A Score Type Test for General Autoregressive Models in Time Series

Acta Mathematicae Applicatae Sinica, English Series - Tập 23 - Trang 439-450 - 2007
Jian-hong Wu1, Li-xing Zhu2,3
1College of Statistics and Mathematics, Zhejiang Gongshang University, Hangzhou, China
2Hong Kong Baptist University, Hong Kong, China
3East China Normal University, Shanghai, China

Tóm tắt

This paper is devoted to the goodness-of-fit test for the general autoregressive models in time series. By averaging for the weighted residuals, we construct a score type test which is asymptotically standard chi-squared under the null and has some desirable power properties under the alternatives. Specifically, the test is sensitive to alternatives and can detect the alternatives approaching, along a direction, the null at a rate that is arbitrarily close to n −1/2. Furthermore, when the alternatives are not directional, we construct asymptotically distribution-free maximin tests for a large class of alternatives. The performance of the tests is evaluated through simulation studies.

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