Management Science and Operations ResearchManagement of Technology and InnovationEconomics, Econometrics and Finance (miscellaneous)Business and International Management
Transitions are transformation processes in which society changes in a
fundamental way over a generation or more. Although the goals of a transition
are ultimately chosen by society, governments can play a role in bringing about
structural change in a stepwise manner. Their management involves sensitivity to
existing dynamics and regular adjustment of goals to overcome the conflict
between long‐te... hiện toàn bộ
At its best, futures research can change priorities and attitudes within
organizations, and bring fresh meaning to the present. But its recommendations
are not always politically convenient, and a much‐heralded report can be just as
discreetly shelved. A key role for futurists is therefore to inspire
decision‐makers with alternative futures and choices, demonstrating their
technical feasibility, a... hiện toàn bộ
PurposeThe purpose of this paper it to explore the future of Europe's food and
drink manufacturing sectorDesign/methodology/approachUsing mainly secondary
sources, the paper identifies trends and drivers of change, explores possible
alternative futures through scenarios, and considers policy
implications.FindingsEurope's food sector is undergoing dramatic change and
future policies will be increas... hiện toàn bộ
PurposeThis paper seeks to discuss the outcomes of a road‐mapping research on
social media project completed at VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland.
Social media refer to a combination of three elements: content, user
communities, and Web 2.0 technologies.Design/methodology/approachThe paper
utilizes socio‐technical road‐mapping to study the potential transformations of
social media in the vi... hiện toàn bộ
PurposeTo outline and present a generalised scheme for using “layered methods”
in foresight work.Design/methodology/approachA number of different approaches to
“layering” in futures studies and foresight work are examined and synthesised
into a generalised scheme. The place of layered methods in foresight work is
also examined, and the role of perceptual filters in interpretation is
discussed.Find... hiện toàn bộ
PurposeThis paper seeks to outline four scenarios developed for the future of
the South West Midlands region of England. Like many depressed regions in the
UK, the foundation industries that initially developed the region have gone.
Manufacturing is continuing to decline and the low‐skilled economic
underpinnings of the region have all but disappeared. The population, however,
has not changed with... hiện toàn bộ
This article identifies contemporary society as a network society made possible
by new information and communication technologies which are both a necessary
condition for, and inextractable dimension of that society, and pose complex
results and challenges. The prevalence of networks means that we have entered a
new technological paradigm and new form of organizational structure having
shifted fro... hiện toàn bộ
PurposeTo present the degree to which futurists (inadvertently perhaps)
encourage future avoidance or deflection.Design/methodology/approachIdentifies
instances and examples of future deflection and avoidance attributable to the
misplaced zeal of forecasters.FindingsProposes five strategies futurists can use
to turn avoidance into acceptance.Originality/valueTo call attention to the
negative impac... hiện toàn bộ
PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to describe and explains the development of
the evolving mental phenomenon of alternative
history.Design/methodology/approachThe article analyzes the role of the fiction
known as the “What if?” school of speculation about the past, some of its
conspicuous exemplars, and how its adaptation might affect attitudes and even
prejudices about how to view life.Findings... hiện toàn bộ