Understanding outcome bias

Akerlof, 1982, Labor contracts as partial gift exchange, Q. J. Econ., 97, 543, 10.2307/1885099 Allison, 1995, The belief in majority determination of group decision outcomes, Basic Appl. Soc. Psychol., 16, 367, 10.1207/s15324834basp1603_7 Allison, 1990, Group decisions as social inference heuristics, J. Pers. Soc. Psychol., 58, 801, 10.1037/0022-3514.58.5.801 Andreoni, 2016 Andreoni, 2009, Social image and the 50–50 norm: a theoretical and experimental analysis of audience effects, Econometrica, 77, 1607, 10.3982/ECTA7384 Andreoni, 2005, Building rational cooperation, J. Econ. Theory, 127, 117, 10.1016/j.jet.2004.09.002 Andreoni, 2014 Baron, 1988, Outcome bias in decision evaluation, J. Pers. Soc. Psychol., 54, 569, 10.1037/0022-3514.54.4.569 Bartling, 2011, Shifting the blame: on delegation and responsibility, Rev. Econ. Stud., 79, 67, 10.1093/restud/rdr023 Bertrand, 2001, Are ceos rewarded for luck? The ones without principals are, Q. J. Econ., 116, 901, 10.1162/00335530152466269 Blount, 1995, When social outcomes aren't fair: the effect of causal attributions on preferences, Organ. Behav. Hum. Decis. Process., 63, 131, 10.1006/obhd.1995.1068 Bohren, 2018 Bolton, 1991, A comparative model of bargaining: theory and evidence, Am. Econ. Rev., 81, 1096 Bolton, 2000, Erc: a theory of equity, reciprocity, and competition, Am. Econ. Rev., 90, 166, 10.1257/aer.90.1.166 Brock, 2013, Dictating the risk: experimental evidence on giving in risky environments, Am. Econ. Rev., 103, 415, 10.1257/aer.103.1.415 Bushong, 2016 Cameron, 2008, Bootstrap-based improvements for inference with clustered errors, Rev. Econ. Stat., 90, 414, 10.1162/rest.90.3.414 Cappelen, 2013, Just luck: an experimental study of risk-taking and fairness, Am. Econ. Rev., 103, 1398, 10.1257/aer.103.4.1398 Charness, 2004, Attribution and reciprocity in an experimental labor market, J. Labor Econ., 22, 665, 10.1086/383111 Charness, 2007, Intention and stochastic outcomes: an experimental study, Econ. J., 117, 1051, 10.1111/j.1468-0297.2007.02066.x Charness, 2002, Understanding social preferences with simple tests, Q. J. Econ., 117, 817, 10.1162/003355302760193904 Coate, 1995, Altruism, the Samaritan's dilemma, and government transfer policy, Am. Econ. Rev., 85, 46 Cole, 2012, Do voters demand responsive governments? Evidence from Indian disaster relief, J. Dev. Econ., 97, 167, 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2011.05.005 Cushman, 2009, Accidental outcomes guide punishment in a “trembling hand” game, PLoS ONE, 4, 10.1371/journal.pone.0006699 Dana, 2007, Exploiting moral wiggle room: experiments demonstrating an illusory preference for fairness, Econ. Theory, 33, 67, 10.1007/s00199-006-0153-z Danz, 2018 de Oliveira, 2017, Reward the lucky? An experimental investigation of the impact of agency on luck and bonuses, J. Econ. Psychol., 62, 87, 10.1016/j.joep.2017.06.008 Demski, 1987, Delegated expertise, J. Account. Res., 25, 68, 10.2307/2491259 Ehrlinger, 2005, Peering into the bias blind spot: people's assessments of bias in themselves and others, Pers. Soc. Psychol. Bull., 31, 680, 10.1177/0146167204271570 Eil, 2011, The good news-bad news effect: asymmetric procession of objection information about yourself, Am. Econ. J. Microecon., 3, 114, 10.1257/mic.3.2.114 Epstein, 2008, Living with risk, Rev. Econ. Stud., 75, 1121, 10.1111/j.1467-937X.2008.00504.x Erkal, 2017 Exley, 2016, Excusing selfishness in charitable giving: the role of risk, Rev. Econ. Stud., 83, 587, 10.1093/restud/rdv051 Falk, 2008, Testing theories of fairness—intentions matter, Games Econ. Behav., 62, 287, 10.1016/j.geb.2007.06.001 Falk, 2006, A theory of reciprocity, Games Econ. Behav., 54, 293, 10.1016/j.geb.2005.03.001 Falk, 2016 Fehr, 2004, Third-party punishment and social norms, Evol. Hum. Behav., 25, 63, 10.1016/S1090-5138(04)00005-4 Fehr, 2000, Cooperation and punishment in public goods experiments, Am. Econ. Rev., 90, 980, 10.1257/aer.90.4.980 Fehr, 2002, Altruistic punishment in humans, Nature, 415, 137, 10.1038/415137a Fehr, 1999, A theory of fairness, competition, and cooperation, Q. J. Econ., 114, 817, 10.1162/003355399556151 Fischbacher, 2007, z-tree: Zurich toolbox for ready-made economic experiments, Exp. Econ., 10, 171, 10.1007/s10683-006-9159-4 Fischhoff, 1975, Hindsight is not equal to foresight: the effect of outcome knowledge on judgment under uncertainty, J. Exp. Psychol. Hum. Percept. Perform., 1, 288, 10.1037/0096-1523.1.3.288 Gauriot, 2019, Fooled by performance randomness: over-rewarding luck, Rev. Econ. Stat, 10.1162/rest_a_00783 Gino, 2009 Gneezy, 2014, Materazzi effect and the strategic use of anger in competitive interactions, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci., 111, 1334, 10.1073/pnas.1313789111 Gruppen, 1994, Outcome bias and cognitive dissonance in evaluating treatment decisions, Acad. Med., 69, 57, 10.1097/00001888-199410000-00042 Gurdal, 2013, Why blame?, J. Polit. Econ., 121, 1205, 10.1086/674409 Haggag, 2018, Attribution bias in consumer choice, Rev. Econ. Stud, 10.1093/restud/rdy054 Halevy, 2009 Hölmstrom, 1979, Moral hazard and observability, Bell J. Econ., 10, 74, 10.2307/3003320 Konow, 2000, Fair shares: accountability and cognitive dissonance in allocation decisions, Am. Econ. Rev., 90, 1072, 10.1257/aer.90.4.1072 Konow, 2005, Blind spots: the effects of information and stakes on fairness bias and dispersion, Soc. Justice Res., 18, 349, 10.1007/s11211-005-8566-6 Landmann, 2016, What elicits third-party anger? The effects of moral violation and others' outcome on anger and compassion, Cogn. Emot., 31, 1 Lefgren, 2014, Sticking with what (barely) worked: a test of outcome bias, Manag. Sci., 61, 1121, 10.1287/mnsc.2014.1966 Lefgren, 2016, Effort, luck, and voting for redistribution, J. Public Econ., 143, 89, 10.1016/j.jpubeco.2016.08.012 Loewenstein, 2003, Projection bias in predicting future utility, Q. J. Econ., 118, 1209, 10.1162/003355303322552784 Mackie, 1998, Ingroup and outgroup inferences: when ingroup bias overwhelms outcome bias, Eur. J. Soc. Psychol., 28, 343, 10.1002/(SICI)1099-0992(199805/06)28:3<343::AID-EJSP863>3.0.CO;2-U Mackie, 2001, The impact of perceiver attitudes on outcome-biased dispositional inferences, Social Cogn., 19, 71, 10.1521/soco.19.1.71.18960 Mackie, 1990, Outcome-biased inferences and the perception of change in groups, Social Cogn., 8, 325, 10.1521/soco.1990.8.4.325 McCabe, 2003, Positive reciprocity and intentions in trust games, J. Econ. Behav. Organ., 52, 267, 10.1016/S0167-2681(03)00003-9 Myerson, 1991 Nelson, 2002, Equity or intention: it is the thought that counts, J. Econ. Behav. Organ., 48, 423, 10.1016/S0167-2681(01)00245-1 Pronin, 2007, Perception and misperception of bias in human judgment, Trends Cogn. Sci., 11, 37, 10.1016/j.tics.2006.11.001 Pronin, 2002, The bias blind spot: perceptions of bias in self versus others, Pers. Soc. Psychol. Bull., 28, 369, 10.1177/0146167202286008 Rabin, 1993, Incorporating fairness into game theory and economics, Am. Econ. Rev., 83, 1281 Rubin, 2015, Principal-agent settings with random shocks, Manag. Sci., 62, 985, 10.1287/mnsc.2015.2177 Sarsons, 2017 Schwarz, 1983, Mood, misattribution, and judgments of well-being: informative and directive functions of affective states, J. Pers. Soc. Psychol., 45, 513, 10.1037/0022-3514.45.3.513 Stein, 2016 Sutter, 2007, Outcomes versus intentions: on the nature of fair behavior and its development with age, J. Econ. Psychol., 28, 69, 10.1016/j.joep.2006.09.001 Weber, 2001, The illusion of leadership: misattribution of cause in coordination games, Organ. Sci., 12, 582, 10.1287/orsc.12.5.582.10090 Wolfers, 2002