Earth System Dynamics

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Simulation of observed climate changes in 1850–2014 with climate model INM-CM5
Earth System Dynamics - Tập 9 Số 4 - Trang 1235-1242
E. M. Volodin, Andrey Gritsun
Abstract. Climate changes observed in 1850–2014 are modeled and studied on the basis of seven historical runs with the climate model INM-CM5 under the scenario proposed for the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6). In all runs global mean surface temperature rises by 0.8 K at the end of the experiment (2014) in agreement with the observations. Periods of fast warming in 19...... hiện toàn bộ
The response of precipitation characteristics to global warming from climate projections
Earth System Dynamics - Tập 10 Số 1 - Trang 73-89
Filippo Giorgi, Francesca Raffaele, Erika Coppola
Abstract. We revisit the issue of the response of precipitation characteristics to global warming based on analyses of global and regional climate model projections for the 21st century. The prevailing response we identify can be summarized as follows: increase in the intensity of precipitation events and extremes, with the occurrence of events of “unprecedented” magnitude, i.e., a magnitu...... hiện toàn bộ
Differential climate impacts for policy-relevant limits to global warming: the case of 1.5 °C and 2 °C
Earth System Dynamics - Tập 7 Số 2 - Trang 327-351
Carl-Friedrich Schleußner, Tabea Lissner, Erich Fischer, Jan Wohland, Mahé Perrette, Antonius Golly, Joeri Rogelj, Katelin Childers, Jacob Schewe, Katja Frieler, Matthias Mengel, Bill Hare, Michiel Schaeffer
Abstract. Robust appraisals of climate impacts at different levels of global-mean temperature increase are vital to guide assessments of dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system. The 2015 Paris Agreement includes a two-headed temperature goal: "holding the increase in the global average temperature to well below 2 °C above pre-industrial levels and pursuing efforts to l...... hiện toàn bộ
A 12-year high-resolution climatology of atmospheric water transport over the Tibetan Plateau
Earth System Dynamics - Tập 6 Số 1 - Trang 109-124
Julia Curio, Fabien Maussion, Dieter Scherer
Abstract. The Tibetan Plateau (TP) plays a key role in the water cycle of high Asia and its downstream regions. The respective influence of the Indian and East Asian summer monsoon on TP precipitation and regional water resources, together with the detection of moisture transport pathways and source regions are the subject of recent research. In this study, we present a 12-year high-resolu...... hiện toàn bộ
Gender and climate change in the Indian Himalayas: global threats, local vulnerabilities, and livelihood diversification at the Nanda Devi Biosphere Reserve
Earth System Dynamics - Tập 6 Số 2 - Trang 505-523
Monica V. Ogra, Ruchi Badola
Abstract. Global climate change has numerous implications for members of mountain communities who feel the impacts in both physical and social dimensions. In the western Himalayas of India, a majority of residents maintain a livelihood strategy that includes a combination of subsistence or small-scale agriculture, livestock rearing, seasonal or long-term migration, and localized natural re...... hiện toàn bộ
Farmers' perceptions of and adaptation strategies to climate change and their determinants: the case of Punjab province, Pakistan
Earth System Dynamics - Tập 6 Số 1 - Trang 225-243
Muhammad Abid, Jürgen Scheffran, Uwe A. Schneider, Muhammad Ashfaq
Abstract. Climate change is a global environmental threat to all economic sectors, particularly the agricultural sector. Pakistan is one of the countries negatively affected by climate change due to its high exposure to extreme events and low adaptive capacity. In Pakistan, farmers are the primary stakeholders in agriculture and are more at risk due to climate vulnerability. Based on farm ...... hiện toàn bộ
Global modeling of withdrawal, allocation and consumptive use of surface water and groundwater resources
Earth System Dynamics - Tập 5 Số 1 - Trang 15-40
Yoshihide Wada, Dominik Wisser, Marc F. P. Bierkens
Abstract. To sustain growing food demand and increasing standard of living, global water withdrawal and consumptive water use have been increasing rapidly. To analyze the human perturbation on water resources consistently over large scales, a number of macro-scale hydrological models (MHMs) have been developed in recent decades. However, few models consider the interaction between terrestr...... hiện toàn bộ
A trend-preserving bias correction – the ISI-MIP approach
Earth System Dynamics - Tập 4 Số 2 - Trang 219-236
Sabrina Hempel, Katja Frieler, Lila Warszawski, Jacob Schewe, Franziska Piontek
Abstract. Statistical bias correction is commonly applied within climate impact modelling to correct climate model data for systematic deviations of the simulated historical data from observations. Methods are based on transfer functions generated to map the distribution of the simulated historical data to that of the observations. Those are subsequently applied to correct the future proje...... hiện toàn bộ
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