DYNAMICS OF MEASLES EPIDEMICS: ESTIMATING SCALING OF TRANSMISSION RATES USING A TIME SERIES SIR MODEL

Ecological Monographs - Tập 72 Số 2 - Trang 169-184 - 2002
Ottar N. Bjørnstad1, Bärbel Finkenstädt2, Bryan T. Grenfell3
1Departments of Entomology and Biology, 501 ASI Building, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, Pennsylvania 16802 USA
2Department of Statistics, University of Warwick, Coventry CV4 7AL UK. Department of Zoology, University of Cambridge, Cambridge CB2 3EJ UK
3Department of Zoology, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, CB2 3EJ, UK

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