Demographic Shock and Social Security: A Political Economy Perspective

International Tax and Public Finance - Tập 8 - Trang 417-431 - 2001
Georges Casamatta1, Helmuth Cremer2, Pierre Pestieau3
1GREMAQ—CNRS, Université de Toulouse, Cedex, France
2GREMAQ and IDEI, Université de Toulouse and Institut universitaire de France, France
3CREPP, Université de Liège, CORE and Delta, France

Tóm tắt

We assume that individual voters differ not only according to age but also productivity. In the steady state, workers with wages in the intermediate range join the retired persons to form a majority and vote for a positive level of social security. When a shock decreases population growth, entrenched interests can constrain majority voting decisions and prevent reforms in the name of entitlements. We show that from a Rawlsian viewpoint it may be desirable to rely on these entitlements to protect the low wage earners of the transition generations. However, when the possibility of fixing a basic pension is introduced, it constitutes a better instrument than entitlements.

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