The responses of agriculture in Europe to climate change

Alcamo J, Endejan M, Kirilenko A, Golubev GN, Dronin NM (2005) Climate change and its impact on agricultural production in Russia. In: Milanova E, Himiyama Y, Bicik I (eds) Understand land-use and land-cover change in global and regional context. Science Publishers, Plymouth, pp 35–46

Alcamo J, Dronin N, Endejan M, Golubev G, Kirilenko A (2007) A new assessment of climate change impacts on food production shortfalls and water availability in Russia. Global Environ Change 17(3–4):429–444

Alexandrov V, Eitzinger J, Cajic V, Oberforster M (2002) Potential impact of climate change on selected agricultural crops in north-eastern Austria. Global Change Biol 8(4):372–389

Anderson PK, Cunningham AA, Patel NG, Morales FJ, Epstein PR, Daszak P (2004) Emerging infectious diseases of plants: pathogen pollution, climate change and agrotechnology drivers. Trends Ecol Evol 19(10):535–544

Audsley E, Pearn KR, Simota C, Cojocaru G, Koutsidou E, Rousevell MDA, Trnka M, Alexandrov V (2006) What can scenario modelling tell us about future European scale agricultural land use, and what not? Environ Sci Policy 9(2):148–162

Baker RHA, Sansford CE, Jarvis CH, Cannon RJC, MacLeod A, Walters KFA (2000) The role of climatic mapping in predicting the potential geographical distribution of non-indigenous pests under current and future climates. Agric Ecosyst Environ 82(1–3):57–71

Bale JS, Masters GJ, Hodkinson ID, Awmack C, Bezemer TM, Brown VK, Butterfield J, Buse A, Coulson JC, Farrar J, Good JEG, Harrington R, Hartley S, Jones TH, Lindroth RL, Press MC, Symrnioudis I, Watt AD, Whittaker JB (2002) Herbivory in global climate change research: direct effects of rising temperature on insect herbivores. Global Change Biol 8(1):1–16

Bellamy PH, Loveland PJ, Bradley RI, Lark RM, Kirk GJD (2005) Carbon losses from all soils across England and Wales 1978–2003. Nature 437(7056):245–248

Berry PM, Rounsevell MDA, Harrison PA, Audsley E (2006) Assessing the vulnerability of agricultural land use and species to climate change and the role of policy in facilitating adaptation. Environ Sci Policy 9(2):189–204

Boland GJ, Melzer MS, Hopkin A, Higgins V, Nassuth A (2004) Climate change and plant diseases in Ontario. Can J Plant Pathol Revue Canadienne De Phytopathologie 26(3):335–350

Chen CC, McCarl BA (2001) An investigation of the relationship between pesticide usage and climate change. Clim Change 50(4):475–487

Christensen JH, Christensen OB (2003) Climate modelling: severe summertime flooding in Europe. Nature 421(6925):805–806

Christensen JH, Hewitson B, Busuioc A, Chen A, Gao X, Held I, Jones R, Kolli RK, Kwon W-T, Laprise R, Magaña Rueda V, Mearns L, Menéndez CG, Räisänen J, Rinke A, Sarr A, Whetton P (2007) Regional climate projections. In: Solomon S, Qin D, Manning M et al. (eds) Climate change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of working group I to the fourth assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, p 996

Ciais P, Reichstein M, Viovy N, Granier A, Ogee J, Allard V, Aubinet M, Buchmann N, Bernhofer C, Carrara A, Chevallier F, De Noblet N, Friend AD, Friedlingstein P, Grunwald T, Heinesch B, Keronen P, Knohl A, Krinner G, Loustau D, Manca G, Matteucci G, Miglietta F, Ourcival JM, Papale D, Pilegaard K, Rambal S, Seufert G, Soussana JF, Sanz MJ, Schulze ED, Vesala T, Valentini R (2005) Europe-wide reduction in primary productivity caused by the heat and drought in 2003. Nature 437 (7058):529–533

Colebrook E, Wall R (2004) Ectoparasites of livestock in Europe and the Mediterranean region. Vet Parasitol 120(4):251–274

EEA (2006) Annual European Community greenhouse gas inventory 1990–2004 and inventory report 2006. EEA Technical Note, vol 6/2006. European Environment Agency, Copenhagen, Denmark

Erisman JW, Sutton MA, Galloway J, Klimont Z, Winiwarter W (2008) How a century of ammonia synthesis changed the world. Nature Geosci 1(10):636–639

Ewert F, Rounsevell MDA, Reginster I, Metzger MJ, Leemans R (2005) Future scenarios of European agricultural land use I. Estimating changes in crop productivity. Agric Ecosyst Environ 107 (2–3):101–116

FAOSTAT (2007) FAO Statistical database food and agricultural organization. Rome, Italy

Fink AH, Brücher T, Krüger A, Leckebusch GC, Pinto JG, Ulbrich U (2004) The 2003 European summer heat waves and drought—synoptic diagnosis and impact. Weather 59:209–216

Ghaffari A, Cook HF, Lee HC (2002) Climate change and winter wheat management: a modelling scenario for south-eastern England. Clim Change 55(4):509–533

Giannakopoulos C, Le Sager P, Bindi M, Moriondo M, Kostopoulou E, Goodess CM (2009) Climatic changes and associated impacts in the Mediterranean resulting from a 2 degrees C global warming. Glob Planet Change 68:209–224

Gould EA, Higgs S, Buckley A, Gritsun TS (2006) Potential arbovirus emergence and implications for the United Kingdom. Emerg Infect Dis 12(4):549–555

Hildén M, Lehtonen H, Bärlund I, Hakala K, Kaukoranta T, Tattari S (2005) The practice and process of adaptation in Finnish agriculture. FINADAPT working paper 5. Finnish Environment Institute Mimeographs, vol 335. Finnish Environment Institute, Helsinki, Finland

Holden NM, Brereton AJ (2002) An assessment of the potential impact of climate change on grass yield in Ireland over the next 100 years. Ir J Agric Food Res 41(2):213–226

Holden NM, Brereton AJ (2003) Potential impacts of climate change on maize production and the introduction of soybean in Ireland. Ir J Agric Food Res 42(1):1–15

Holden NM, Brereton AJ, Fealy R, Sweeney J (2003) Possible change in Irish climate and its impact on barley and potato yields. Agric Forest Meteorol 116(3–4):181–196

Houmøller MS, Yahyaoui AH, Milus EA, Justesen AF (2008) Rapid global spread of two aggressive strains of a wheat rust fungus. Mol Ecol 17(17):3818–3826

IPCC, 2001: Climate Change 2001: Impacts, Adaptation, And Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, J.J. McCarthy, O.F. Canziani, N.A. Leary, D.J. Dokken and K.S. White, Eds., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK

Jeppesen E, Kronvang B, Meerhoff M, Søndergaard M, Hansen KM, Andersen HE, Lauridsen TL, Bekioglu M, Ozen A, Olesen JE (2009) Climate change effects on runoff, phosphorus loading and lake ecological state, and potential adaptations. J Environ Qual 38: 1930–1941

Jones PD, Lister DH, Jaggard KW, Pidgeon JD (2003) Future climate impact on the productivity of sugar beet (Beta vulgaris L.) in Europe. Clim Change 58 (1–2):93–108

Krinner W, Lallana C, Estrela T, Nixon S, Zabel T, Laffon L, Rees G, Cole G (1999) Sustainable water use in Europe. Part 1: sectoral use of water. Environmental assessment report No 1. European Environment Agency, Copenhagen

Kristensen K, Schelde K, Olesen JE (2010) Winter wheat yield response to climate variability in Denmark. J Agric Sci First View. doi: 10.1017/S0021859610000675

Maracchi G, Sirotenko O, Bindi M (2005) Impacts of present and future climate variability on agriculture and forestry in the temperate regions: Europe. Clim Change 70(1–2):117–135

Marsh J (2005) The implications of common agricultural policy reform for farmers in Europe. Farm Policy J 2(2):1–11

Meehl GA, Tebaldi C (2004) More intense, more frequent, and longer lasting heat waves in the 21st century. Science 305(5686):994–997

Mellor PS, Wittmann EJ (2002) Bluetongue virus in the Mediterranean Basin 1998–2001. Vet J 164(1):20–37

Metzger MJ, Rounsevell MDA, Acosta-Michlik L, Leemans R, Schröter D (2006) The vulnerability of ecosystem services to land use change. Agric Ecosyst Environ 114(1):69–85

Minguez MI, Ruiz-Ramos M, Díaz-Ambrona CH, Quemada M, Sau F (2007) First-order impacts on winter and summer crops assessed with various high-resolution climate models in the Iberian Peninsula. Clim Change 81:343–355

Moriondo M, Giannakopoulos C, Bindi M (2010) Climate change impact assessment: the role of climate extremes in crop yield simulation. Clim Change OnlineFirst. doi: 10.1007/s10584-010-9871-0

Nixon S, Trent Z, Marcuello C, Lallana C (2003) Europe’s water: an indicator-based assessment. Topic report 1/2003. European Environment Agency, Copenhagen

OECD (2004) Analysis of the 2003 CAP reform. OECD publications. Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development, Paris, France

Olesen JE, Bindi M (2002) Consequences of climate change for European agricultural productivity, land use and policy. Eur J Agron 16(4):239–262

Olesen JE, Bindi M (2004) Agricultural impacts and adaptations to climate change in Europe. Farm Policy J 1(3):36–46

Olesen JE, Rubaek GH, Heidmann T, Hansen S, Borgensen CD (2004) Effect of climate change on greenhouse gas emissions from arable crop rotations. Nutr Cycl Agroecosyst 70(2):147–160

Olesen JE, Carter TR, Diaz-Ambrona CH, Fronzek S, Heidmann T, Hickler T, Holt T, Minguez MI, Morales P, Palutikof JP, Quemada M, Ruiz-Ramos M, Rubaek GH, Sau F, Smith B, Sykes MT (2007) Uncertainties in projected impacts of climate change on European agriculture and terrestrial ecosystems based on scenarios from regional climate models. Clim Change 81:123–143

Ragauskas AJ, Williams CK, Davison BH, Britovsek G, Cairney J, Eckert CA, Frederick WJ Jr, Hallett JP, Leak DJ, Liotta CL, Mielenz JR, Murphy R, Templer R, Tschaplinski T (2006) The path forward for biofuels and biomaterials. Science 311(5760):484–489

Richter GM, Semenov MA (2005) Modelling impacts of climate change on wheat yields in England and Wales: assessing drought risks. Agric Syst 84(1):77–97

Rounsevell MDA, Ewert F, Reginster I, Leemans R, Carter TR (2005) Future scenarios of European agricultural land use II. Projecting changes in cropland and grassland. Agric Ecosyst Environ 107 (2–3):117–135

Salinari F, Giosue S, Tubiello FN, Rettori A, Rossi V, Spanna F, Rosenzweig C, Gullino ML (2006) Downy mildew (Plasmopara viticola) epidemics on grapevine under climate change. Glob Change Biol 12(7):1299–1307

Santos FD, Forbes K, Moita R (eds) (2002) Climate change in Portugal: scenarios, impacts and adaptation measures. SIAM project report. Gradiva, Lisbon

Schär C, Vidale PL, Lüthi D, Frei C, Häberli C, Liniger MA, Appenzeller C (2004) The role of increasing temperature variability in European summer heatwaves. Nature 427(6972):332–336

Schils RLM, Verhagen A, Aarts HFM, Kuikman PJ, Sebek LBJ (2006) Effect of improved nitrogen management on greenhouse gas emissions from intensive dairy systems in the Netherlands. Glob Change Biol 12:382–391

Schröter D, Cramer W, Leemans R, Prentice IC, Araujo MB, Arnell NW, Bondeau A, Bugmann H, Carter TR, Gracia CA, de la Vega-Leinert AC, Erhard M, Ewert F, Glendining M, House JI, Kankaanpää S, Klein RJT, Lavorel S, Lindner M, Metzger MJ, Meyer J, Mitchell TD, Reginster I, Rounsevell M, Sabate S, Sitch S, Smith B, Smith J, Smith P, Sykes MT, Thonicke K, Thuiller W, Tuck G, Zaehle S, Zierl B (2005) Ecosystem service supply and vulnerability to global change in Europe. Science 310(5752):1333–1337

Smith J, Smith P, Wattenbach M, Zaehle S, Hiederer R, Jones RJA, Montanarella L, Rounsevell MDA, Reginster I, Ewert F (2005) Projected changes in mineral soil carbon of European croplands and grasslands, 1990–2080. Glob Change Biol 11:2141–2152

Trnka M, Dubrovsky M, Zalud Z (2004) Climate change impacts and adaptation strategies in spring barley production in the Czech Republic. Clim Change 64(1–2):227–255

Tubiello FN, Donatelli M, Rosenzweig C, Stockle CO (2000) Effects of climate change and elevated CO2 on cropping systems: model predictions at two Italian locations. Eur J Agron 13(2–3):179–189

Tuck G, Glendining MJ, Smith P, House JI, Wattenbach M (2006) The potential distribution of bioenergy crops in Europe under present and future climate. Biomass Bioenergy 30(3):183–197

Turnpenny JR, Parsons DJ, Armstrong AC, Clark JA, Cooper K, Matthews AM (2001) Integrated models of livestock systems for climate change studies. 2. Intensive systems. Glob Change Biol 7 (2):163–170

Weiske A, Vabitsch A, Olesen JE, Schelde K, Michel J, Friedrich R, Kaltschmitt M (2006) Mitigation of greenhouse gas emissions in European conventional and organic dairy farming. Agric Ecosyst Environ 112(2–3):221–232

Wittmann EJ, Baylis M (2000) Climate change: effects on culicoides-transmitted viruses and implications for the UK. Vet J 160(2):107–117