Links and interdependence of developed stock markets under global economic crisis conditions
Tóm tắt
The scope of this article is to determine whether global stock markets behave differently under conditions of economic crisis by studying the interdependence among the price indices of 10 markets, including Dow Jones (DJ), DAX and NIKKEI. The stock markets under examination are those of the USA, Belgium, France, Germany, Greece, Italy, The Netherlands, Spain, the United Kingdom and Japan. The sample includes the logarithmic daily closing prices from 1 January 2000 to 20 February 2009, with a total of approximately 2.385 observations analyzed. The empirical findings suggest that the recent deep crisis has increased dramatically their correlation, thus tightening the existing links. Causality also seems to be affected by the crisis, as DJ and DAX cease to exert a dominant influence on the other stock indices. However, in all the other periods, the findings of previous studies (suggesting that DJ and DAX seriously affect the other indices) were verified, independent of the prevailing bear or bull market conditions.
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