Sea level extremes at the coasts of China

Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans - Tập 119 Số 3 - Trang 1593-1608 - 2014
Xiangbo Feng1,2,3, Michael Tsimplis1,2
1National Oceanography Centre, Southampton, UK
2School of Ocean and Earth Science, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK
3State Key Laboratory of Hydrology-Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering, Hohai University, Nanjing, China

Tóm tắt

Từ khóa


Tài liệu tham khảo

Cai, 2009, Coastal erosion in China under the condition of global climate change and measures for its prevention, Prog. Nat. Sci., 19, 415, 10.1016/j.pnsc.2008.05.034

Cartwright, 2004, Response of the salt-freshwater interface in a coastal aquifer to a wave-induced groundwater pulse: Field observations and modelling, Adv. Water Resour., 27, 297, 10.1016/j.advwatres.2003.12.005

Chan, 2006, Comment on “Changes in tropical cyclone number, duration, and intensity in a warming environment,”, Science, 311, 1713, 10.1126/science.1121522

Chan, 2004, Global warming and Western North Pacific typhoon activity from an observational perspective, J. Clim., 17, 4590, 10.1175/3240.1

Coles, 2001, An Introduction to Statistical Modeling of Extreme Values, 10.1007/978-1-4471-3675-0

Ding, 2001, Sea level change in Hong Kong from tide gauge measurements of 1954-1999, J. Geod., 74, 683, 10.1007/s001900000128

Doong , D. J. T. W. Hsu L. C. Wu C. C. Kao 2009

Du, 2011, Tropical Indian Ocean influence on Northwest Pacific tropical cyclones in summer following strong El Niño, J. Clim., 24, 315, 10.1175/2010JCLI3890.1

Egbert, 2004, Numerical modeling of the global semidiurnal tide in the present day and in the last glacial maximum, J. Geophys. Res., 109, C03003, 10.1029/2003JC001973

Emanuel, 2005, Increasing destructiveness of tropical cyclones over the past 30 years, Nature, 436, 686, 10.1038/nature03906

Fan, 2006, Complexities of China's coast in response to climate change, Adv. Clim. Change Res., 2, 54

Fan, 2006, Cross-shore variations in morphodynamic processes of an open-coast mudflat in the Changjiang Delta, China: With an emphasis on storm impacts, Cont. Shelf Res., 26, 517, 10.1016/j.csr.2005.12.011

Frank, 1977, The structure and energetics of the tropical cyclone I. Storm structure, Mon. Weather Rev., 105, 1119, 10.1175/1520-0493(1977)105<1119:TSAEOT>2.0.CO;2

Gratiot, 2008, Significant contribution of the 18.6 year tidal cycle to regional coastal changes, Nat. Geosci., 1, 169, 10.1038/ngeo127

Gray, 1984, Atlantic seasonal hurricane frequency. Part I: El Niño and 30-mb quasi-biennial oscillation influences, Mon. Weather Rev., 112, 1649, 10.1175/1520-0493(1984)112<1649:ASHFPI>2.0.CO;2

Green, 2010, Ocean tides and resonance, Ocean Dyn., 60, 1243, 10.1007/s10236-010-0331-1

Grinsted, 2013, Projected Atlantic hurricane surge threat from rising temperatures, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U. S. A., 110, 5369, 10.1073/pnas.1209980110

Haigh, 2010, Assessing changes in extreme sea levels: Application to the English Channel, 1900-2006, Cont. Shelf Res., 30, 1042, 10.1016/j.csr.2010.02.002

Hallegatte, 2013, Future flood losses in major coastal cities, Nat. Clim. Change, 3, 802, 10.1038/nclimate1979

Han, 2008, Pacific decadal oscillation and sea level variability in the Bohai, Yellow, and East China seas, J. Phys. Oceanogr., 38, 2772, 10.1175/2008JPO3885.1

Jay, 2009, Evolution of tidal amplitudes in the eastern Pacific Ocean, Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L04603, 10.1029/2008GL036185

Kim, 2011, Modulation of North Pacific tropical cyclone activity by three phases of ENSO, J. Clim., 24, 1839, 10.1175/2010JCLI3939.1

Knutson, 2010, Tropical cyclones and climate change, Nat. Geosci., 3, 157, 10.1038/ngeo779

Kuleshov, 2003, Tropical cyclone activity in the Southern Hemisphere, Bull. Aust. Meteorol. Oceanogr. Soc., 16, 135

Kuleshov, 2008, On tropical cyclone activity in the Southern Hemisphere: Trends and the ENSO connection, Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L14S08, 10.1029/2007GL032983

Kuleshov, 2010, Trends in tropical cyclones in the South Indian Ocean and the South Pacific Ocean, J. Geophys. Res., 115, D01101, 10.1029/2009JD012372

Lander, 1994, An exploratory analysis of the relationship between tropical storm formation in the Western North Pacific and ENSO, Mon. Weather Rev., 122, 636, 10.1175/1520-0493(1994)122<0636:AEAOTR>2.0.CO;2

Landsea, 2006, Can we detect trends in extreme tropical cyclones, Science, 313, 452, 10.1126/science.1128448

Lau , M. A. 2006 Working FNU-94

Li, 2004, The coasts of China and issues of sea level rise, J. Coastal Res., 43, 36

Mackey, 2001, Ensemble forecast of a typhoon flood event, Weather Forecasting, 16, 399, 10.1175/1520-0434(2001)016<0399:EFOATF>2.0.CO;2

Marcos, 2009, Sea level extremes in southern Europe, J. Geophys. Res., 114, C01007, 10.1029/2008JC004912

Marcos, 2012, Inter-annual and decadal sea level variations in the north-western Pacific marginal seas, Prog. Oceanogr., 105, 4, 10.1016/j.pocean.2012.04.010

Menéndez, 2010, Changes in extreme high water levels based on a quasi-global tide-gauge data set, J. Geophys. Res., 115, C10011, 10.1029/2009JC005997

Moon, 2003, Causes of the unusual coastal flooding generated by Typhoon Winnie on the west coast of Korea, Nat. Hazards, 29, 485, 10.1023/A:1024798718572

Müller, 2011, Secular trends in ocean tides: Observations and model results, J. Geophys. Res., 116, C05013, 10.1029/2010JC006387

Murakami, 2012, Future changes in tropical cyclone activity projected by the new high-resolution MRI-AGCM, J. Clim., 25, 3237, 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00415.1

Palutikof, 1999, A review of methods to calculate extreme wind speeds, Meteorol. Appl., 6, 119, 10.1017/S1350482799001103

Pickering, 2012, The impact of future sea-level rise on the European Shelf tides, Cont. Shelf Res., 35, 1, 10.1016/j.csr.2011.11.011

Pugh, 1996, Tides, Surges and Mean Sea-Level (Reprinted With Corrections), 486

Shaw, 2010, The 18.6 yr nodal modulation in the tides of southern European coasts, Cont. Shelf Res., 30, 138, 10.1016/j.csr.2009.10.006

Smith, 1989, Extreme value analysis of environmental time series: An application to trend detection in ground-level ozone, Stat. Sci., 4, 367, 10.1214/ss/1177012400

Song, 2013, Modeling studies of the far-field effects of tidal flat reclamation on tidal dynamics in the East China Seas, Estuarine Coastal Shelf Sci., 133, 147, 10.1016/j.ecss.2013.08.023

State Oceanic Administration (SOA) 2013a China Ocean Disasters Bulletin in 2012

State Oceanic Administration (SOA) 2013b Report of Sea Level Rise at Chinese Coast in 2012

Torres, 2011, Tides and long-term modulations in the Caribbean Sea, J. Geophys. Res., 116, C10022, 10.1029/2011JC006973

Torres, 2012, Seasonal sea level cycle in the Caribbean Sea, J. Geophys. Res., 117, C07011, 10.1029/2012JC008159

Trenberth, 2007, Water and energy budgets of hurricanes and implications for climate change, J. Geophys. Res., 112, D23107, 10.1029/2006JD008304

Trenberth, 2007, Water and energy budgets of hurricanes: Case studies of Ivan and Katrina, J. Geophys. Res., 112, D23106, 10.1029/2006JD008303

Tsimplis, 1997, Extreme sea-level distribution and return periods in the Aegean and Ionian Seas, Estuarine Coastal Shelf Sci., 44, 79, 10.1006/ecss.1996.0126

Tsimplis, 2010, Seasonal sea level extremes in the Mediterranean Sea and at the Atlantic European coasts, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 10, 1457, 10.5194/nhess-10-1457-2010

Wang, 2011, The turbidity maxima of the northern Jiangsu shoal-water in the Yellow Sea, China, Estuarine Coastal Shelf Sci., 93, 202, 10.1016/j.ecss.2010.10.020

Webster, 2005, Changes in tropical cyclone number, duration and intensity in a warming environment, Science, 309, 1844, 10.1126/science.1116448

Webster, 2006, Response to comment on “Changes in tropical cyclone number, duration, and intensity in a warming environment,”, Science, 311, 1713, 10.1126/science.1121564

Woodworth, 2004, Evidence for systematic changes in extreme high waters since the mid-1970s, J. Clim., 17, 1190, 10.1175/1520-0442(2004)017<1190:EFSCIE>2.0.CO;2

Wu, 2002, Rainfall simulation associated with Typhoon Herb (1996) near Taiwan-Part I: The topographic effect, Weather Forecasting, 17, 1001, 10.1175/1520-0434(2003)017<1001:RSAWTH>2.0.CO;2

Wu, 2004, Assessing impacts of global warming on tropical cyclone tracks, J. Clim., 17, 1686, 10.1175/1520-0442(2004)017<1686:AIOGWO>2.0.CO;2

Yanagi, 1994, Sea level variation in the Eastern Asia, J. Oceanogr., 50, 643, 10.1007/BF02270497

Yang, 2003, Morphological response of tidal marshes, flats and channels of the outer Yangtze River mouth to a major storm, Estuaries, 26, 1416, 10.1007/BF02803650

Yin, 2009, Simulating a typhoon storm surge in the East Sea of China using a coupled model, Prog. Nat. Sci., 19, 65, 10.1016/j.pnsc.2008.05.023

Zhang, 2009, Temporal and spatial variability of annual extreme water level in the Pearl River Delta region, China, Global Planet. Change, 69, 35, 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2009.07.003

Zhang, 2010, Tide-surge interaction intensified by the Taiwan strait, J. Geophys. Res., 115, C06012, 10.1029/2009JC005762

Zhou, 2013, Sea level rise along the East Asia and Chinese coasts and its role on the morphodynamic response of the Yangtze River Estuary, Ocean Eng., 71, 40, 10.1016/j.oceaneng.2013.03.014