Nội dung được dịch bởi AI, chỉ mang tính chất tham khảo
Thổi trong gió? Kiểm tra tác động của thời tiết lên sự phân bố tội phạm bằng cách sử dụng Mô hình bổ sung tổng quát
Tóm tắt
Oslo, thủ đô của Na Uy, nằm trong vùng khí hậu mát mẻ Bắc Âu. Chúng tôi nghiên cứu ảnh hưởng của thời tiết lên tổng mức tội phạm trong thành phố, cũng như tác động của các yếu tố thời tiết khác nhau (nhiệt độ, tốc độ gió, lượng mưa) lên sự phân bố không gian của tội phạm, sau khi đã điều chỉnh cho mức độ tổng thể của tội phạm, thời gian trong ngày và tính mùa vụ. Các vị trí địa lý của các hành vi phạm tội đã được kết hợp với dữ liệu về nhiệt độ, tốc độ gió và lượng mưa. Các Mô hình Bổ sung Tổng quát (GAM) cho phép chúng tôi lập bản đồ mức độ và sự phân bố không gian của tội phạm, và cách nó bị ảnh hưởng bởi thời tiết, một cách mạnh mẽ hơn so với các nghiên cứu trước đây. Có một chút gia tăng về tội phạm trong thời tiết dễ chịu (tức là lượng mưa và tốc độ gió thấp, và nhiệt độ cao). Tuy nhiên, cả nhiệt độ, lượng mưa và tốc độ gió đều không tác động đến sự phân bố không gian của tội phạm trong thành phố.
Từ khóa
#Oslo #tội phạm #thời tiết #Mô hình bổ sung tổng quát #phân bố không gian #nghiên cứu tội phạmTài liệu tham khảo
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