Management Science and Operations ResearchManagement of Technology and InnovationEconomics, Econometrics and Finance (miscellaneous)Business and International Management
Transitions are transformation processes in which society changes in a
fundamental way over a generation or more. Although the goals of a transition
are ultimately chosen by society, governments can play a role in bringing about
structural change in a stepwise manner. Their management involves sensitivity to
existing dynamics and regular adjustment of goals to overcome the conflict
between long‐te... hiện toàn bộ
At its best, futures research can change priorities and attitudes within
organizations, and bring fresh meaning to the present. But its recommendations
are not always politically convenient, and a much‐heralded report can be just as
discreetly shelved. A key role for futurists is therefore to inspire
decision‐makers with alternative futures and choices, demonstrating their
technical feasibility, a... hiện toàn bộ
PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to describe and explains the development of
the evolving mental phenomenon of alternative
history.Design/methodology/approachThe article analyzes the role of the fiction
known as the “What if?” school of speculation about the past, some of its
conspicuous exemplars, and how its adaptation might affect attitudes and even
prejudices about how to view life.Findings... hiện toàn bộ
PurposeTo reflect, first, that the global changes now washing over the people
are probably far more profound than is commonly understood, demanding a new
mindset on the part of corporate organisations. Second, that this cultural
transformation engenders a fresh set of challenges facing the corporate world in
tackling the inherent complexity, uncertainty and ambiguity which need a
futures‐oriented ... hiện toàn bộ
In an era marked by profound technological change young people must prepare for
a future in which rapid innovation is accompanied by the passing of traditional
social norms such as career paths and job security. This calls for a level of
self‐reliance, self‐determination and preparedness for life‐long learning not
required in previous generations. Traditional measures of academic success
overlook ... hiện toàn bộ
This article identifies contemporary society as a network society made possible
by new information and communication technologies which are both a necessary
condition for, and inextractable dimension of that society, and pose complex
results and challenges. The prevalence of networks means that we have entered a
new technological paradigm and new form of organizational structure having
shifted fro... hiện toàn bộ
PurposeWhat are the implications of the global financial crisis and its
aftermath, regionally and globally, for Africa taking a 5‐15 year view? The
purpose of this paper is to outline a set of four post‐crisis global economic
scenarios to 2020, and will consider their impacts across a range of low income
countries.Design/methodology/approachThe scenarios were developed using a
version of the morph... hiện toàn bộ
More than half a century ago the French futurist Jean Fourastié (1907‐1990)
presented an interesting view of society in the year 2000. His vision of the
future has remained relatively unfamiliar in the Anglo‐Saxon world. However
Fourastié’s “hypothesis” that the fundamental “laws of production and
consumption” would lead to the rise of a service‐oriented society would seem
largely to have come tru... hiện toàn bộ
This paper suggests that environmental scanning (ES) has been restricted to
parts of the external world and has largely overlooked the inner one. In fact
the inner/outer distinction has itself been lost sight of within Futures Studies
(FS), as in many other fields of enquiry and action. The result is that much
well‐intentioned and otherwise disciplined work takes place in a cramped
empiricist fram... hiện toàn bộ