Predicting species distribution: offering more than simple habitat models

Ecology Letters - Tập 8 Số 9 - Trang 993-1009 - 2005
Antoine Guisan1, Wilfried Thuiller2,3
1Laboratoire de Biologie de la Conservation (LBC), Département d'Ecologie et d'Evolution (DEE), Université de Lausanne, Bâtiment de Biologie, CH‐1015 Lausanne, Switzerland
2Climate Change Research Group, Kirstenbosh Research Center, South African National Biodiversity Institute, Post Bag x7, Claremont 7735, Cape Town, South Africa
3Macroecology and Conservation Unit, University of Évora, Estrada dos Leões, 7000‐730 Évora, Portugal

Tóm tắt

Abstract

In the last two decades, interest in species distribution models (SDMs) of plants and animals has grown dramatically. Recent advances in SDMs allow us to potentially forecast anthropogenic effects on patterns of biodiversity at different spatial scales. However, some limitations still preclude the use of SDMs in many theoretical and practical applications. Here, we provide an overview of recent advances in this field, discuss the ecological principles and assumptions underpinning SDMs, and highlight critical limitations and decisions inherent in the construction and evaluation of SDMs. Particular emphasis is given to the use of SDMs for the assessment of climate change impacts and conservation management issues. We suggest new avenues for incorporating species migration, population dynamics, biotic interactions and community ecology into SDMs at multiple spatial scales. Addressing all these issues requires a better integration of SDMs with ecological theory.

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Ecology Letters

Tập 8 Số 9

993-1009

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