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Đô thị hóa và cường độ năng lượng: Bằng chứng từ hiệu ứng ngưỡng thể chế
Tóm tắt
Nghiên cứu này, xem xét sự phát triển nhanh chóng của đô thị hóa cũng như mối lo ngại về an ninh năng lượng, phân tích ảnh hưởng của đô thị hóa đến cường độ năng lượng bằng cách sử dụng dữ liệu bảng của 72 quốc gia từ năm 2000 đến 2014. Ảnh hưởng của chất lượng thể chế đối với mối quan hệ giữa đô thị hóa và cường độ năng lượng cũng được đánh giá dựa trên mô hình ngưỡng bảng. Kết quả cho thấy sự gia tăng đô thị hóa dẫn đến cường độ năng lượng cao hơn. Tuy nhiên, hiệu ứng tích cực này của đô thị hóa đối với cường độ năng lượng có thể bị suy giảm 0,033 khi chất lượng thể chế vượt qua giá trị ngưỡng. Hiệu ứng trung gian tích cực của chất lượng thể chế chiếm khoảng 31,37% tổng hiệu ứng. Hơn nữa, hiệu ứng ngưỡng thể chế thay đổi tùy theo thu nhập quốc gia và loại năng lượng, và nó thúc đẩy việc giảm năng lượng nhiều hơn và tiêu thụ năng lượng ít hơn trong các nhóm OECD và không OECD, tương ứng. Hiệu ứng ngưỡng thể chế chỉ có ý nghĩa đối với nhóm năng lượng hóa thạch mà không phải đối với nhóm năng lượng tái tạo.
Từ khóa
#đô thị hóa #cường độ năng lượng #chất lượng thể chế #mô hình ngưỡng bảng #năng lượng hóa thạch #năng lượng tái tạoTài liệu tham khảo
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