The value of lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio in differentiating pneumonia from upper respiratory tract infection (URTI) in children: a cross-sectional study

Early and accurate diagnosis of pediatric pneumonia in primary health care can reduce the chance of long-term respiratory diseases, related hospitalizations and mortality while lowering medical costs. The aim of this study was to assess the value of blood biomarkers, clinical symptoms and their combination in assisting discrimination of pneumonia from upper respiratory tract infection (URTI) in children. Both univariate and multivariate logistic regressions were used to build the pneumonia screening model based on a retrospective cohort, comprised of 5211 children (age ≤ 18 years). The electronic health records of the patients, who had inpatient admission or outpatient visits between February 15, 2012 to September 30, 2018, were extracted from the hospital information system of Zhejiang Provincial People’s Hospital, Hangzhou, Zhejiang Province, China. The children who were diagnosed with pneumonia and URTI were enrolled and their clinical features and levels of blood biomarkers were compared. Using the area under the ROC curve, both two screening models were evaluated under 80% (training) versus 20% (test) cross-validation data split for their accuracy. In the retrospective cohort, 2548 of 5211 children were diagnosed with the defined pneumonia. The univariate screening model reached predicted AUCs of 0.76 for lymphocyte/monocyte ratio (LMR) and 0.71 for neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (NLR) when identified overall pneumonia from URTI, attaining the best performance among the biomarker candidates. In subgroup analysis, LMR and NLR attained AUCs of 0.80 and 0.86 to differentiate viral pneumonia from URTI, and AUCs of 0.77 and 0.71 to discriminate bacterial pneumonia from URTI respectively. After integrating LMR and NLR with three clinical symptoms of fever, cough and rhinorrhea, the multivariate screening model obtained increased predictive values, reaching validated AUCs of 0.84, 0.95 and 0.86 for distinguishing pneumonia, viral pneumonia and bacterial pneumonia from URTI respectively. Our study demonstrated that combining LMR and NLR with critical clinical characteristics reached promising accuracy in differentiating pneumonia from URTI, thus could be considered as a useful screening tool to assist the diagnosis of pneumonia, in particular, in community healthcare centers. Further researches could be conducted to evaluate the model’s clinical utility and cost-effectiveness in primary care scenarios to facilitate pneumonia diagnosis, especially in rural settings.