Weather and Forecasting
SCIE-ISI SCOPUS (1992-2023)
1520-0434
0882-8156
Mỹ
Cơ quản chủ quản: American Meteorological Society , AMER METEOROLOGICAL SOC
Lĩnh vực:
Atmospheric Science
Các bài báo tiêu biểu
Further Improvements to the Statistical Hurricane Intensity Prediction Scheme (SHIPS)Abstract
Modifications to the Atlantic and east Pacific versions of the operational Statistical Hurricane Intensity Prediction Scheme (SHIPS) for each year from 1997 to 2003 are described. Major changes include the addition of a method to account for the storm decay over land in 2000, the extension of the forecasts from 3 to 5 days in 2001, and the u... ...
Tập 20 Số 4 - Trang 531-543 - 2005
Revision of Convection and Vertical Diffusion Schemes in the NCEP Global Forecast SystemAbstract
A new physics package containing revised convection and planetary boundary layer (PBL) schemes in the National Centers for Environmental Prediction’s Global Forecast System is described. The shallow convection (SC) scheme in the revision employs a mass flux parameterization replacing the old turbulent diffusion-based approach. For deep conve... ...
Tập 26 Số 4 - Trang 520-533 - 2011
Intercomparison of Spatial Forecast Verification MethodsAbstract
Advancements in weather forecast models and their enhanced resolution have led to substantially improved and more realistic-appearing forecasts for some variables. However, traditional verification scores often indicate poor performance because of the increased small-scale variability so that the true quality of the forecasts is not always c... ...
Tập 24 Số 5 - Trang 1416-1430 - 2009
A Review of Planetary Boundary Layer Parameterization Schemes and Their Sensitivity in Simulating Southeastern U.S. Cold Season Severe Weather EnvironmentsAbstract The representation of turbulent mixing within the lower troposphere is needed to accurately portray the vertical thermodynamic and kinematic profiles of the atmosphere in mesoscale model forecasts. For mesoscale models, turbulence is mostly a subgrid-scale process, but its presence in the planetary boundary layer (PBL) can directly modulate a simulation’s d... ...
Tập 30 Số 3 - Trang 591-612 - 2015
Forecast and Tracking the Evolution of Cloud Clusters (ForTraCC) Using Satellite Infrared Imagery: Methodology and ValidationAbstract
The purpose of this study is to develop and validate an algorithm for tracking and forecasting radiative and morphological characteristics of mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) through their entire life cycles using geostationary satellite thermal channel information (10.8 μm). The main features of this system are the following: 1) a cloud ... ...
Tập 23 Số 2 - Trang 233-245 - 2008
Application of Object-Based Time-Domain Diagnostics for Tracking Precipitation Systems in Convection-Allowing ModelsAbstract
Meaningful verification and evaluation of convection-allowing models requires approaches that do not rely on point-to-point matches of forecast and observed fields. In this study, one such approach—a beta version of the Method for Object-Based Diagnostic Evaluation (MODE) that incorporates the time dimension [known as MODE time-domain (MODE-... ...
Tập 29 Số 3 - Trang 517-542 - 2014
The Brazilian Global Atmospheric Model (BAM): Performance for Tropical Rainfall Forecasting and Sensitivity to Convective Scheme and Horizontal ResolutionAbstract
This article describes the main features of the Brazilian Global Atmospheric Model (BAM), analyses of its performance for tropical rainfall forecasting, and its sensitivity to convective scheme and horizontal resolution. BAM is the new global atmospheric model of the Center for Weather Forecasting and Climate Research [Centro de Previsão de ... ...
Tập 31 Số 5 - Trang 1547-1572 - 2016
Discrimination of Mesoscale Convective System Environments Using Sounding ObservationsAbstract
The prediction of the strength of mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) is a major concern to operational meteorologists and the public. To address this forecast problem, this study examines meteorological variables derived from sounding observations taken in the environment of quasi-linear MCSs. A set of 186 soundings that sampled the beginni... ...
Tập 22 Số 5 - Trang 1045-1062 - 2007
GPS Dropwindsonde and WSR-88D Observations of Tropical Cyclone Vertical Wind Profiles and Their CharacteristicsAbstract
The characteristics of tropical cyclone vertical wind profiles and their associated wind speed peaks below 1.5 km were examined through the use of a large number of GPS dropwindsondes (GPS sondes) and radar-derived velocity–azimuth display (VAD) profiles. Composite wind profiles were generated to document the mean structure of tropical cyclo... ...
Tập 28 Số 1 - Trang 77-99 - 2013
Extreme Rainstorms that Caused Devastating Flooding across the East Coast of Peninsular Malaysia during November and December 2014Abstract
During the early boreal winter (northeast) monsoon (November–December), cold air frequently bursts out from intense Siberian highs toward the Chinese coast in response to the development and movement of a 500-hPa trough. The resultant strong low-level northwesterlies turn into northeasterlies across the South China Sea as “cold surges.” On i... ...
Tập 32 Số 3 - Trang 849-872 - 2017