Climate changes and trends in phenology and yields of field crops in China, 1981–2000

Allen, 1990, Plant responses to rising carbon dioxide and potential interactions with air pollutants, J. Environ. Qual., 19, 15, 10.2134/jeq1990.00472425001900010002x

Allen, 1995, Plant physiological responses to elevated CO2, temperature, air pollution, and UV-B radiation, 51

Amthor, 1998, Perspective on the relative insignificance of increasing atmospheric CO2 concentration to crop yield, Field Crops Res., 58, 109, 10.1016/S0378-4290(98)00089-6

Asseng, 2004, Simulated wheat growth affected by rising temperature, increased water deficit and elevated atmospheric CO2, Field Crops Res., 85, 85, 10.1016/S0378-4290(03)00154-0

Bremner, 1978, Weights of individual grains of the wheat ear in relation to their growth potential, the supply of assimilate and interaction between grains, Aust. J. Plant Physiol., 5, 51, 10.1071/PP9780061

Brown, 1997, Sensitivity of crop yield and water use to change in a range of climatic factors and CO2 concentrations: a simulation study applying EPIC to the central USA, Agric. For. Meteorol., 83, 171, 10.1016/S0168-1923(96)02352-0

Chmielewski, 2004, Climate changes and trends in phenology of fruit trees and field crops in Germany, 1961–2000, Agric. For. Meteorol., 121, 69, 10.1016/S0168-1923(03)00161-8

Cramer, 2001, Global response of terrestrial ecosystem structure and function to CO2 and climate change: results from six dynamic global vegetation models, Global Change Biol., 7, 357, 10.1046/j.1365-2486.2001.00383.x

Easterling, 2000, Climate extremes: observations, modeling, and impacts, Science, 289, 2068, 10.1126/science.289.5487.2068

Egeh, 1994, High temperature effects on leaf exchange, Phil. J. Crop. Sci., 17, 21

Ewert, 2004, Modelling plant responses to elevated CO2: how important is leaf area index?, Ann. Bot., 93, 619, 10.1093/aob/mch101

Hawker, 1993, High temperature effects on the activity of enzymes in the committed pathway of starch synthesis in developing wheat endosperm, Aust. J. Plant Physiol., 20, 197, 10.1071/PP9930197

Horie, 1988, The effects of climate variations on agriculture in Japan. V. The effects on rice yields in Hokkaido, 809

Horie, 2000, Crop ecosystem responses to climatic change: rice, 81

Jamieson, 2000, Modelling CO2 effects on wheat with varying nitrogen supplies, Agric. Ecosyst. Environ., 82, 27, 10.1016/S0167-8809(00)00214-0

Karl, 1991, Global warming: evidence for asymmetric diurnal temperature change, Geophys. Res. Lett., 18, 2253, 10.1029/91GL02900

Keeling, 1980, Interannual extremes in the rate of rise of atmospheric carbon dioxide since, Nature, 375, 660

Keeling, 2005, Atmospheric CO2 records from sites in the SIO air sampling network

Kimball, 1983, Carbon dioxide and agricultural yield: an assemblage and analysis of 430 prior observations, Agron. J., 75, 779, 10.2134/agronj1983.00021962007500050014x

Kimball, 2002, Responses of agricultural crops to free-air CO2 enrichment, Adv. Agron., 77, 293, 10.1016/S0065-2113(02)77017-X

Kropff, 1993, Predicting the impact of CO2 and temperature on rice production

Leopold, 1975

Levy, 2004, Modelling the impact of future changes in climate, CO2 concentration and land use on natural ecosystems and the terrestrial carbon sink, Glob. Environ. Change, 14, 21, 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2003.10.005

Lobell, 2003, Climate and management contributions to recent trends in US Agricultural Yields, Science, 299, 1032, 10.1126/science.1077838

Long, 1991, Modification of the response of photosynthesis productivity to rising temperature by atmospheric CO2 concentration: has its importance been underestimated?, Plant Cell Environ., 14, 729, 10.1111/j.1365-3040.1991.tb01439.x

Mackill, 1982, Pollen shedding and combining ability for high temperature tolerance in rice, Crop Sci., 20, 730, 10.2135/cropsci1982.0011183X002200040008x

Matsui, 1992, Effect of elevated CO2 and high temperature on growth and yield of rice. II. Sensitivity period and pollen germination rate in high temperature sterility of rice spikelets at flowering, Jpn. J. Crop Sci., 61, 148

Matthews, 1997, Simulating the impact of climate change on rice production in Asia and evaluating options for adaptation, Agric. Syst., 54, 399, 10.1016/S0308-521X(95)00060-I

Menzel, 2001, Spatial and temporal variability of the phenological seasons in Germany from 1951 to 1996, Glob. Change Biol., 7, 657, 10.1046/j.1365-2486.2001.00430.x

Nemani, 2003, Climate-driven increases in Global Terrestrial Net Primary Production from 1982 to 1999, Science, 300, 1560, 10.1126/science.1082750

Morison, 1999, Interactions between increasing CO2 concentration and temperature on plant growth, Plant Cell Environ., 22, 659, 10.1046/j.1365-3040.1999.00443.x

Parry, 2004, Effects of climate change on global food production under SRES emissions and socio-economic scenarios, Glob. Environ. Change, 14, 53, 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2003.10.008

Peng, 2004, Rice yields decline with higher night temperature from global warming, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A., 101, 9971, 10.1073/pnas.0403720101

Peters, 1971, Effect of night air temperatures on grain yield of corn, wheat, and soybeans, Agron. J., 63, 809, 10.2134/agronj1971.00021962006300050046x

Polley, 2002, Implications of atmospheric and climate change for crop yield and water use efficiency, Crop Sci., 42, 131, 10.2135/cropsci2002.0131

Ryan, 1991, Effects of climate change on plant respiration, Ecol. Appl., 1, 157, 10.2307/1941808

Tao, 2000, Simulation of peanut potential yield under future climate scenario in China, Chin. Environ. Sci., 20, 392

Tao, 2003, Changes in agricultural water demands and soil moisture in China over the last half-century and their effects on agricultural production, Agric. For. Meteorol., 118, 251, 10.1016/S0168-1923(03)00107-2

Tao, 2004, Climatological and agricultural production variability in China in association with East Asia Monsoon and El Niño Southern Oscillation, Clim. Res., 28, 23, 10.3354/cr028023

Tubiello, 2002, Simulating the effects of elevated CO2 on crops: approaches and applications for climate change, Eur. J. Agron., 18, 57, 10.1016/S1161-0301(02)00097-7

Wardlaw, 1974, Temperature control of translocation, 533

Wuethrich, 2000, How climate change alters rhythms of the wild, Science, 287, 793, 10.1126/science.287.5454.793

Zhai, 1999, Changes of climate extremes in China, Clim. Change, 42, 203, 10.1023/A:1005428602279

Zhang, 2004, Climate controls on vegetation phenological patterns in northern mid- and high latitudes inferred from MODIS data, Glob. Change Bio., 10, 1133, 10.1111/j.1529-8817.2003.00784.x

Zheng, 2002, Impacts of climate warming on plants phenophases in China for the last 40 years, Chin. Sci. Bull., 47, 1826, 10.1360/02tb9399

Zhou, 2003, Relation between interannual variations in satellite measures of northern forest greenness and climate between 1982 and 1999, J. Geophys. Res., 108, 4004, 10.1029/2002JD002510