Changes in Vegetation Growth Dynamics and Relations with Climate over China’s Landmass from 1982 to 2011

Remote Sensing - Tập 6 Số 4 - Trang 3263-3283
Guang Xu1,2, Huifang Zhang1,2, Baozhang Chen1, Hairong Zhang3, John L. Innes4, Guangyu Wang4, Jianwu Yan1,2, Yonghong Zheng5, Zaichun Zhu6, Ranga B. Myneni6
1State Key Laboratory of Resources and Environmental Information System, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, 11A, Datun Road, Beijing 100049, China
2University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100049, China
3School of Environment Science and Spatial Informatics, China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou 221116, China
4Department of Forest Resource Management, University of British Columbia, 2424 Main Mall, Vancouver, BC V6T 1Z4, Canada
5School of Resource and Environmental Science, Wuhan University, 129 Luoyu Road, Wuhan 430079, China
6Department of Earth and Environment, Boston University, 675 Commonwealth Avenue, Boston, MA 02215, USA

Tóm tắt

Understanding how the dynamics of vegetation growth respond to climate change at different temporal and spatial scales is critical to projecting future ecosystem dynamics and the adaptation of ecosystems to global change. In this study, we investigated vegetated growth dynamics (annual productivity, seasonality and the minimum amount of vegetated cover) in China and their relations with climatic factors during 1982–2011, using the updated Global Inventory Modeling and Mapping Studies (GIMMS) third generation global satellite Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) dataset and climate data acquired from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP). Major findings are as follows: (1) annual mean NDVI over China significantly increased by about 0.0006 per year from 1982 to 2011; (2) of the vegetated area in China, over 33% experienced a significant positive trend in vegetation growth, mostly located in central and southern China; about 21% experienced a significant positive trend in growth seasonality, most of which occurred in northern China (>35°N); (3) changes in vegetation growth dynamics were significantly correlated with air temperature and precipitation (p < 0.001) at a region scale; (4) at the country scale, changes in NDVI was significantly and positively correlated with annual air temperature (r = 0.52, p < 0.01) and not associated with annual precipitation (p > 0.1); (5) of the vegetated area, about 24% showed significant correlations between annual mean NDVI and air temperature (93% positive and remainder negative), and 12% showed significant correlations of annual mean NDVI with annual precipitation (65% positive and 35% negative). The spatiotemporal variations in vegetation growth dynamics were controlled primarily by temperature and secondly by precipitation. Vegetation growth was also affected by human activities; and (6) monthly NDVI was significantly correlated with the preceding month’s temperature and precipitation in western, central and northern China. The effects of a climate lag of more than two months in southern China may be caused mainly by the abundance of precipitation. These findings suggest that continuing efforts to monitor vegetation changes (in situ and satellite observations) over time and at broad scales are greatly needed, and are critical for the management of ecosystems and adapting to global climatic changes. It is likewise difficult to predict well future vegetation growth without linking these observations to mechanistic terrestrial ecosystem processes models that integrate all the satellite and in situ observations.

Từ khóa


Tài liệu tham khảo

Ciais, 2005, Europe-wide reduction in primary productivity caused by the heat and drought in 2003, Nature, 437, 529, 10.1038/nature03972

Peylin, P., Bousquet, P., Le Quéré, C., Sitch, S., Friedlingstein, P., McKinley, G., Gruber, N., Rayner, P., and Ciais, P. (2005). Multiple constraints on regional CO2 flux variations over land and oceans. Glob. Biogeochem. Cy, 19.

Schwalm, 2010, Assimilation exceeds respiration sensitivity to drought: A fluxnet synthesis, Glob. Chang. Biol, 16, 657, 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2009.01991.x

Zhao, 2010, Drought-induced reduction in global terrestrial net primary production from 2000 through 2009, Science, 329, 940, 10.1126/science.1192666

Anderson, 2011, Biophysical considerations in forestry for climate protection, Front. Ecol. Environ, 9, 174, 10.1890/090179

Jackson, R.B., Randerson, J.T., Canadell, J.G., Anderson, R.G., Avissar, R., Baldocchi, D.D., Bonan, G.B., Caldeira, K., Diffenbaugh, N.S., and Field, C.B. (2008). Protecting climate with forests. Environ. Res. Lett, 3.

Goetz, 2005, Satellite-observed photosynthetic trends across boreal North America associated with climate and fire disturbance, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 102, 13521, 10.1073/pnas.0506179102

Myneni, 1997, Increased plant growth in the northern high latitudes from 1981 to 1991, Nature, 386, 698, 10.1038/386698a0

Piao, 2010, The impacts of climate change on water resources and agriculture in China, Nature, 467, 43, 10.1038/nature09364

Zhou, 2001, Variations in northern vegetation activity inferred from satellite data of vegetation index during 1981 to 1999, J. Geophy. Res, 106, 20069, 10.1029/2000JD000115

2003, Comparison of single-year and multiyear NDVI time series principal components in cold temperate biomes, IEEE Trans. Geosci. Remote Sens, 41, 2568, 10.1109/TGRS.2003.817274

Kawabata, 2001, Global monitoring of interannual changes in vegetation activities using NDVI and its relationships to temperature and precipitation, Int. J. Remote Sens, 22, 1377, 10.1080/01431160119381

Park, H.S., and Sohn, B. (2010). Recent trends in changes of vegetation over east asia coupled with temperature and rainfall variations. J. Geophy. Res, 115.

Piao, 2011, Altitude and temperature dependence of change in the spring vegetation green-up date from 1982 to 2006 in the Qinghai-Xizang plateau, Agric. For. Meteorol, 151, 1599, 10.1016/j.agrformet.2011.06.016

Piao, 2006, Variations in satellite-derived phenology in China’s temperate vegetation, Glob. Chang. Biol, 12, 672, 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2006.01123.x

Piao, 2011, Changes in satellite-derived vegetation growth trend in temperate and boreal Eurasia from 1982 to 2006, Glob. Chang. Biol, 17, 3228, 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2011.02419.x

Wang, 2011, Spring temperature change and its implication in the change of vegetation growth in North America from 1982 to 2006, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 108, 1240, 10.1073/pnas.1014425108

Li, 2006, Influence of desertification on vegetation pattern variations in the cold semi-arid grasslands of Qinghai-Tibet plateau, north-west China, J. Arid Environ, 64, 505, 10.1016/j.jaridenv.2005.06.011

Xiao, 1995, Interannual variation in the climate and above-ground biomass of leymus chinense steppe and stipa grandis steppe in the Xilin river basin, inner Mongolia, China, J. Arid Environ, 31, 283, 10.1016/S0140-1963(05)80033-3

Bannari, 1995, A review of vegetation indices, Remote Sens. Rev, 13, 95, 10.1080/02757259509532298

Jordan, 1969, Derivation of leaf-area index from quality of light on the forest floor, Ecology, 50, 663, 10.2307/1936256

Tucker, 1979, Red and photographic infrared linear combinations for monitoring vegetation, Remote Sens. Environ, 8, 127, 10.1016/0034-4257(79)90013-0

Gamon, J.A., Field, C.B., Goulden, M.L., Griffin, K.L., Hartley, A.E., Joel, G., Peñuelas, J., and Valentini, R. (1995). Relationships between NDVI, canopy structure, and photosynthesis in three Californian vegetation types. Ecol. Appl, 28–41.

Goetz, 1999, Modelling terrestrial carbon exchange and storage: Evidence and implications of functional convergence in light-use efficiency, Adv. Ecol. Res, 28, 57, 10.1016/S0065-2504(08)60029-X

Myneni, 1995, The interpretation of spectral vegetation indexes, IEEE Trans. Geosci. Remote Sens, 33, 481, 10.1109/TGRS.1995.8746029

Eastman, 2013, Global trends in seasonality of normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), 1982–2011, Remote Sens, 5, 4799, 10.3390/rs5104799

Jong, 2012, Trend changes in global greening and browning: Contribution of short-term trends to longer-term change, Glob.Chang. Biol, 18, 642, 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2011.02578.x

Julien, 2009, Global land surface phenology trends from GIMMS database, Int. J. Remote Sens, 30, 3495, 10.1080/01431160802562255

Nemani, 2003, Climate-driven increases in global terrestrial net primary production from 1982 to 1999, Science, 300, 1560, 10.1126/science.1082750

Sobrino, 2011, Global trends in NDVI-derived parameters obtained from GIMMS data, Int. J. Remote Sens, 32, 4267, 10.1080/01431161.2010.486414

Tucker, 2001, Higher northern latitude normalized difference vegetation index and growing season trends from 1982 to 1999, Int. J. Biometeorol, 45, 184, 10.1007/s00484-001-0109-8

Panday, 2012, Time-series analysis of NDVI from AVHRR data over the Hindu Kush-Himalayan region for the period 1982–2006, Int. J. Remote Sens, 33, 6710, 10.1080/01431161.2012.692836

Kaspersen, 2011, A spatiotemporal analysis of climatic drivers for observed changes in Sahelian vegetation productivity (1982–2007), Int. J. Geophys, 2011, 715321, 10.1155/2011/715321

Fensholt, 2013, Assessing land degradation/recovery in the African Sahel from long-term earth observation based primary productivity and precipitation relationships, Remote Sens, 5, 664, 10.3390/rs5020664

Peng, 2011, Recent change of vegetation growth trend in China, Environ. Res. Lett, 6, 044027, 10.1088/1748-9326/6/4/044027

Piao, S., Fang, J., Liu, H., and Zhu, B. (2005). NDVI-indicated decline in desertification in china in the past two decades. Geophys. Res. Lett, 32.

Piao, S., Fang, J., Zhou, L., Guo, Q., Henderson, M., Ji, W., Li, Y., and Tao, S. (2003). Interannual variations of monthly and seasonal Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) in China from 1982 to 1999. J. Geophys. Res, 108.

Piao, 2006, NDVI-based increase in growth of temperate grasslands and its responses to climate changes in China, Glob. Environ. Chang, 16, 340, 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2006.02.002

Slayback, 2003, Northern hemisphere photosynthetic trends 1982–99, Glob. Chang. Biol, 9, 1, 10.1046/j.1365-2486.2003.00507.x

Xu, X., Piao, S., Wang, X., Chen, A., Ciais, P., and Myneni, R.B. (2012). Spatio-temporal patterns of the area experiencing negative vegetation growth anomalies in China over the last three decades. Environ. Res. Lett, 7.

Peng, 2012, Trend analysis of vegetation dynamics in Qinghai-Tibet Plateau using Hurst exponent, Ecol. Indic, 14, 28, 10.1016/j.ecolind.2011.08.011

Hou, 2011, Vegetation dynamics and its relationship with climatic factors in the Changbai mountain natural reserve, J. Mt. Sci, 8, 865, 10.1007/s11629-011-2206-4

Coops, 2008, The development of a Canadian dynamic habitat index using multi-temporal satellite estimates of canopy light absorbance, Ecol. Indic, 8, 754, 10.1016/j.ecolind.2008.01.007

Coops, 2009, Demonstration of a satellite-based index to monitor habitat at continental-scales, Ecol. Indic, 9, 948, 10.1016/j.ecolind.2008.11.003

Herrmann, 2005, Recent trends in vegetation dynamics in the African Sahel and their relationship to climate, Glob. Environ. Chang, 15, 394, 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2005.08.004

Song, 2011, A statistical analysis of the relationship between climatic factors and the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index in China, Int. J. Remote Sens, 32, 3947, 10.1080/01431161003801336

Nezlin, 2005, Inter-annual variability and interaction of remote-sensed vegetation index and atmospheric precipitation in the Aral Sea region, J. Arid Environ, 62, 677, 10.1016/j.jaridenv.2005.01.015

Wang, 2003, Temporal responses of NDVI to precipitation and temperature in the central great plains, USA, Int. J. Remote Sens, 24, 2345, 10.1080/01431160210154812

Sterling, S., and Ducharne, A. (2008). Comprehensive data set of global land cover change for land surface model applications. Glob. Biogeochem. Cycle, 22.

Chen, 2014, Changes in vegetation photosynthetic activity trends across the Asia-Pacific region over the last three decades, Remote Sens. Environ, 144, 28, 10.1016/j.rse.2013.12.018

Holben, 1986, Characteristics of maximum-value composite images from temporal AVHRR data, Int. J. Remote Sens, 7, 1417, 10.1080/01431168608948945

Liu, 2010, Vegetation change based on SPOT-VGT data from 1998 to 2007, northern China, Environ. Earth Sci, 60, 1459, 10.1007/s12665-009-0281-4

Saha, 2012, The NECP climate forecast system version 2, J. Clim, 27, 2185, 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00823.1

Saha, 2006, The NCEP climate forecast system, J. Clim, 19, 3483, 10.1175/JCLI3812.1

Zhang, X., Sun, S., Yong, S., Zhou, Z., and Wang, R. (2007). Vegetation Map of the People’s Republic of China (1: 1000000), Geological Publishing House.

Toms, 2003, Piecewise regression: A tool for identifying ecological thresholds, Ecology, 84, 2034, 10.1890/02-0472

2009, Ecological thresholds: An assessment of methods to identify abrupt changes in species-habitat relationships, Ecography, 32, 1075, 10.1111/j.1600-0587.2009.05571.x

Sun, 2011, NDVI indicated characteristics of vegetation cover change in China’s metropolises over the last three decades, Environ. Monit. Assess, 179, 1, 10.1007/s10661-010-1715-x

Swift, 2010, Critical thresholds associated with habitat loss: A review of the concepts, evidence, and applications, Biol. Rev, 85, 35, 10.1111/j.1469-185X.2009.00093.x

Wang, 2010, Regional differences in the timing of recent air warming during the past four decades in China, Chin. Sci. Bull, 55, 1968, 10.1007/s11434-010-3236-y

Akaike, 1974, A new look at the statistical model identification, IEEE Trans. Autom. Control, 19, 716, 10.1109/TAC.1974.1100705

Burnham, K.P., and Anderson, D.R. (2002). Model. Selection and Multi-Model Inference: A Practical Information-Theoretic Approach, Springer.

Ren, 2007, Drivers of greening trend across vertically distributed biomes in temperate arid Asia, Geophy. Res. Lett, 34, L07707, 10.1029/2007GL029435

Games, 1976, Pairwise multiple comparison procedures with unequal n’s and/or variances: A Monte Carlo study, J. Educ. Behav. Statist, 1, 113

Liu, 2012, Change of surface cover greenness in China between 2000 and 2010, Chin. Sci. Bull, 57, 2835, 10.1007/s11434-012-5267-z

Mao, 2012, Integrating AVHRR and MODIS data to monitor NDVI changes and their relationships with climatic parameters in northeast China, Int. J. Appl. Earth Obs. Geoinf, 18, 528

Yan, 2012, The response of vegetation index to drought: Taking the extreme drought disaster between 2009 and 2010 in southwest China as an example, J. Remote Sens, 16, 720

Hintze, 1998, Violin plots: A box plot-density trace synergism, Am. Statist, 52, 181, 10.1080/00031305.1998.10480559

Zhou, 2005, Alpine grassland degradation and its control in the source region of the Yangtze and Yellow Rivers, China, Grassl. Sci, 51, 191, 10.1111/j.1744-697X.2005.00028.x

Cui, 2009, Recent land cover changes on the Tibetan Plateau: A review, Clim. Chang, 94, 47, 10.1007/s10584-009-9556-8

Wang, 2001, Spatial patterns of NDVI in response to precipitation and temperature in the central great plains, Int. J. Remote Sens, 22, 3827, 10.1080/01431160010007033

Thông tin
Thông tin xuất bản

Remote Sensing

Tập 6 Số 4

3263-3283

Thông tin tác giả