Climate change impacts in European forests: the expert views of local observers

Blatt J, Ellner B, Strixner L, Kreft S, Luthardt V, Ibisch P (2010) Index-basierte Erfassung der Klimawandel-Vulnerabilität von Wald- und Forstökosystemen im Nationalpark Unteres Odertal. In: Korn H, Schliep R, Stadler J (eds): Biodiversität und Klima – Vernetzung der Akteure in Deutschland VII. Ergebnisse des 7. Workshops an der Internationalen Naturschutzakademie des Bundesamtes für Naturschutz, Insel Vilm. 29.08.–01.09.2010. BfN Skripten 282: 55–59 Bergh J, Freeman M, Sigurdsson B, Kellomäki S, Laitinen K, Niinisto S, Peltola H, Linder S (2003) Modelling the short-term effects of climate change on the productivity of selected tree species in Nordic countries. For Ecol Manage 183:327–340 Bolte A, Ammer C, Löf M, Madsen P, Nabuurs GJ, Schall P, Spathelf P, Rock J (2009) Adaptive forest management in central Europe: climate change impacts, strategies and integrative concept. Scan J For Res 24:473–482 Bolte A, Ammer C, Löf M, Nabuurs GJ, Schall P, Spathelf P (2010) Adaptive forest management: a prerequisite for sustainable forestry in the face of climate change. In: Spathelf P (ed) Sustainable forest management in a changing world—a European perspective. Managing Forest Ecosystems, vol 19. Springer, Heidelberg, pp 115–139 Brang P, Bugmann H, Bürgi A, Mühlethaler U, Rigling A, Schwitter R (2008) Klimawandel als waldbauliche Herausforderung. Schweiz Z Forstwes 159:362–373 Broadmeadow M, Ray D, Samuel CJA (2005) Climate change and the future for broadleaved tree species in Britain. Forestry 78:145–161 Christensen JH, Hewitson B, Busuoic A, Chen A, Gao X, Held R, Jones R, Kolli RK, Kwon W-T, Laprise R, Magana Rueda V, Mearns L, Menéndez CG, Räisänen J, Rinke A, Sarr A, Whetton P (2007) Regional climate projections. In: Solomon S, Qin D, Manning M et al (eds) Climate Change 2007: the physical science basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the fourth assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge Ciais P, Reichstein M, Viovy N, Granier A, Ogée J, Allard V, Aubinet M, Buchmann N, Bernhofer C, Carrara A, Chevallier F, De Noblet N, Friend A D, Friedlingstein P, Grünwald T, Heinesch B, Keronen P, Knohl A, Krinner G, Loustau D (2005) Europe-wide reduction in primary productivity caused by the heat and drought in 2003. Nature 437:529–533 Coops NC, Waring RH, Beier C, Roy-Jauvin R, Wang T (2011) Modeling the occurrence of 15 coniferous tree species throughout the Pacific Northwest of North America using a hybrid approach of a generic process-based growth model and decision tree analysis. Appl Veg Sci 14:402–414 Davison J, Coe S, Finch D, Rowland E, Friggens M, Graumlich L (2012) Bringing indices of species vulnerability to climate change into geographic space: an assessment across the Coronado National Forest. Biodivers Conserv 21:189–204 Hanewinkel M (2008) Risiko und Klimawandel. FVA-Einblick + (Wald und Klima) 12, 1:16–19 Heikkinen RK, Luoto M, Araújo MB, Virkkala R, Thuiller W, Sykes MT (2006) Methods and uncertainties in bioclimatic envelope modelling under climate change. Prog Phys Geogr 30:751–777 Ibisch PL, Vega AE, Herrman TM (2010) (eds.) Interdependance of biodiversity and development under global change. Technical Series No. 54. Secretariat of the Convention on Biological Diversity, Montreal (second corrected edition) Jolly WM, Dobbertin M, Zimmermann NE, Reichstein M (2005) Divergent vegetation growth responses to the 2003 heat wave in the Swiss Alps. Geophys Res Lett 32:1–4 Jump AS, Hunt JM, Peñuelas J (2006) Rapid climate change-related growth decline at the southern range edge of Fagus sylvatica. Glob Change Biol 12:2163–2174 Kolström M, Lindner M, Vilén T, Maroschek M, Seidl R, Lexer MJ, Netherer S, Kremer A, Delzon S, Barbati A, Marchetti M, Corona P (2011) Reviewing the science and implementation of climate change adaptation measures in European forestry. Forests 2:961–982 Lindner M, Maroschek M, Netherer S, Kremer A, Barbati A, Garcia-Gonzalo J, Seidl R, Delzon S, Corona P, Kolström M, Lexer MJ, Marchetti M (2010) Climate change impacts, adaptive capacity, and vulnerability of European forest ecosystems. For Ecol Manage 259:698–709 Linkosalo T, Häkkinen R, Terhivuo J, Tuomenvirta H, Hari P (2009) The time series of flowering and leaf bud burst of boreal trees (1846–2005) support the direct temperature observations of climatic warming. Agric For Meteorol 149:453–461 Maiorano L, Cheddadi R, Zimmermann NE, Pellissier L, Petitpierre B, Pottier J, Laborde H, Hurdu BI, Pearman PB, Psomas A, Singarayer JS, Broennimann O, Vittoz P, Dubuis A, Edwards ME, Binney HA, Guisan A (2012) Building the niche trough time: using 13,000 years data to predict the effects of climate change on three tree species in Europe. Global Ecol Biogeogr. doi:10.1111/j.1466-8238.2012.00767.x Marmion M, Parviainen M, Luoto M, Heikkinen RK, Thuiller W (2009) Evaluation of consensus methods in predictive species distribution modelling. Divers Distrib 15:59–69 Millar CI, Stephenson NL, Stephens SL (2007) Climate change and forests of the future: managing in the face of uncertainty. Ecol Appl 17:2145–2151 Nabuurs G-J, Pussinen A, Karjalainen T, Erhard M, Kramer K (2002) Stemwood volume increment changes in European forests due to climate change—a simulation study with the EFISCEN model. Glob Change Biol 8:304–316 Päivinen R, Lehikoinen M, Schuck A, Häme T, Väätäinen S, Kennedy P, Folving S (2001) Combining earth observation data and forest statistics. European Forest Institute Research Report 14. European Forest Institute and Joint Research Centre–European Commission Peñuelas J, Filella I, Comas P (2002) Changed plant and animal life cycles from 1952 to 2000 in the Mediterranean region. Glob Change Biol 8:531–544 Pichler P, Oberhuber W (2007) Radial growth response of coniferous forest trees in an inner Alpine environment to heat-wave in 2003. For Ecol Manage 242:688–699 Reyer CR, Leuzinger S, Rammig A, Wolf A, Bartholomeus RP, Bonfante A, de Lorenzi F, Dury M, Gloning P, Jaoudé RA, Klein T, Kuster TM, Martins M, Niedrist G, Riccardi M, Wohlfahrt G, de Angelis P, de Dato G, François L, Menzel A, Pereira M (2013) A plant’s perspective of extremes: terrestrial plant responses to changing climatic variability. Glob Chang Biol 19:75–89 Thies M, Hein S, Spiecker H (2009) Results of a questionnaire on management of valuable broadleaved forests in Europe. In: Spiecker H, Hein S, Makkonen-Spiecker K, Thies M (eds) Valuable broadleaved forests in Europe. European Forest Institute Research Report, vol 22. Brill, Leiden, pp. 27–41 Zheng D, Freeman M, Bergh J, Røsberg I, Nilsen P (2002) Production of Picea abies in south-east Norway in response to climate change: a case study using process-based model simulation with field validation. Scand J For Res 17:35–46