Identification of Non–Small Cell Lung Cancer Sensitive to Systemic Cancer Therapies Using Radiomics

Clinical Cancer Research - Tập 26 Số 9 - Trang 2151-2162 - 2020
Laurent Dercle1,2, Matthew Fronheiser3, Lin Lü1, Shuyan Du3, Wendy Hayes3, David Leung3, Amit Roy4, Julia Wilkerson5, Pingzhen Guo1, Antonio Tito Fojo6, Lawrence H. Schwartz1, Binsheng Zhao1
11Department of Radiology, Columbia University Medical Center/New York Presbyterian Hospital, New York, New York.
22Gustave Roussy, Université Paris-Saclay, Villejuif, France.
33Translational Medicine, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Princeton, New Jersey.
44Clinical Pharmacology and Pharmacometrics, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Princeton, New Jersey.
55The National Cancer Institute, NIH, Bethesda, Maryland.
66Columbia University/New York Presbyterian Hospital and James J. Peters VA Medical Center, New York, New York.

Tóm tắt

Abstract Purpose: Using standard-of-care CT images obtained from patients with a diagnosis of non–small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), we defined radiomics signatures predicting the sensitivity of tumors to nivolumab, docetaxel, and gefitinib. Experimental Design: Data were collected prospectively and analyzed retrospectively across multicenter clinical trials [nivolumab, n = 92, CheckMate017 (NCT01642004), CheckMate063 (NCT01721759); docetaxel, n = 50, CheckMate017; gefitinib, n = 46, (NCT00588445)]. Patients were randomized to training or validation cohorts using either a 4:1 ratio (nivolumab: 72T:20V) or a 2:1 ratio (docetaxel: 32T:18V; gefitinib: 31T:15V) to ensure an adequate sample size in the validation set. Radiomics signatures were derived from quantitative analysis of early tumor changes from baseline to first on-treatment assessment. For each patient, 1,160 radiomics features were extracted from the largest measurable lung lesion. Tumors were classified as treatment sensitive or insensitive; reference standard was median progression-free survival (NCT01642004, NCT01721759) or surgery (NCT00588445). Machine learning was implemented to select up to four features to develop a radiomics signature in the training datasets and applied to each patient in the validation datasets to classify treatment sensitivity. Results: The radiomics signatures predicted treatment sensitivity in the validation dataset of each study group with AUC (95 confidence interval): nivolumab, 0.77 (0.55–1.00); docetaxel, 0.67 (0.37–0.96); and gefitinib, 0.82 (0.53–0.97). Using serial radiographic measurements, the magnitude of exponential increase in signature features deciphering tumor volume, invasion of tumor boundaries, or tumor spatial heterogeneity was associated with shorter overall survival. Conclusions: Radiomics signatures predicted tumor sensitivity to treatment in patients with NSCLC, offering an approach that could enhance clinical decision-making to continue systemic therapies and forecast overall survival.

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