Comparative Validity Analysis of Multiple Measures of Violence Risk in a Sample of Criminal Offenders

Criminal Justice and Behavior - Tập 32 Số 5 - Trang 479-510 - 2005
Kevin S. Douglas1, Melissa Yeomans2, Douglas P. Boer2
1Simon Fraser University, Burnaby, BC, Canada
2Correctional Service of Canada Canada

Tóm tắt

This study compared the predictive validity of multiple indices of violence risk among 188 general population criminal offenders: Historical-Clinical-Risk Management-20 (HCR-20) Violence Risk Assessment Scheme, Violence Risk Appraisal Guide (VRAG), Violent Offender Risk Assessment Scale (VORAS), Hare Psychopathy Checklist-Revised (PCL-R), and Screening Version (PCL:SV). Several indices were related to violent recidivism with large statistical effect sizes: HCR-20 (Total, Clinical and Risk Management scales, structured risk judgments), VRAG, and behavioral scales of psychopathy measures. Multivariate analyses showed that HCR-20 indices were consistently related to violence and that the VRAG entered some analyses. Findings are inconsistent with a position of strict actuarial superiority, as HCR-20 structured risk judgments—an index of structured professional or clinical judgment—were as strongly related to violence.

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