Three alternative Middle East peace scenarios

Emerald - 2005
Jerome C.Glenn1, Theodore J.Gordon2
1Director of the Millennium Project of the American Council for the UN University, Washington, DC, USA. (e‐mail: [email protected]) (http://millennium‐project.org)
2Senior Fellow, of the Millennium Project of the American Council for the UN University, Washington, DC, USA. (e‐mail: [email protected]) (http://millennium‐project.org)

Tóm tắt

PurposeThe article seeks to address the lack of serious, normative scenarios exploring peace in the Middle East.Design/methodology/approachThree normative, backcasted scenarios were written. These were derived from literature searches, interviews with experts in the field, and input from a three‐round Delphi. Actions were identified and rated by the Delphi panel in Rounds 1 and 2. Draft text with areas for comment throughout the scenarios was collected in Round 3 and used to improve the draft scenarios.FindingsThe scenarios address seven preconditions for peace in the Middle East: secure borders for Israel; establishment of a viable and independent Palestinian state; resolution of the Jerusalem question; ending violence by both sides and building confidence; social and economic development; education; and resolution of Palestinian refugee status.Originality/valueThe scenarios are intended for use in a variety of settings to help further the Middle East peace process.

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