Analysis of the Russian retail sector

HarriLorentz1, LottaHäkkinen2, Olli‐PekkaHilmola3
1Pan‐European Institute, Turku School of Economics and Business Administration, Turku, Finland
2Turku School of Economics and Business Administration, Turku, Finland
3Kouvola Research Unit, Lappeenranta University of Technology, Kouvola, Finland

Tóm tắt

PurposeThe paper aims at providing a contemporary analysis of Russia's developing retail sector. Of special interest is the internationalization of this market through cross‐border mergers and acquisitions (M&A). This is done by identifying major trends in this sector and providing projections concerning forthcoming acquisition activity.Design/methodology/approachThe paper builds primarily on second‐hand data. In addition to the analysis of macro‐economic indicators, the paper also provides three case‐based analyses of leading firms in the Russian market.FindingsPrevious research has shown that the retail industry is gradually saturating and further growth is sought through acquisitions and expanding into emerging markets. As the findings shows, Russia's two largest cities represent basically the driver of the economy, and constitute the platform for the growth of modern retail concepts. The Russian retail sector is currently experiencing gradual internal restructuring, and leading retailers have started to carry out domestic acquisitions and become listed in the stock exchanges. Furthermore, cross‐border M&A statistics show that Central and Eastern European (CEE) countries have been attractive targets for cross‐border M&A, while Russia is still following behind.Practical implicationsThe paper presents recent data and related insights for global retailers planning expansion to the Russian market. Findings suggest that it will take approximately 3‐5 years until the market is developed enough for the global retail business.Originality/valueThe paper is a seminal study of Russia's retail sector and related M&A prospects, and can be considered a valuable platform for further empirical research in this field.

Từ khóa


Tài liệu tham khảo

Aalto‐Setälä, V. (2002), “The effect of concentration and market power on food prices: evidence from Finland”, Journal of Retailing, Vol. 78 No. 3, pp. 207‐16.

Alexander, N. and Myers, H. (1999), “European retail expansion in South East Asia”, European Business Review, Vol. 99 No. 2, pp. 91‐104.

Anand, J. and Delios, A. (2002), “Absolute and relative resources as determinants of international acquisitions”, Strategic Management Journal, Vol. 23 No. 2, pp. 119‐34.

Arnold, S.J. (1999), “Research note: Wal‐Mart in Europe”, International Journal of Retail & Distribution Management, Vol. 27 No. 1, pp. 48‐51.

Barkema, H.G. and Vermeulen, F. (1998), “International expansion through start‐up or acquisition: a learning perspective”, Academy of Management Journal, Vol. 41 No. 1, pp. 7‐26.

Bates, K., Bates, H. and Johnston, R. (2003), “Linking service to profit: the business case for service excellence”, International Journal of Service Industry Management, Vol. 14 No. 2, pp. 173‐83.

Belkina, P. (2003), “Consumer behavior in Russia: highlights on consumer segments, brand perception, advertising, and channels”, available at: www.bisnis.doc.gov/bisnis/bisdoc/0306Consum.htm.

BMI Research (2004), “Retail forecast – Q4 2004”, Business Monitor Online, available at: www.businessmonitor.co.uk/.

BOFIT (2005), “BOFIT Weekly 26/2005”, BOFIT, available at: www.bof.fi/bofit/.

Brouthers, K.D. and Brouthers, L.E. (2000), “Acquisition or greenfield start‐up? Institutional, cultural and transaction cost influences”, Strategic Management Journal, Vol. 21 No. 1, pp. 89‐97.

Brouthers, K.D. and Brouthers, L.E. (2003), “Why service and manufacturing entry mode choices differ: the influence of transaction cost factors, risk and trust”, Journal of Management Studies, Vol. 40 No. 5, pp. 1179‐204.

Brouthers, K., van Hastenburg, P. and van den Ven, J. (1998), “If most mergers fail why are they so popular?”, Long Range Planning, Vol. 31 No. 3, pp. 347‐53.

Burt, S. and Limmack, R. (2003), “The operating performance of companies involved in acquisitions in the U.K. retailing sector, 1977‐1992”, in Cooper, C. and Gregory, A. (Eds), Advances in Mergers and Acquisitions,Vol. 2, JAI Press, Amsterdam, pp. 147‐76.

Capron, L. and Mitchell, W. (1997), “Outcomes of international telecommunication acquisitions: analysis of four cases with implications for acquisitions theory”, European Management Journal, Vol. 15 No. 3, pp. 237‐51.

Capron, L., Dussauge, P. and Mitchell, W. (1998), “Resource redeployment following horizontal acquisitions in Europe and North America, 1988‐1992”, Strategic Management Journal, Vol. 19 No. 7, pp. 631‐61.

Corstjens, J., Corstjens, M. and Lal, R. (1995), “Retail competition in the fast‐moving consumer goods industry: the case of France and the UK”, European Management Journal, Vol. 13 No. 4, pp. 363‐73.

Chen, H. and Hu, M.Y. (2002), “An analysis of determinants of entry mode and its impact on performance”, International Business Review, Vol. 11 No. 2, pp. 193‐210.

Cullen, B. and Whelan, A. (1997), “Concentration of the retail sector and trapped brands”, Long Range Planning, Vol. 30 No. 6, pp. 906‐16.

Das, T.K. and Teng, B‐S. (1998), “Resource and risk management in strategic alliance making process”, Journal of Management, Vol. 24 No. 1, pp. 21‐42.

Davis, P.S., Desai, A.B. and Francis, J.D. (2000), “Mode of international entry: an isomorphism perspective”, Journal of International Business, Vol. 31 No. 2, pp. 239‐58.

Dawson, J. (2001), “Strategy and opportunism in European retail internationalization”, British Journal of Management, Vol. 12 No. 4, pp. 253‐66.

Dragun, D. and Howard, E. (2003), “Value effects of corporate consolidation in European retailing”, International Journal of Retail & Distribution Management, Vol. 31 No. 1, pp. 42‐54.

Dries, L., Reardon, T. and Swinnen, J.F.M. (2004), “The rapid rise of supermarkets in Central and Eastern Europe: implications for the agrifood sector and rural development”, Development Policy Review, Vol. 22 No. 5, pp. 525‐56.

Dyer, J.H., Kale, P. and Singh, H. (2004), “When to ally & when to acquire”, Harvard Business Review, Vol. 82 Nos 7/8, pp. 109‐15.

Erramilli, M.K. and Rao, C.P. (1993), “Service firms' international entry mode choice: a modified transaction‐cost analysis approach”, Journal of Marketing, Vol. 57 No. 3, pp. 19‐38.

Evans, J.R. (2005), “Are largest public retailers top financial performers? A longitudinal analysis”, International Journal of Retail & Distribution Management, Vol. 33 No. 11, pp. 842‐57.

Fernie, J. and Arnold, S.J. (2002), “Wal‐Mart in Europe: prospects for Germany, the UK and France”, International Journal of Retail & Distribution Management, Vol. 30 No. 2, pp. 92‐102.

Finkelstein, S. (1997), “Interindustry merger patterns and resource dependence: a replication and extension of Pfeffer (1972)”, Strategic Management Journal, Vol. 18 No. 10, pp. 787‐810.

Goskomstat (2004), Regioni Rossii – Sotsialno‐ekonomitscheskie pokasateli, Goskomstat, Moscow.

Gurdjian, P., Kerschbaumer, G., Kliger, M. and Waterous, J. (2000), “Bagging Europe's groceries”, McKinsey Quarterly, No. 2, Special Edition, pp. 68‐75.

Harzing, A‐W. (2002), “Acquisitions versus greenfield investments: international strategy and management of entry modes”, Strategic Management Journal, Vol. 23 No. 3, pp. 211‐27.

Haspeslagh, P.C. and Jemison, D.B. (1991), Managing Acquisitions: Creating Value through Corporate Renewal, The Free Press, New York, NY.

Healy, P.M., Palepu, K.G. and Ruback, R.S. (1992), “Does corporate performance improve after mergers?”, Journal of Financial Economics, Vol. 31 No. 2, pp. 135‐75.

Hennart, J‐F. and Reddy, S. (1997), “The choice between mergers/acquisitions and joint ventures: the case of Japanese investors in the United States”, Strategic Management Journal, Vol. 18 No. 1, pp. 1‐12.

Hollingsworth, A. (2004), “Increasing retail concentration: evidence from the UK food retail sector”, British Food Journal, Vol. 106 No. 8, pp. 629‐38.

Hosken, D. and Simpson, J.D. (2001), “Have supermarket mergers raised prices? An event study analysis”, International Journal of the Economics of Business, Vol. 8 No. 3, pp. 329‐42.

Hunt, J.W. (1990), “Changing pattern of acquisition behaviour in takeovers and the consequences for acquisition processes”, Strategic Management Journal, Vol. 11 No. 1, pp. 69‐77.

Hurt, M. and Hurt, S. (2005), “Transfer of managerial practices by French food retailers to operations in Poland”, Academy of Management Executive, Vol. 19 No. 2, pp. 36‐49.

Jensen, M.C. and Ruback, R.S. (1983), “The market for corporate control: the scientific evidence”, Journal of Financial Economics, Vol. 11 Nos 1/4, pp. 5‐50.

Kearney, A.T. (2004), “The 2004 global retail development index‐emerging market priorities for global retailers”, available at: www.atkearney.com.

King, D.R., Dalton, D.R., Daily, C.M. and Covin, J.G. (2004), “Meta‐analyses of post‐acquisition performance: indications of unidentified moderators”, Strategic Management Journal, Vol. 25 No. 2, pp. 187‐200.

Kogut, B. and Singh, H. (1988), “The effect of national culture on the choice of entry mode”, Journal of International Business Studies, Vol. 10 No. 3, pp. 411‐32.

Kozminski, A.K. and Yip, G.S. (Eds) (2000), Strategies for Central and Eastern Europe, Macmillan Business, Basingstoke.

Kumar, N. (2005), “The global retail challenge”, Business Strategy Review, Vol. 16 No. 1, pp. 5‐13.

Larsson, R. and Finkelstein, S. (1999), “Integrating strategic, organizational, and human resource perspectives on mergers and acquisitions: a case survey of synergy realization”, Organization Science, Vol. 10 No. 1, pp. 1‐26.

Lorentz, H. (2005), “Development trends in the Russian food retail industry”, in Morgan, E.J. and Fai, F. (Eds), Proceedings of the 32nd Annual Conference of Academy of International Business, UK Chapter, pp. 85‐6.

McGurr, P.T. (2002), “The largest retail firms: a comparison of Asia‐, Europe‐ and US‐based retailers”, International Journal of Retail & Distribution Management, Vol. 30 No. 3, pp. 145‐50.

Menkhaus, D.J., Yakunina, A.V. and Herz, P.J. (2004), “Food retailing and supply chain linkages in the Russian federation”, Journal of East‐West Business, Vol. 10 No. 3, pp. 53‐73.

OECD (2001), Patterns of Industrial Globalisation: Cross‐Border Mergers and Acquisitions and Strategic Alliances, OECD, Paris.

Osland, G.E., Taylor, C.R. and Zou, S. (2001), “Selecting international modes of entry and expansion”, Marketing Intelligence & Planning, Vol. 19 No. 3, pp. 153‐61.

Palmer, M. and Quinn, B. (2003), “The strategic role of investment banks in the retailer internationalisation process: is this venture marketing?”, European Journal of Marketing, Vol. 37 No. 10, pp. 1391‐408.

Pfeffer, J. (1972), “Merger as a response to organizational interdependence”, Administrative Science Quarterly, Vol. 17 No. 3, pp. 382‐94.

Reardon, T. and Berdegué, J.A. (2002), “The rapid rise of supermarkets in Latin America: challenges and opportunities for development”, Development Policy Review, Vol. 20 No. 4, pp. 371‐88.

Roberts, G.H. (2005), “Auchan's entry into Russia: prospects and research implications”, International Journal of Retail & Distribution Management, Vol. 33 No. 1, pp. 49‐68.

Rogers, H., Ghauri, P. and George, K. (2005), “The impact of market orientation on the internationalization of retailing firms: Tesco in Eastern Europe”, International Review of Retail, Distribution & Consumer Research, Vol. 15 No. 1, pp. 53‐74.

Schuler, R. and Jackson, S. (2001), “HR issues and activities in mergers and acquisitions”, European Management Journal, Vol. 19 No. 3, pp. 239‐53.

Shimizu, K., Hitt, M.A., Vaidyanath, D. and Pisano, V. (2004), “Theoretical foundations of cross‐border mergers and acquisitions: a review of current research and recommendations for the future”, Journal of International Management, Vol. 10 No. 3, pp. 307‐53.

Shrivastava, P. (1986), “Postmerger integration”, Journal of Business Strategy, Vol. 7 No. 1, pp. 65‐76.

Steiner, P.O. (1977), Mergers. Motives, Effects, Policies, University of Michigan Press, Ann Arbor, MI.

Tatoglu, E., Demirbag, M. and Kaplan, G. (2003), “Motives for retailer internationalization to central and Eastern Europe”, Emerging Markets, Finance & Trade, Vol. 39 No. 4, pp. 40‐57.

Taylor, D.H. (1994), “Problems of food supply logistics in Russia and the CIS”, International Journal of Physical Distribution & Logistics Management, Vol. 24 No. 2, pp. 15‐22.

Troika Dialog Research (2005), Consumer Sector – Off to the Market, Troika Dialog, Moscow, October.

UNCTAD (2004a), Prospects for FDI flows, Transnational Corporation Strategies and Promotion Policies: 2004‐2007, UNCTAD, São Paulo.

UNCTAD (2004b), World Investment Report 2004 – The Shift towards Services, UNCTAD, New York, NY.

UNCTAD (2005), World Investment Report 2005 – Transnational Corporations the Internationalization of R&D, UNCTAD, New York, NY.

Walter, G.A. and Barney, J.B. (1990), “Management objectives in mergers and acquisitions”, Strategic Management Journal, Vol. 11 No. 1, pp. 79‐86.

Wrigley, N. (1997a), “British food retail capital in the USA – Part 1: Sainsbury and the Shaw's experience”, International Journal of Retail & Distribution Management, Vol. 25 No. 1, pp. 7‐21.

Wrigley, N. (1997b), “British food retail capital in the USA – Part 2: giant prospects?”, International Journal of Retail & Distribution Management, Vol. 25 No. 2, pp. 48‐58.

Wrigley, N. (2000a), “The globalization of retail capital: themes for economic geography”, in Clark, G.L., Feldman, M.P., Gertler, M.S. and Williams, K. (Eds), The Oxford Handbook of Economic Geography, Oxford University Press, Oxford, pp. 292‐313.

Wrigley, N. (2000b), “Strategic market behaviour in the internationalization of food retailing – Interpreting the third wave of Sainsbury's US diversification”, European Journal of Marketing, Vol. 34 No. 8, pp. 891‐919.

Wrigley, N. (2002), “The landscape of Pan‐European food retail consolidation”, International Journal of Retail & Distribution Management, Vol. 30 No. 2, pp. 81‐91.

Wrigley, N. and Currah, A. (2003), “The stresses of retail internationalization: lessons from Royal Ahold's experience in Latin America”, International Review of Retail, Distribution & Consumer Research, Vol. 13 No. 3, pp. 221‐43.

Yegorov, I. (2003), “Current consumer market developments and retail projects in St Petersburg”, available at: www.bisnis.doc.gov.

IMF (2005), Russian Federation and the IMF, available at: www.imf.org/external/country.