Using a case-based reasoning approach for trading in sports betting markets

Aamodt A (1990) Knowledge-intensive case-based reasoning and sustained learning. In: Topics in case-based reasoning. Springer, Berlin, pp 274–288 Aamodt A, Plaza E (1994) Case-based reasoning; foundational issues, methodological variations, and system approaches. AI Commun 7(1):39–59 Ahn JJ, Byun HW, Oh KJ, Kim TY (2012) Bayesian forecaster using class-based optimization. Appl Intell 36(3):553–563 Alberola JM, Garcia-Fornes A, Espinosa A (2010) Price prediction in sports betting markets. In: Proceedings of the 8th German conference on multiagent system technologies, pp 197–208 Arias-Aranda D, Castro JL, Navarro M, Zurita JM (2009) A cbr system for knowing the relationship between flexibility and operations strategy. In: Proceedings of the 18th international symposium on foundations of intelligent systems, ISMIS’09, pp 463–472 Ates C (2004) Prediction markets are only human: subadditivity in probability judgments. In: MSC in finance and international business Berlemann M, Schmidt C (2001) Predictive accuracy of political stock markets—empirical evidence from a European perspective. Technical report 2001-57 Betfair (2009) http://www.betfaircorporate.com Chen Y, Goel S, Pennock D (2008) Pricing combinatorial markets for tournaments. In: STOC’08: proceedings of the 40th annual ACM symposium on theory of computing. ACM Press, New York, pp 305–314 Debnath S, Pennock DM, Giles CL, Lawrence S (2003) Information incorporation in online in-game sports betting markets. In: Proceedings of the 4th ACM conference on electronic commerce, EC ’03. ACM Press, New York, pp 258–259. doi:10.1145/779928.779987 Fischoff B, Slovic P, Lichtenstein S (1977) Knowing with certainty: the appropriateness of extreme confidence. J Exp Psychol Human Percept Perform 3:552–564 Forsythe R, Rietz T, Ross T (1999) Wishes, expectations and actions: a survey on price formation in election stock markets. J Econ Behav Organ 39(1):83–110 Fortnow L, Kilian J, Pennock DM, Wellman MP (2005) Betting Boolean-style: a framework for trading in securities based on logical formulas. Decis Support Syst 39(1):87–104. doi:10.1016/j.dss.2004.08.010 Gayer G (2010) Perception of probabilities in situations of risk: a case based approach. Games Econ Behav 68(1):130–143 Guo M, Pennock D (2009) Combinatorial prediction markets for event hierarchies. In: Proc of the 8th AAMAS’09. Int foundation for autonomous agents and multiagent systems, pp 201–208 Huang W, Lai K, Nakamori Y, Wang S (2004) Forecasting foreign exchange rates with artificial neural networks: a review. Int J Inf Technol Decis Mak 3(1):145–165 Hüllermeier E (2007) Case-based approximate reasoning. Theory and decision library, vol 44. Springer, Berlin Kim K-J, Ahn H (2012) Simultaneous optimization of artificial neural networks for financial forecasting. Appl Intell 36(4):887–898 LeBaron B (1998) Agent based computational finance: suggested readings and early research. J Econ Dyn Control Liu Y, Yang C, Yang Y, Lin F, Du X, Ito T (2012) Case learning for cbr-based collision avoidance systems. Appl Intell 36(2):308–319 Love BC (2008) Behavioural finance and sports betting markets. In: MSC in finance and international business Luque C, Valls JM, Isasi P (2011) Time series prediction evolving Voronoi regions. Appl Intell 34(1):116–126 Mantaras RLD, McSherry D, Bridge D, Leake D, Smyth B, Craw S, Faltings B, Maher M, Lou C, Forbus MCK, Keane M, Aamodt A, Watson I (2005) Retrieval, reuse, revision and retention in case-based reasoning. Knowl Eng Rev 20(3):215–240 Moody J (1995) Economic forecasting: challenges and neural network solutions. In: Proceedings of the international symposium on artificial neural networks Ontañón S, Plaza E (2009) Argumentation-based information exchange in prediction markets. Argument Multi-Agent Syst 5384:181–196 Ontañón S, Plaza E (2011) An argumentation framework for learning, information exchange, and joint-deliberation in multi-agent systems. Multiagent Grid Syst 7:95–108 Palmer R, Arthur W, Holland J, Lebaron B, Tayler P (1994) Artificial economic life: a simple model of a stock market. Physica D 75:264–274 Pennock D, Debnath S, Glover E, Giles C (2002) Modelling information incorporation in markets, with application to detecting and explaining events. In: Proceedings of the 18th annual conference on uncertainty in artificial intelligence (UAI-02), San Francisco, CA. Morgan Kaufmann, San Mateo, pp 404–405 Pennock DM, Lawrence S, Nielsen FÅ, Giles CL (2001) Extracting collective probabilistic forecasts from web games. In: Proceedings of the seventh ACM SIGKDD international conference on knowledge discovery and data mining, KDD ’01. ACM Press, New York, pp 174–183. doi:10.1145/502512.502537 Plott CR (2000) Markets as information gathering tools. South Econ J 67(1):2–15 Qian B, Rasheed K (2007) Stock market prediction with multiple classifiers. Appl Intell 26(1):25–33 Raudys S, Zliobaite I (2006) The multi-agent system for prediction of financial time series. In: ICAISC, vol 4029. Springer, Berlin, pp 653–662 Schmidt C, Werwatz A (2002) How accurate do markets predict the outcome of an event? The euro 2000 soccer championship experiment, 2002-09. Max Planck Institute of Economics, Strategic Interaction Group. http://ideas.repec.org/p/esi/discus/2002-09.html Shiu SCK, Pal SK (2004) Case-based reasoning: concepts, features and soft computing. Appl Intell 21(3):233–238 Wellman MP, Reeves DM, Lochner KM, Vorobeychik Y (2004) Price prediction in a trading agent competition. J Artif Intell Res 21:19–36