mitigation – an analysis with REMIND
Springer Science and Business Media LLC - Tập 136 Số 1 - Trang 69-82 - 2016
Nico Bauer, Ioanna Mouratiadou, Gunnar Luderer, Lavinia Baumstark, Robert J. Brecha, Ottmar Edenhofer, Elmar Kriegler
Will economic growth and fossil fuel scarcity help or hinder climate stabilization?
Springer Science and Business Media LLC - Tập 136 Số 1 - Trang 7-22 - 2016
Elmar Kriegler, Ioanna Mouratiadou, Gunnar Luderer, Nico Bauer, Robert J. Brecha, Katherine Calvin, Enrica De Cian, Jae Edmonds, Kejun Jiang, Massimo Tavoni, Ottmar Edenhofer
Fossil resource and energy security dynamics in conventional and carbon-constrained worlds
Springer Science and Business Media LLC - Tập 123 Số 3-4 - Trang 413-426 - 2014
David McCollum, Nico Bauer, Katherine Calvin, Alban Kitous, Keywan Riahi
RCP 8.5—A scenario of comparatively high greenhouse gas emissions
Springer Science and Business Media LLC - Tập 109 Số 1-2 - Trang 33-57 - 2011
Keywan Riahi, Shilpa Rao, Volker Krey, Cheolhung Cho, V. Chirkov, G. Fischer, Georg Kindermann, Nebojša Nakićenović, Peter Rafaj
Trends and climate evolution: Statistical approach for very high temperatures in France
Springer Science and Business Media LLC - Tập 81 Số 3-4 - Trang 331-352 - 2007
Sylvie Parey, F. Malek, Carine Laurent, Didier Dacunha‐Castelle
Canopy Structure Parameters Derived from Multi-Angular Remote Sensing Data for Terrestrial Carbon Studies
Springer Science and Business Media LLC - Tập 67 Số 2-3 - Trang 403-415 - 2004
Jean‐Luc Widlowski, B. Pinty, Nadine Gobron, Michel M. Verstraete, David J. Diner, Anthony B. Davis
The future of the past—an earth system framework for high resolution paleoclimatology: editorial essay
Springer Science and Business Media LLC - Tập 94 Số 3-4 - Trang 247-259 - 2009
Malcolm K. Hughes, Caspar M. Ammann
Unravelling the effect of climate change on fire danger and fire behaviour in the Transboundary Biosphere Reserve of Meseta Ibérica (Portugal-Spain)
Springer Science and Business Media LLC - Tập 173 Số 1-2 - 2022
Bruno A. Aparício, João A. Santos, Teresa R. Freitas, Ana C. L. Sá, José M. C. Pereira, Paulo M. Fernandes
Abstract The impacts of wildfires are increasing in the Mediterranean Basin due to more extreme fire seasons featuring increasingly fast and high-intensity fires, which often overwhelm the response capacity of fire suppression forces. Fire behaviour is expected to become even more severe due to climate change. In this study, we quantified the effect of climate change on fire danger (components of the Canadian FWI System) and wildfire behaviour characteristics (rate of spread and fireline intensity) for the four major Mediterranean forest ecosystems located in the Transboundary Biosphere Reserve of Meseta Ibérica under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios. The effect of climate change on wildfire behaviour was supplemented by taking into account net primary production (NPP), hence fuel load. Our results show that the meteorological fire season will start earlier and end later, leading to a significant increase in the number of days with weather conditions that promote high-intensity wildfires, for both climate scenarios. Fuel type shapes how wildfire spread characteristics will unfold. The most relevant changes are projected to occur in pine forests, where a wildfire with median fireline intensity will offer serious resistance to control from spring to autumn. The severity of fire behaviour in shrublands also increases substantially when considering climate change, with high-intensity wildfires potentially occurring in any time of the year. Both deciduous and evergreen broadleaf forests are predicted to typically generate wildfires with low enough intensity to remain within suppression capability. By adjusting fuel load to future climate conditions, our results highlight that fireline intensity in deciduous and evergreen broadleaf forests may not increase during summer, and can even be significantly reduced in shrublands. This study suggests that improved fire planning and management of wildfire-prone landscapes will counteract the effect of climate change on fire behaviour and impacts.
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