Modelling lockdown and exit strategies for COVID-19 in Singapore

World Health Organisation. Strategies, plans and operations. https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019/strategies-plans-and-operations. Leung, 2020, First-wave COVID-19 transmissibility and severity in China outside Hubei after control measures, and second-wave scenario planning: a modelling impact assessment, Lancet, 395, 1382, 10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30746-7 Kissler, 2020, Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the postpandemic period, Science, eabb5793 Anderson, 2020, How will country-based mitigation measures influence the course of the COVID-19 epidemic, Lancet, 395, 931, 10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30567-5 Ministry of Health, Singapore. Past updates on COVID-19 local situation. https://www.moh.gov.sg/covid-19/past-updates. Singapore Government. COVID-19 (Temporary Measures) Act 2020. Singapore: Republic of Singapore, Thursday, April 9https://sso.agc.gov.sg/Act/COVID19TMA2020. Chen, 2018, The effect of school closure on hand, foot, and mouth disease transmission in Singapore: a modeling approach, Am J Trop Med Hyg, 99, 1625, 10.4269/ajtmh.18-0099 Ahmed, 2018, Effectiveness of workplace social distancing measures in reducing influenza transmission: a systematic review, BMC Public Health, 18, 518, 10.1186/s12889-018-5446-1 Ministry of Health, Singapore. Continued stringent implementation and enforcement of circuit breaker measures. https://www.moh.gov.sg/news-highlights/details/continued-stringent-implementation-enforcement-of-circuit-breaker-measures. Singapore Budget Agency. Budget Measures.https://www.singaporebudget.gov.sg/budget_2020/budget-measures. Ministry of Health, Singapore. Strong national push to stem spread of COVID-19. https://www.moh.gov.sg/news-highlights/details/strong-national-push-to-stem-spread-of-covid-19. Koo, 2020, Interventions to mitigate early spread of SARS-CoV-2 in Singapore: a modelling study, Lancet Infect Dis, P678, 10.1016/S1473-3099(20)30162-6 Dickens, 2020, Institutional, not home-based, isolation could contain the COVID-19 outbreak, Lancet, 1541, 10.1016/S0140-6736(20)31016-3 Viner, 2020, School closure and management practices during coronavirus outbreaks including COVID-19: a rapid systematic review, Lancet Child Adolescent Health, 4, 397, 10.1016/S2352-4642(20)30095-X Li, 2020, Early transmission dynamics in Wuhan, China, of novel coronavirus–infected pneumonia, N Engl J Med, 10.1056/NEJMoa2001316 Mizumoto, 2020, Estimating the asymptomatic proportion of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases on board the Diamond Princess cruise ship, Yokohama, Japan, 2020, Eurosurveillance, 25, 10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.10.2000180 Pung, 2020, Investigation of three clusters of COVID-19 in Singapore: implications for surveillance and response measures, Lancet, 395, 1039, 10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30528-6 Chao, 2010, FluTE, a publicly available stochastic influenza epidemic simulation model, PLoS Comput Biol, 6, 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1000656 Chowell, 2007, Comparative estimation of the reproduction number for pandemic influenza from daily case notification data, J R Soc Interface, 4, 155, 10.1098/rsif.2006.0161 Ferguson, 2006, Strategies for mitigating an influenza pandemic, Nature, 442, 448, 10.1038/nature04795 Middleton, 2013, Long-term adherence to health behavior change, Am J Lifestyle Med, 7, 395, 10.1177/1559827613488867 Dong, 2020, Epidemiology of COVID-19 among children in China, Pediatrics, 10.1542/peds.2020-0702 Wang, 2020, Mitigate the effects of home confinement on children during the COVID-19 outbreak, Lancet, 395, 945, 10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30547-X