Đô thị hóa và cường độ năng lượng: Bằng chứng từ hiệu ứng ngưỡng thể chế

Springer Science and Business Media LLC - Tập 28 - Trang 11142-11157 - 2020
Zhongfei Chen1,2, Mengling Zhou1
1School of Economics, Jinan University, Guangzhou, China
2Institute of Resource Environment and Sustainable Development Research , Jinan University , Guangzhou, China

Tóm tắt

Nghiên cứu này, xem xét sự phát triển nhanh chóng của đô thị hóa cũng như mối lo ngại về an ninh năng lượng, phân tích ảnh hưởng của đô thị hóa đến cường độ năng lượng bằng cách sử dụng dữ liệu bảng của 72 quốc gia từ năm 2000 đến 2014. Ảnh hưởng của chất lượng thể chế đối với mối quan hệ giữa đô thị hóa và cường độ năng lượng cũng được đánh giá dựa trên mô hình ngưỡng bảng. Kết quả cho thấy sự gia tăng đô thị hóa dẫn đến cường độ năng lượng cao hơn. Tuy nhiên, hiệu ứng tích cực này của đô thị hóa đối với cường độ năng lượng có thể bị suy giảm 0,033 khi chất lượng thể chế vượt qua giá trị ngưỡng. Hiệu ứng trung gian tích cực của chất lượng thể chế chiếm khoảng 31,37% tổng hiệu ứng. Hơn nữa, hiệu ứng ngưỡng thể chế thay đổi tùy theo thu nhập quốc gia và loại năng lượng, và nó thúc đẩy việc giảm năng lượng nhiều hơn và tiêu thụ năng lượng ít hơn trong các nhóm OECD và không OECD, tương ứng. Hiệu ứng ngưỡng thể chế chỉ có ý nghĩa đối với nhóm năng lượng hóa thạch mà không phải đối với nhóm năng lượng tái tạo.

Từ khóa

#đô thị hóa #cường độ năng lượng #chất lượng thể chế #mô hình ngưỡng bảng #năng lượng hóa thạch #năng lượng tái tạo

Tài liệu tham khảo

Acemoglu D, Johnson S, Robinson JA (2005) Institutions as a fundamental cause of long-run growth. Handbook of Economic Growth 1:385–472 Acemoglu D, Robinson JA (2006) Economic origins of democracy and dictatorship. Cambridge University Press, New York Adams S, Klobodu EKM (2017) Urbanization, democracy, bureaucratic quality, and environmental degradation. J Policy Model 39:1035–1051 Adams S, Adom PK, Klobodu EKM (2016) Urbanization, regime type and durability, and environmental degradation in Ghana. Environ Sci Pollut Res 23:23825–23839 Ahlborg H, Boräng F, Jagers SC, Söderholm P (2015) Provision of electricity to African households: the importance of democracy and institutional quality. Energy Policy 87:125–135 Albino V, Berardi U, Dangelico RM (2015) Smart cities: definitions, dimensions, performance, and initiatives. J Urban Technol 22:3–21 Al-mulali U, Fereidouni HG, Lee JY, Sab CNBC (2013) Exploring the relationship between urbanization, energy consumption, and CO2 emission in MENA countries. Renew Sust Energ Rev 23:107–112 Al-Mulali U, Ozturk I (2015) The effect of energy consumption, urbanization, trade openness, industrial output, and the political stability on the environmental degradation in the MENA (Middle East and North African) region. Energy 84:382–389 Amuakwa-Mensah F, Adom PK (2017) Quality of institution and the FEG (forest, energy intensity, and globalization)-environment relationships in sub-Saharan Africa. Environ Sci Pollut Res 24:17455–17473 Aziz OG (2018) Institutional quality and FDI inflows in Arab economies. Financ Res Lett 25:111–123 Barzel Y (2002) A theory of the state: economic rights, legal rights, and the scope of the state. Cambridge University Press Behera SR, Dash DP (2017) The effect of urbanization, energy consumption, and foreign direct investment on the carbon dioxide emission in the SSEA (South and Southeast Asian) region. Renew Sust Energ Rev 70:96–106 Bellakhal R, Kheder SB, Haffoudhi H (2019) Governance and renewable energy investment in MENA countries: how does trade matter? Energy Econ 84:104541 Billger SM, Goel RK (2009) Do existing corruption levels matter in controlling corruption?: cross-country quantile regression estimates. J Dev Econ 90:299–305 Chong A, Gradstein M (2007) Inequality and institutions. Rev Econ Stat 89:454–465 Deichmann U, Reuter A, Vollmer S, Zhang F (2019) The relationship between energy intensity and economic growth: new evidence from a multi-country multi-sectorial dataset. World Dev 124:104664 Du W, Xia X-H (2018) How does urbanization affect GHG emissions? A cross-country panel threshold data analysis. Appl Energy 229:872–883 Elgin C, Oyvat C (2013) Lurking in the cities: urbanization and the informal economy. Struct Chang Econ Dyn 27:36–47 Fan J-L, Zhang Y-J, Wang B (2017) The impact of urbanization on residential energy consumption in China: an aggregated and disaggregated analysis. Renew Sust Energ Rev 75:220–233 Franco S, Mandla VR, Rao KRM (2017) Urbanization, energy consumption and emissions in the Indian context a review. Renew Sust Energ Rev 71:898–907 Ghosh S, Kanjilal K (2014) Long-term equilibrium relationship between urbanization, energy consumption and economic activity: empirical evidence from India. Energy 66:324–331 Goel RK, Nelson MA (2011) Measures of corruption and determinants of US corruption. Econ Gov 12:155–176 Hansen BE (1999) Threshold effects in non-dynamic panels: Estimation, testing, and inference. J Econom 93(2):345–368 Henderson V (2002) Urbanization in developing countries. World Bank Res Obs 17:89–112 Ibrahim MH, Law SH (2016) Institutional quality and CO2 emission–trade relations: evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa. S Afr J Econ 84:323–340 Islam R, Montenegro CE, Islam R (2002) What determines the quality of institutions? The World Bank Ji X, Chen B (2017) Assessing the energy-saving effect of urbanization in China based on stochastic impacts by regression on population, affluence and technology (STIRPAT) model. J Clean Prod 163:S306–S314 Jiang Z, Lin B (2012) China’s energy demand and its characteristics in the industrialization and urbanization process. Energy Policy 49:608–615 Jinke L, Hualing S, Dianming G (2008) Causality relationship between coal consumption and GDP: difference of major OECD and non-OECD countries. Appl Energy 85:421–429 Jones DW (1989) Urbanization and energy use in economic development. Energy J 10 Jones DW (1991) How urbanization affects energy-use in developing countries. Energy Policy 19(7):621–630 Komal R, Abbas F (2015) Linking financial development, economic growth and energy consumption in Pakistan. Renew Sust Energ Rev 44:211–220 Krey V, O’Neill BC, van Ruijven B, Chaturvedi V, Daioglou V, Eom J, Jiang L, Nagai Y, Pachauri S, Ren X (2012) Urban and rural energy use and carbon dioxide emissions in Asia. Energy Econ 34:S272–S283 Law SH, Azman-Saini W, Ibrahim MH (2013) Institutional quality thresholds and the finance–growth nexus. J Bank Financ 37:5373–5381 Lenzen M, Wier M, Cohen C, Hayami H, Pachauri S, Schaeffer R (2006) A comparative multivariate analysis of household energy requirements in Australia, Brazil, Denmark, India and Japan. Energy 31:181–207 Li K, Lin B (2015) Impacts of urbanization and industrialization on energy consumption/CO2 emissions: does the level of development matter? Renew Sust Energ Rev 52:1107–1122 Liddle B (2004) Demographic dynamics and per capita environmental impact: Using panel regressions and household decompositions to examine population and transport. Popul Environ 26:23–39 Liddle B, Lung S (2010) Age-structure, urbanization, and climate change in developed countries: revisiting STIRPAT for disaggregated population and consumption-related environmental impacts. Popul Environ 31(5):317–343 Liddle B (2013) The energy, economic growth, urbanization nexus across development: evidence from heterogeneous panel estimates robust to cross-sectional dependence. Energy J 34 Lin B, Chen Y (2019) Will economic infrastructure development affect the energy intensity of China’s manufacturing industry? Energy Policy 132:122–131 Lin B, Du Z (2015) How China’ s urbanization impacts transport energy consumption in the face of income disparity. Renew Sust Energ Rev 52:1693–1701 Liu Y, Xie Y (2013) Asymmetric adjustment of the dynamic relationship between energy intensity and urbanization in China. Energy Econ 36:43–54 Madlener R, Sunak Y (2011) Impacts of urbanization on urban structures and energy demand: what can we learn for urban energy planning and urbanization management? Sustain Cities Soc 1:45–53 Maruta AA (2019) Trade aid, institutional quality, and trade. J Econ Bus 103:25–37 Mishra V, Smyth R, Sharma S (2009) The energy-GDP nexus: evidence from a panel of Pacific Island countries. Resour Energy Econ 31:210–220 Moomaw RL, Shatter AM (1996) Urbanization and economic development: a bias toward large cities? J Urban Econ 40:13–37 O’Neill BC, Ren X, Jiang L, Dalton M (2012) The effect of urbanization on energy use in India and China in the iPETS model. Energy Econ 34:S339–S345 Owen AD (2006) Renewable energy: externality costs as market barriers. Energy Policy 34:632–642 Poumanyvong P, Kaneko S (2010) Does urbanization lead to less energy use and lower CO2 emissions? A cross-country analysis. Ecol Econ 70:434–444 Preacher KJ, Kelley K (2011) Effect size measures for mediation models: quantitative strategies for communicating indirect effects. Psychol Methods 16(2):93 Qu G, Slagter B, Sylwester K, Doiron K (2019) Explaining the standard errors of corruption perception indices. J Comp Econ 47:907–920 Rafiq S, Salim R, Nielsen I (2016) Urbanization, openness, emissions, and energy intensity: a study of increasingly urbanized emerging economies. Energy Econ 56:20–28 Sadorsky P (2013) Do urbanization and industrialization affect energy intensity in developing countries? Energy Econ 37:52–59 Salim RA, Shafiei S (2014) Urbanization and renewable and non-renewable energy consumption in OECD countries: an empirical analysis. Econ Model 38:581–591 Sarkodie SA, Adams S (2018) Renewable energy, nuclear energy, and environmental pollution: accounting for political institutional quality in South Africa. Sci Total Environ 643:1590–1601 Seligson MA (2006) The measurement and impact of corruption victimization: Survey evidence from Latin America. World Dev 34:381–404 Shafiei S, Salim RA (2014) Non-renewable and renewable energy consumption and CO2 emissions in OECD countries: a comparative analysis. Energy Policy 66:547–556 Shahbaz M, Lean HH (2012) Does financial development increase energy consumption? The role of industrialization and urbanization in Tunisia. Energy Policy 40:473–479 Shahbaz M, Loganathan N, Sbia R, Afza T (2015) The effect of urbanization, affluence and trade openness on energy consumption: a time series analysis in Malaysia. Renew Sust Energ Rev 47:683–693 Shi A (2003) The impact of population pressure on global carbon dioxide emissions, 1975–1996: evidence from pooled cross-country data. Ecol Econ 44:29–42 Sun H, Edziah BK, Sun C, Kporsu AK (2019) Institutional quality, green innovation and energy efficiency. Energy Policy 135:111002 Sweidan OD, Alwaked AA (2016) Economic development and the energy intensity of human well-being: evidence from the GCC countries. Renew Sust Energ Rev 55:1363–1369 York R (2007) Demographic trends and energy consumption in European Union Nations, 1960–2025. Soc Sci Res 36:855–872 Zhang C, Lin Y (2012) Panel estimation for urbanization, energy consumption and CO2 emissions: a regional analysis in China. Energy Policy 49:488–498 Zhang N, Yu K, Chen Z (2017) How does urbanization affect carbon dioxide emissions? A cross-country panel data analysis. Energy Policy 107:678–687 Zhang X, Geng Y, Shao S, Wilson J, Song X, You W (2020) China’s non-fossil energy development and its 2030 CO2 reduction targets: the role of urbanization. Appl Energy 261:114353 Yu Y, Zhang N, Kim JD (2020) Impact of urbanization on energy demand: An empirical study of the Yangtze River Economic Belt in China. Energy Policy 139:111354 Wang Q, Yang X (2019) Urbanization impact on residential energy consumption in China: the roles of income, urbanization level, and urban density. Environ Sci Pollut Res 26(4):3542–3555