The Reproducibility of Observational Estimates of Surface and Atmospheric Temperature Change

American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS) - Tập 334 Số 6060 - Trang 1232-1233 - 2011
Benjamin D. Santer1, T. M. L. Wigley2, Karl E. Taylor1
1Program for Climate Model Diagnosis and Intercomparison, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA 94550, USA.
2National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO 80307–3000, USA.

Tóm tắt

Although concerns have been expressed about the reliability of surface temperature data sets, findings of pronounced surface warming over the past 60 years have been independently reproduced by multiple groups. In contrast, an initial finding that the lower troposphere cooled since 1979 could not be reproduced. Attempts to confirm this apparent cooling trend led to the discovery of errors in the initial analyses of satellite-based tropospheric temperature measurements.

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