Assessing the Vulnerability of the Agricultural Sector in Nghe An Province Due to the Impact of Climate Change Taking into Account the Weight of Indicators
Tóm tắt
Assessing the level of socio-economic vulnerability focuses on the degree of different impacts due to the threats of climate change.The variables of the vulnerability function is a set of indicators.In the process of impact, differentindicatorshave different roles, expressed by the weight of indicators. The selected set of indicator includes 20 indicators. The weights of these indicators are calculated by Analytic Hierarchy Process with the support of Expert Choice software.The results show that the indicators related to natural disasters in the exposure variable, indicators related to crop areas in sensitive variables and indicators related to the prevention and mitigation of adverse impacts of Climate change and natural disasters play the most important role in assessing the vulnerability.The results of assessing the level of vulnerability caused by the impacts of climate change and the natural disasters of the indicators show that: 18 out of 20 districts in the province have medium level of vulnerability.Particularly, in the two districts of Tuong Duong and Thanh Chuong,due to thehigh impact of climate change and natural disastersin combination with the low capacity of adaptation in the agricultural sector, the synthetic vulnerability is assessed at a high level.