Towards a typology of risk preference: Four risk profiles describe two-thirds of individuals in a large sample of the U.S. population

Springer Science and Business Media LLC - Tập 66 - Trang 1-17 - 2022
Renato Frey1,2, Shannon M. Duncan3,4, Elke U. Weber2
1Cognitive and Behavioral Decision Research, Department of Psychology, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
2Princeton University, Princeton, USA
3Columbia University, New York, USA
4University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, USA

Tóm tắt

It has been a longstanding goal of the behavioral sciences to measure and model people’s risk preferences. In this article, we adopt a novel theoretical perspective of doing so and test to what extent specific types of individuals share similar risk profiles (i.e., configurations of multidimensional risk preferences). To this end, we analyzed data of a U.S. sample (N = 3,123) in a comprehensive and rigorous way, resulting in a twofold contribution. First, based on data from the Domain-Specific Risk-Taking scale (DOSPERT) and using a cross-validation procedure, we established a multidimensional trait space including general and domain-specific dimensions of risk preference. Second, we employed model-based cluster analyses in this multidimensional trait space, finding that 66% of participants can be described well with four basic risk profiles. In sum, the typological perspective proposed in this article has important implications for current theories of risk preference and the measurement of individual differences therein.

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