Pyrogeographic models, feedbacks and the future of global fire regimes

Global Ecology and Biogeography - Tập 23 Số 7 - Trang 821-824 - 2014
David M. J. S. Bowman1, Brett P. Murphy2, Grant J. Williamson1, Mark A. Cochrane3
1School of Biological Sciences, University of Tasmania, Private Bag 55, Hobart, Tas. 7001, Australia
2NERP Environmental Decisions Hub School of Botany The University of Melbourne Vic. 3010 Australia
3Geospatial Sciences Center of Excellence South Dakota State University Brookings SD 57007 USA

Tóm tắt

AbstractConceptual and phenomenological macroecological models of current global fire activity have demonstrated the overwhelming control exerted by primary productivity. Fire activity is very high in savanna regions with intermediate primary productivity, and very low in both densely forested regions with high productivity and arid/cold regions with low productivity. However, predicting future global fire activity using such macroecological models of fire's global ‘niche’ may not be possible because of the feedbacks between fire, climate and vegetation that underpin the fire−productivity relationship. Improving forecasts of global fire activity demands the use of dynamic models to determine how climate, CO2, vegetation (i.e. canopy closure and plant functional types) and primary productivity constrain fire and evaluation of the strength of feedbacks amongst these variables.

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Thông tin
Thông tin xuất bản

Global Ecology and Biogeography

Tập 23 Số 7

821-824

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