Markov Models in Medical Decision Making Tập 13 Số 4 - Trang 322-338 - 1993
Frank A. Sonnenberg, J. Robert Beck
Markov models are useful when a decision problem involves risk that is continuous over time, when the timing of events is important, and when important events may happen more than once. Representing such clinical settings with conventional decision trees is difficult and may require unrealistic simplifying assumptions. Markov models assume that a patient is always in one of a finite numbe...... hiện toàn bộ The Markov Process in Medical Prognosis Tập 3 Số 4 - Trang 419-458 - 1983
J. Robert Beck, Stephen G. Pauker
The physician's estimate of prognosis under alternative treatment plans is a principal factor in therapeutic decision making. Current methods of reporting prognosis, which include five-year survivals, survival curves, and quality-adjusted life expec tancy, are crude estimates of natural history. In this paper we describe a general- purpose model of medical prognosis based on the Markov pro...... hiện toàn bộ Willingness to Pay for a Quality-adjusted Life Year Tập 20 Số 3 - Trang 332-342 - 2000
Richard A. Hirth, Michael E. Chernew, Edward L. Miller, A. Mark Fendrick, William G. Weissert
Cost-benefit analysis (CBA) provides a clear decision rule: undertake an intervention if the monetary value of its benefits exceed its costs. However, due to a reluctance to characterize health benefits in monetary terms, users of cost-utility and cost-effectiveness analyses must rely on arbitrary standards (e.g., < $50,000 per QALY) to deem a program "cost-effective." Moreover, there i...... hiện toàn bộ Measuring Numeracy without a Math Test: Development of the Subjective Numeracy Scale Tập 27 Số 5 - Trang 672-680 - 2007
Angela Fagerlin, Brian J. Zikmund‐Fisher, Peter A. Ubel, Aleksandra Janković, Holly A. Derry, Dylan Smith
Background. Basic numeracy skills are necessary before patients can understand the risks of medical treatments. Previous research has used objective measures, similar to mathematics tests, to evaluate numeracy. Objectives. To design a subjective measure (i.e., self-assessment) of quantitative ability that distinguishes low- and high-numerate individuals yet is less aversive, quicker to ad...... hiện toàn bộ Analyzing a Portion of the ROC Curve Tập 9 Số 3 - Trang 190-195 - 1989
Donna K. McClish
The area under the ROC curve is a common index summarizing the information contained in the curve. When comparing two ROC curves, though, problems arise when interest does not lie in the entire range of false-positive rates (and hence the entire area). Numerical integration is suggested for evaluating the area under a portion of the ROC curve. Variance estimates are derived. The method is...... hiện toàn bộ Model Transparency and Validation Tập 32 Số 5 - Trang 733-743 - 2012
David M. Eddy, William Hollingworth, J. Jaime, Joel Tsevat, Kathryn M McDonald, John B. Wong
Trust and confidence are critical to the success of health care models. There are two main methods for achieving this: transparency (people can see how the model is built) and validation (how well it reproduces reality). This report describes recommendations for achieving transparency and validation, developed by a task force appointed by the International Society for Pharmacoeconomics an...... hiện toàn bộ A Reasoned Action Approach to Health Promotion Tập 28 Số 6 - Trang 834-844 - 2008
Martin Fishbein
This article describes the integrative model of behavioral prediction (IM), the latest formulation of a reasoned action approach. The IM attempts to identify a limited set of variables that can account for a considerable proportion of the variance in any given behavior. More specifically, consistent with the original theory of reasoned action, the IM assumes that intentions are the immedi...... hiện toàn bộ Quality-adjusted Life Years, Utility Theory, and Healthy-years Equivalents Tập 9 Số 2 - Trang 142-149 - 1989
Abraham Mehrez, Amiram Gafni
Decisions about medical treatments and the settings of health programs are not purely technical, but also involve issues of value such as the evaluation of trade-offs between quality of life (morbidity) and quantity of life (mortality). The most commonly used measure of outcome in such cases is the quality-adjusted life year (QALY). The authors show that QALYs, being a health status index...... hiện toàn bộ Willingness to Pay Tập 14 Số 3 - Trang 289-297 - 1994
Bernie J. OʼBrien, Jose Luis Viramontes
The development of methods to measure willingness to pay (WTP) has renewed interest in cost-benefit analysis (CBA) for the economic evaluation of health care programs. The authors studied the construct validity and test-retest reliability of WTP as a measure of health state preferences in a survey of 102 persons (mean age 62 years; 54% male) who had chronic lung disease (forced expiratory...... hiện toàn bộ