Stabilization Wedges: Solving the Climate Problem for the Next 50 Years with Current Technologies

American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS) - Tập 305 Số 5686 - Trang 968-972 - 2004
Stephen W. Pacala1,2, Robert H. Socolow3,2
1Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544, USA
2Department of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA
3#N#Department of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544,USA

Tóm tắt

Humanity already possesses the fundamental scientific, technical, and industrial know-how to solve the carbon and climate problem for the next half-century. A portfolio of technologies now exists to meet the world's energy needs over the next 50 years and limit atmospheric CO 2 to a trajectory that avoids a doubling of the preindustrial concentration. Every element in this portfolio has passed beyond the laboratory bench and demonstration project; many are already implemented somewhere at full industrial scale. Although no element is a credible candidate for doing the entire job (or even half the job) by itself, the portfolio as a whole is large enough that not every element has to be used.

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The authors thank J. Greenblatt R. Hotinski and R. Williams at Princeton; K. Keller at Penn State; and C. Mottershead at BP. This paper is a product of the Carbon Mitigation Initiative (CMI) of the Princeton Environmental Institute at Princeton University. CMI (www.princeton.edu/∼cmi) is sponsored by BP and Ford.