Redefining expertise and improving ecological judgment

Agrawal, 1995, Indigenous and scientific knowledge: some critical comments

Ayyub, 2001, Elicitation of expert opinions for uncertainty and risks, 10.1201/9781420040906

Barley, 2006, Contracting: a new form of professional practice, Acad Manag Perspect, 20, 45, 10.5465/AMP.2006.19873409

Beck, 1992, Risk society: towards a new modernity

Broks, 2006, Understanding popular science.

Burgman, 2005, Risks and decisions for conservation and environmental management, 10.1017/CBO9780511614279

Campbell, 2002, Science and sustainable use: views of marine turtle conservation experts, Ecol Appl, 12, 1229, 10.1890/1051-0761(2002)012[1229:SASUVO]2.0.CO;2

Carr, 2004, Why do we all need community science?, Soc Nat Resour, 17, 1

Chaloner, 1993, Graphical elicitation of a prior distribution for a clinical trial, Statistician, 42, 341, 10.2307/2348469

Chi, 2006, The Cambridge handbook of expertise and expert performance, 21, 10.1017/CBO9780511816796.002

Christie, 1991, The role of law and science in the resolution of disputes over factual evidence, Environ Plan Law J, 8, 200

Clemen, 1999, Combining probability distributions from experts in risk analysis, Risk Anal, 19, 187, 10.1111/j.1539-6924.1999.tb00399.x

Collins, 2007, Rethinking expertise, 10.7208/chicago/9780226113623.001.0001

Cooke, 1991, Experts in uncertainty: opinion and subjective probability in science., 10.1093/oso/9780195064650.001.0001

Cooke, 2000, Procedures guide for structured expert judgement in accident consequence modelling, Radiat Protect Dosim, 90, 303, 10.1093/oxfordjournals.rpd.a033152

Cruess, 2004, Professionalism for medicine: opportunities and obligations, Iowa Orthop J, 24, 9

Dawes, 1994, House of cards: psychology and psychotherapy built on myth

Dryzek, 2005, Politics of the earth.

Evans, 2008, The sociology of expertise: the distribution of social fluency, Sociol Compass, 2, 281, 10.1111/j.1751-9020.2007.00062.x

Evatts, 2006, The Cambridge handbook of expertise and expert performance, 105, 10.1017/CBO9780511816796.007

Failing, 2007, Integrating science and local knowledge in environmental risk management: a decision-focused approach, Ecol Econ, 64, 47, 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2007.03.010

Fischhoff, 1982, Lay foibles and expert fables in judgements about risk, Am Stat, 36, 240, 10.2307/2683835

Fisk, 1998, Environmental science and environmental law, J Environ Law, 10, 3, 10.1093/jel/10.1.3

Franklin, 2001, The science of conjecture.

Franklin, 2008, Evaluating extreme risks in invasion ecology: learning from banking compliance, Divers Distributions, 14, 581, 10.1111/j.1472-4642.2008.00478.x

Freudenburg, 1999, Tools to aid environmental decision making, 94, 10.1007/978-1-4612-1418-2_4

Gans, 2004, Australian principles of evidence

Garthwaite, 2005, Statistical methods for eliciting probability distributions, J Am Stat Assoc, 100, 680, 10.1198/016214505000000105

Gregory, 2002, Incorporating value trade-offs into community-based environmental risk decisions, Environ Values, 11, 461, 10.3197/096327102129341181

Gregory, 2006, Some pitfalls of an overemphasis on science in environmental risk management decisions, J Risk Res, 9, 717, 10.1080/13669870600799895

Gregory, 1998, Science in public: communication, culture and credibility

Gullet, 2000, The precautionary principle in Australia: policy, law and potential precautionary EIAs, Risk Health Saf Environ, 11, 93

Hart, 1986, Knowledge acquisition for expert systems

Hilgartner, 1990, The dominant view of popularization: conceptual problems, political uses, Soc Stud Sci, 20, 519, 10.1177/030631290020003006

Hoffrage, 2002, Representation facilitates reasoning: what natural frequencies are and what they are not, Cognition, 84, 343, 10.1016/S0010-0277(02)00050-1

Hora, 1992, Acquisition of expert judgment: examples from risk assessment, J Energy Eng, 118, 136, 10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9402(1992)118:2(136)

Irwin, 2001, Constructing the scientific citizen: science and democracy in the biosciences, Public Underst Sci, 10, 1, 10.1088/0963-6625/10/1/301

James, 2010, Elicitator: an expert elicitation tool for regression in ecology., Environ Model Software, 25, 129, 10.1016/j.envsoft.2009.07.003

Jasanoff, 2006, Transparency in public science: purposes, reasons, limits, Law Contemp Probl, 69, 21

Kadane, 1980, Interactive elicitation of opinion for a normal linear model, J Am Stat Assoc, 75, 815, 10.2307/2287171

Kahneman, 1982, Judgment under uncertainty: heuristics and biases, 493, 10.1017/CBO9780511809477.035

Krinitzsky, 1993, Earthquake probability in engineering-part 1: the use and misuse of expert opinion, Eng Geol, 33, 257, 10.1016/0013-7952(93)90030-G

Lawson, 1900, The law of expert and opinion evidence

Leadbeater, 2003, Amateurs: a 21st-century remake, RSA J. Issue 5507, 22

MacMillan, 2006, The Delphi process-an expert-based approach to ecological modelling in data-poor environments, Anim Conserv, 9, 11, 10.1111/j.1469-1795.2005.00001.x

Martin, 2005, The power of expert opinion in ecological models using Bayesian methods: impact of grazing on birds, Ecol Appl, 15, 266, 10.1890/03-5400

Morgan, 1990, Uncertainty: a guide to dealing with uncertainty in quantitative risk and policy analysis., 10.1017/CBO9780511840609

Murphy, 1977, Can weather forecasters formulate reliable probability forecasts of precipitation and temperature?, Natl Weather Dig, 2, 2

Murphy, 1993, What is a good forecast? An essay on the nature of goodness in weather forecasting, Am Meterol Soc, 8, 281

O’Brien, 2000, Making better environmental decisions: an alternative to risk assessment.

O’Hagan, 2004, Probability is perfect, but we can't elicit it perfectly, Reliability Eng Syst Saf Altern Representations Epistemic Uncertainty, 85, 239, 10.1016/j.ress.2004.03.014

Patterson, 2007, Engaging expert peers in the development of risk assessments, Risk Anal, 27, 1609, 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2007.00992.x

Peel, 2005, The precautionary principle in practice: environmental decision-making and scientific uncertainty

Preston, 2006, The role of public interest environmental litigation, Environ Plann Law J, 23, 337

Pidgeon, 2008, Deliberating the risks of nanotechnologies for energy and health applications in the US and UK, Nat Nanotechnol

Regan, 2002, A taxonomy and treatment of uncertainty for ecology and conservation biology, Ecol Appl, 12, 618, 10.1890/1051-0761(2002)012[0618:ATATOU]2.0.CO;2

Schum, 2007, Assessing the competence and credibility of human sources of intelligence evidence: contributions from law and probability, Law Probability Risk, 6, 247, 10.1093/lpr/mgm025

Shanteau, 1992, How much information does an expert use? Is it relevant?, Acta Psychol, 81, 75, 10.1016/0001-6918(92)90012-3

Shrader-Frechette, 1996, Handbook for environmental risk decision making: values, perceptions and ethics., 291

Slovic, 1999, Trust, emotion, sex, politics, and science: surveying the risk-assessment battlefield, Risk Anal, 19, 689, 10.1111/j.1539-6924.1999.tb00439.x

Speirs-Bridge, 2010, Reducing over-confidence in the interval judgements of experts, Risk Anal, 30, 512, 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2009.01337.x

Stern, 1996, Understanding risk: informing decisions in a demographic society

Sternberg, 1993, Lawrence Erlbaum Associates, 205

Verran, 2002, Research in science and technology studies, knowledge and society, 13, 155

Wallsten, 1983, Encoding subjective probabilities-a psychological and psychometric review, Manag Sci, 29, 151, 10.1287/mnsc.29.2.151

Wallsten, 1997, Evaluating and combining subjective probability estimates, J Behav Decis Mak, 10, 243, 10.1002/(SICI)1099-0771(199709)10:3<243::AID-BDM268>3.0.CO;2-M

Walton, 1997, Appeal to expert opinion: arguments from authority

Walshe, 2010, A framework for assessing and managing risks posed by emerging diseases, Risk Anal, 30, 236, 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2009.01305.x

Wintle, 2007, How fast should nanotechnology advance?, Nat Nanotechnol, 2, 327, 10.1038/nnano.2007.163a

Wynne, 1996, Risk, environment and modernity: towards a new ecology, 44

Yearley, 2000, Making systematic sense of public discontents with expert knowledge: two analytical approaches and a case study, Public Underst Sci, 9, 105, 10.1088/0963-6625/9/2/302