Sabrina Hempel, Katja Frieler, Lila Warszawski, Jacob Schewe, Franziska Piontek
Abstract. Statistical bias correction is commonly applied within climate impact
modelling to correct climate model data for systematic deviations of the
simulated historical data from observations. Methods are based on transfer
functions generated to map the distribution of the simulated historical data to
that of the observations. Those are subsequently applied to correct the future
projections. ... hiện toàn bộ
Yoshihide Wada, Dominik Wisser, Marc F. P. Bierkens
Abstract. To sustain growing food demand and increasing standard of living,
global water withdrawal and consumptive water use have been increasing rapidly.
To analyze the human perturbation on water resources consistently over large
scales, a number of macro-scale hydrological models (MHMs) have been developed
in recent decades. However, few models consider the interaction between
terrestrial wate... hiện toàn bộ
Carl-Friedrich Schleußner, Tabea Lissner, Erich Fischer, Jan Wohland, Mahé Perrette, Antonius Golly, Joeri Rogelj, Katelin Childers, Jacob Schewe, Katja Frieler, Matthias Mengel, Bill Hare, Michiel Schaeffer
Abstract. Robust appraisals of climate impacts at different levels of
global-mean temperature increase are vital to guide assessments of dangerous
anthropogenic interference with the climate system. The 2015 Paris Agreement
includes a two-headed temperature goal: "holding the increase in the global
average temperature to well below 2 °C above pre-industrial levels and pursuing
efforts to limit the... hiện toàn bộ
Muhammad Abid, Jürgen Scheffran, Uwe A. Schneider, Muhammad Ashfaq
Abstract. Climate change is a global environmental threat to all economic
sectors, particularly the agricultural sector. Pakistan is one of the countries
negatively affected by climate change due to its high exposure to extreme events
and low adaptive capacity. In Pakistan, farmers are the primary stakeholders in
agriculture and are more at risk due to climate vulnerability. Based on farm
househol... hiện toàn bộ
Abstract. We revisit the issue of the response of precipitation characteristics
to global warming based on analyses of global and regional climate model
projections for the 21st century. The prevailing response we identify can be
summarized as follows: increase in the intensity of precipitation events and
extremes, with the occurrence of events of “unprecedented” magnitude, i.e., a
magnitude not f... hiện toàn bộ
Abstract. The Tibetan Plateau (TP) plays a key role in the water cycle of high
Asia and its downstream regions. The respective influence of the Indian and East
Asian summer monsoon on TP precipitation and regional water resources, together
with the detection of moisture transport pathways and source regions are the
subject of recent research. In this study, we present a 12-year high-resolution
cli... hiện toàn bộ
Abstract. Climate changes observed in 1850–2014 are modeled and studied on the
basis of seven historical runs with the climate model INM-CM5 under the scenario
proposed for the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6). In all
runs global mean surface temperature rises by 0.8 K at the end of the experiment
(2014) in agreement with the observations. Periods of fast warming in 1920–1940
... hiện toàn bộ
Abstract. Global climate change has numerous implications for members of
mountain communities who feel the impacts in both physical and social
dimensions. In the western Himalayas of India, a majority of residents maintain
a livelihood strategy that includes a combination of subsistence or small-scale
agriculture, livestock rearing, seasonal or long-term migration, and localized
natural resource e... hiện toàn bộ