At the macroeconomic level, the movement of the stock market index, which is determined by the moves of other stock market indices around the world or in that region, is one of the primary factors in assessing the global economic and financial situation, making it a critical topic to monitor over time. As a result, the potential to reliably forecast the future value of stock market indices by taking trade relationships into account is critical. The aim of the research is to create a time‐series data forecasting model that incorporates the best features of many time‐series data analysis models. The hybrid ensemble model built in this study is made up of two main components, each with its own set of functions derived from the CNN and LSTM models. For multiple parallel financial time‐series estimation, the proposed model is called multivariate CNN‐LSTM. The effectiveness of the evolved ensemble model during the COVID‐19 pandemic was tested using regular stock market indices from four Asian stock markets: Shanghai, Japan, Singapore, and Indonesia. In contrast to CNN and LSTM, the experimental results show that multivariate CNN‐LSTM has the highest statistical accuracy and reliability (smallest RMSE value). This finding supports the use of multivariate CNN‐LSTM to forecast the value of different stock market indices and that it is a viable choice for research involving the development of models for the study of financial time‐series prediction.
Yuting Bai, Xue‐Bo Jin, Xiaoyi Wang, Tingli Su, Jianlei Kong, Yutian Lu
The prediction information has effects on the emergency prevention and advanced control in various complex systems. There are obvious nonlinear, nonstationary, and complicated characteristics in the time series. Moreover, multiple variables in the time‐series impact on each other to make the prediction more difficult. Then, a solution of time‐series prediction for the multivariate was explored in this paper. Firstly, a compound neural network framework was designed with the primary and auxiliary networks. The framework attempted to extract the change features of the time series as well as the interactive relation of multiple related variables. Secondly, the structures of the primary and auxiliary networks were studied based on the nonlinear autoregressive model. The learning method was also introduced to obtain the available models. Thirdly, the prediction algorithm was concluded for the time series with multiple variables. Finally, the experiments on environment‐monitoring data were conducted to verify the methods. The results prove that the proposed method can obtain the accurate prediction value in the short term.
Many human manipulation skills are force relevant, such as opening a bottle cap and assembling furniture. However, it is still a difficult task to endow a robot with these skills, which largely is due to the complexity of the representation and planning of these skills. This paper presents a learning‐based approach of transferring force‐relevant skills from human demonstration to a robot. First, the force‐relevant skill is encapsulated as a statistical model where the key parameters are learned from the demonstrated data (motion, force). Second, based on the learned skill model, a task planner is devised which specifies the motion and/or the force profile for a given manipulation task. Finally, the learned skill model is further integrated with an adaptive controller that offers task‐consistent force adaptation during online executions. The effectiveness of the proposed approach is validated with two experiments, i.e., an object polishing task and a peg‐in‐hole assembly.