Global modeling of nature’s contributions to people

American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS) - Tập 366 Số 6462 - Trang 255-258 - 2019
Rebecca Chaplin‐Kramer1,2, Richard Sharp2, Charlotte Weil2, Elena M. Bennett3, Unai Pascual4,5,6, Katie K. Arkema2,7, Kate A. Brauman1, Benjamin P. Bryant2, Anne D. Guerry2,7, Nick M. Haddad8, Maike Hamann1, Perrine Hamel2, Justin A. Johnson1, Lisa Mandle2, Henrique M. Pereira9,10, Stephen Polasky11, Mary Ruckelshaus2,7, M. Rebecca Shaw12, Jessica M. Silver2,7, Adrian Vogl2, Gretchen C. Daily2
1Institute on the Environment, University of Minnesota, Saint Paul, MN 55108, USA
2Natural Capital Project, Woods Institute for the Environment, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, USA
3Department of Natural Resource Sciences, McGill University, Sainte-Anne-de-Bellevue, Québec, H9X 3V9, Canada
4Basque Centre for Climate Change, Scientific Campus of the University of the Basque Country, 48940 Leioa, Bilbao, Spain.
5Basque Foundation for Science, Ikerbasque, 48013, Bilbao, Spain
6Centre for Development and Environment, University of Bern, 3012 Bern, Switzerland
7School of Environmental and Forest Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195, USA
8Kellogg Biological Station, Department of Integrative Biology, Hickory Corners, MI 49060, USA.
9CIBIO (Research Centre in Biodiversity and Genetic Resources)–InBIO (Research Network in Biodiversity and Evolutionary Biology), Universidade do Porto, 4485-661 Vairão, Portugal.
10German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv), Martin Luther University Halle-Wittenberg, 06108 Halle, Germany.
11Department of Applied Economics, University of Minnesota, Saint Paul, MN 55108, USA.
12World Wildlife Fund, San Francisco, CA 94105, USA.

Tóm tắt

The future of nature's contributions A recent Global Assessment by the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services has emphasized the urgent need to determine where and how nature's contribution matters most to people. Chaplin-Kramer et al. have developed a globalscale modeling of ecosystem services, focusing on water quality regulation, coastal protection, and crop pollination (see the Perspective by Balvanera). By 2050, up to 5 billion people may be at risk from diminishing ecosystem services, particularly in Africa and South Asia. Science , this issue p. 255 ; see also p. 184

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