Trends and climate evolution: Statistical approach for very high temperatures in France
Tóm tắt
Từ khóa
Tài liệu tham khảo
Brabson BB, Lister DH, Palutikof, Jones PD (2002) Characteristics of extreme temperature in the 21st century. Preprint
Buishand TA (1991) Extreme rainfall estimation by combining data from several sites. Hydrol Sci J 36:345–365
Chavez-Demoulin V (1999) Two problems in environmental statistics: capture-recapture models and smooth extremal models. PhD thesis, EPFL, Lausanne, Switzerland
Coles S (2001) An introduction to statistical modeling of extreme values, Springer Series in Statistics. Springer Verlag
Dacunha-Castelle D, Duflo M (1986) Probability and statistics. T.2. Springer New-York
Dacunha-Castelle D, Gassiat E (1997) Testing the order of a model using locally parameterization: population mixtures and stationary ARMA processes, Annals of statistics no 4
Davison AC (1984) Modeling excesses over high thresholds, with an application. In: Tiago de Oliveira J (ed) Statistical extremes and application. Reidel, Dordrecht, pp 461–482
Davison AC, Smith RL (1990) Models for exceedances over high thresholds (with discussion). J Royal Statistical Soc B 52:393–442
Easterling DR, Evans JL, Groisman P Ya, Karl TR, Kundel KE, Ambernje P (2000) Observed variability and trends in extreme climate events: a brief review. Bull of the AMS
Fougeres P, Genest AL (1997) Nonparametric estimation procedure for bivariate extreme value copulas. Biometrika 84:567–577
Frei C, Schar C (2001) Detection probability of trnds in rare events: theory and application to heavy precipitation in Alpine region. J Climate 14:1564–1584
Green PJ, Silverman BW (1994) Nonparametric regression and generalized linear models: a roughness penalty approach. Chapman and Hall
Huntingford C, Jones RG, Prudhomme C, Lamb R, Gash HHC, Jones DA (2003) Regional climate-model predictions in extreme rainfall for a changing climate. Q J Roy Meteorol Soc 129:1607–1621
Jenkinson AF (1969) Statistics of extremes, In: Estimation of maximum flood. Technical Note 98. World Meteorological Organization, Geneva, pp 183–227
Katz RW, Parlange MB, Naveau P (2002) Statistics of extremes in hydrology. Advances in water resources 25:1287–1304
Keim BM, Cruise JF (1997) A technique to measure trends in the frequency of discrete random events. Climate 11:848–855
Kiktev D, Sexton DMH, Alexander L, Folland CK (2003) Comparison of modeled and observed trends in indices of daily climate extremes. J Climate 16:3560–3571
Klein Tank AMG, Können GP (2003) Trends in indices of daily temperature and precipitation extremes in Europe 1946–1999. J Climate 3665–3680
Leadbetter MR, Lindgren G, Rootzen H (1983) Extremes and related properties of random sequences and series. Springer Verlag, New York
Leadbetter MR, Weissman I, De Haan L, Rootzen H (1989) On clustering of high levels in statistically stationary series. In: Sansom J (ed) Proceedings of the 4th International Meeting on Statistical Climatology. New Zealand Meteorological Service, Wellington
Malek F (2004) Asymptotique des processus de Poisson non stationnaire et application au niveau de retour pour des séries de très hautes températures. Preprint Univ. Paris-Sud
Mearns LO, Katz RW, Schneider SH (1984) Extreme high-temperature events: changes in their probabilities with changes in mean temperature. Journal of Climate and Applied Meteorology 23:1601–1613
Meehl GA, Karl T, Easterling DR, Changnon S, Pielke R, Changnon D, Evans J, Groisman PY, Knutson TT, Kunkel KE, Mearns LO, Parmesan C, Pulwarty R, Root T, Sylves RT, Whetton P, Zwiers F (2000) An introduction to trends in extreme weather and climate projections: observations, socioeconomic impacts and model projections. Bull of the AMS 413–416
Meehl GA, Zwiers F, Evans J, Knutson T, Mearns L, Whetton P (2000) Trends in extreme weather and climate events:issues related to modeling extremes in projection of future climate change projections. Bull of the AMS 427–436
Moberg A, Jones PD (2004) Regional climate model simulations of daily maximum and minimum near-surface temperature across Europe compared with observed station data 1961–1990. Climate Dyn 23:695–715
Pauli F, Coles SG (2001) Penalized likelihood inference in extreme value analyses. Journal of Applied Statistics 28:547–560
Rootzen H, Tajvidi N (1997) Extreme value statistics and wind storm losses: a case study. Scand Actuar J 70–94
Semenov VA, Bengtsson L (2002) Secular trend in daily precipitation characteristics/greenhouse gas simulation with a coupled AOGCM. Climate Dyn 19:123–140
Smith RL (1989) Extreme value analysis of environmental time series: an application to trend detection in ground-level ozone. Statist Sci 4:367–393
Smith RL, Shively TS (1995) A point process approach to modeling trends in tropospheric ozone. Atmos Environ 29:3489–3499
Yan Z, Jones PD, Davies TD, Moberg A, Bergström H, Camuffo D, Cocheo C, Maugeri M, Demarée GR, Verhoeve T, Thoen E, Barriendos M, Rodríguez R, Martín-Vide J, Yang C (2002) Trends in extreme temperatures in Europe and China based on daily observations. Climatic Change 52:355–392