The implications of the United Nations Paris Agreement on climate change for globally significant biodiversity areas
Tóm tắt
Từ khóa
Tài liệu tham khảo
Bateman BL, Murphy HT, Reside AE, Mokany K, VanDerWal J (2013) Appropriateness of full-, partial- and no-dispersal scenarios in climate change impact modelling. Divers Distrib 19:1224–1234
Bauerfeind SS, Fisher K (2014) Simulating climate change: temperature extremes but not means diminish performance in a widespread butterfly. Popul Ecol 56:239–250
Beaumont LJ, Pitman A, Perkins S, Zimmermann NE, Yoccoa NG, Thuiller W (2011) Impacts of climate change on the world’s most exceptional ecoregions. PNAS 108:2306–2311
Bernie D, Lowe J (2014) Future temperature responses based on IPCC and other existing emissions scenarios. AVOID2 WPA.1 Report 1. Available at www.avoid.uk.net
Chen IC, Hill JK, Ohlemuller R, Roy DB, Thomas CD (2011) Rapid range shifts of species associated with high levels of climate warming. Science 333:1024–1026
Collins M, Knutti R, Arblaster J et al (2013) Long-term climate change: projections, commitments and irreversibility. In: Stocker TF, Qin D, Plattner G-K et al (eds) Climate change 2013: the physical science basis. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp 1029–1136
Cramer W, Yohe GW, Auffhammer M et al (2014) Detection and attribution of observed impacts. In: Field CB, Barros VR, Dokken DJ et al (eds) Climate change 2014: impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp 979–1037
DeVictor V, van Swaay C, Brereton T, Brotons L, Chamberlain D, Heliola J, Herrando S, Julliard R, Kuussaari M, Lindstrom A, Reif J, Roy DB, Schweiger O, Settele J, Stefanescu C, Van Strien A, Van Turnhout C, Vermouzek Z, Wallis M, DeVries I, Wynhoff I, Jiguet F (2012) Differences in the climatic debts of birds and butterflies at a continental scale. Nat Clim Chang 2:121–124
Fischlin A, Midgley GF, Price JT et al (2007) In: Parry ML, Canziani OF, Palutikof JP, van der Linden PJ, Hanson CE (eds) IPCC climate change 2007: impacts, adaptation and vulnerability. Cambridge Univ. Press, Cambridge, pp 211–272
Foden WB, Butchart SH, Stuart SN, Vié J-C, Akçakaya HR, Angulo A et al (2013) Identifying the world's most climate change vulnerable species: a systematic trait-based assessment of all birds, amphibians and corals. PLoS One 8(6):e65427
Krawchuk MA, Moritz MA, Parisien MA, Van Dorn J, Hayhoe K (2009) Global pyrogeography: the current and future distribution of wildfire. PLoS One 4:e5102
Lu J, Vecchi GA, Reichler T (2007) Expansion of the Hadley cell under global warming. Geophys Res Lett 34:L06805
McDermott-Long O, Warren R, Price J, Brereton TM, Botham MS, Franco AMA (2016) Sensitivity of UK butterflies to local climatic extremes: which life stages are most at risk? J Anim Ecol 86:108–116
Moss RH et al (2010) The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment. Nature 463:747–756. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature08823
O’Neill B, Oppenheimer M, Warren R et al (2017) Key risks of climate change: the IPCC reasons for concern. Nat Clim Chang 7(1):28–37
Oliver TJ, Marshall HH, Morecroft MD, Brereton T, Prudhomme C, Huntingford C (2015) Interacting effects of climate change and habitat fragmentation on drought-sensitive butterflies. Nat Clim Chang 5:1–6
Olson DM, Dinerstein E (2002) The global 200: priority ecoregions for global conservation. Ann Mo Bot Gard 89:199–224
Oppenheimer M, Campos M, Warren R et al (2014) Emergent risks and key vulnerabilities. In: Field CB, Barros VR, Dokken DJ et al (eds) Climate change 2014: impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp 1039–1099
Osborn TJ et al (2016) Pattern-scaling using ClimGen: monthly-resolution future climate scenarios including changes in the variability of precipitation. Clim Chang 134:353–369
Parmesan C (2007) Influences of species, latitudes and methodologies on estimates of phenological response to global warming. Glob Chang Biol 13:1860–1872
Phillips SJ, Dudik M (2008) Modelling of species distributions with MaxEnt: new extensions and a comprehensive evaluation. Ecography 31:161–175
Post E (2013) Ecology of climate change: the importance of biotic interactions. Princeton University Press, USA ISBN: 9780691148472
Rogelj J, den Elzen M, Hohne N, Fransen T, Fekete H, Schaeffer R, Sha F, Riahi K, Meinhausen M (2016) Paris Agreement climate proposals need a boost to keep warming well below 2 °C. Nat Clim Chang 534:631–639
Root TL, Price JT, Hall KR, Schneider SH, Rosenzweig C, Pounds JA (2003) Fingerprints of global warming on wild animals and plants. Nature 42:57–60
Settele J, Scholes R, Betts R et al (2014) In: Field CB, Barros VR, Dokken DJ et al (eds) Climate change 2014: impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp 271–359
University of East Anglia (UEA) Climatic Research Unit, Harris IC, Jones PD (2014) CRU TS3.22: Climatic Research Unit (CRU) Time-Series (TS) version 3.22 of high resolution gridded data of month-by-month variation in climate (Jan. 1901–Dec. 2013). NCAS British Atmospheric Data Centre, 24 September 2014. https://doi.org/10.5285/18BE23F8-D252-482D-8AF9-5D6A2D40990C
Warren R, VanDerWal J, Price J, Welbergen JA, Atkinson I, Ramirez-Villegas J, Osborn TJ, Jarvis A, Shoo LP, Williams SE, Lowe J (2013) Quantifying the benefit of early mitigation in avoiding biodiversity loss. Nat Clim Chang 3:678–682
Welbergen J, Klose SM, Markus N, Eby P (2008) Climate change and the effects of temperature extremes on Australian flying foxes. Proc Roy Soc B 275:419–425
Williams JW, Jackson ST (2007) Novel climates, no-analog communities, and ecological surprises. Front Ecol Environ 5(9):475–482
Yesson C, Brewer PW, Sutton T, Caithness N, Pahwa JS et al (2007) How global is the global biodiversity information facility? PLoS One 2(11):e1124