Trading hard hats for combat helmets: The economics of rebellion in eastern Ukraine
Tài liệu tham khảo
Anushevskaya, 2014, Ekonomika donbassa, Argumenty i Fakty
Balcells, 2011, Continuation of politics by two means: direct and indirect violence in civil war, J. Confl. Resolut., 55, 397, 10.1177/0022002711400865
Bates, 1983, Modernization, ethnic competition, and the rationality of politics in contemporary africa, State versus ethnic claims: African policy dilemmas, 152, 171
Bazzi, 2014, Economic shocks and conflict: evidence from commodity prices, Am. Econ. J.: Macroecon., 6, 1
Becker, 1968, Crime and punishment: an economic approach, J. Polit. Econ., 76, pp.169, 10.1086/259394
Bergholt, 2012, Climate-related natural disasters, economic growth, and armed civil conflict, J. Peace Res., 49, 147, 10.1177/0022343311426167
Besley, 2011, The logic of political violence, Q. J. Econ., 126, 1411, 10.1093/qje/qjr025
Besley, 2008, The incidence of civil war: Theory and evidence
Blattman, 2010, Civil war, J. Econ. Lit., 48, 3, 10.1257/jel.48.1.3
Brückner, 2010, International commodity prices, growth and the outbreak of civil war in sub-saharan africa*, Econ. J., 120, 519, 10.1111/j.1468-0297.2010.02353.x
Brückner, 2011, Rain and the democratic window of opportunity, Econometrica, 79, 923, 10.3982/ECTA8183
Buhaug, 2008, Disaggregating ethno-nationalist civil wars: a dyadic test of exclusion theory, Int. Organ., 62, 10.1017/S0020818308080181
Bureau van Dijk Electronic Publishing, 2015. Orbis database.
Cederman, 2011, Horizontal inequalities and ethnonationalist civil war: a global comparison, Am. Polit. Sci. Rev., 105, 478, 10.1017/S0003055411000207
Cederman, 2010, Why do ethnic groups rebel? new data and analysis, World Polit., 62, 87, 10.1017/S0043887109990219
Central Election Commission of Ukraine, 2010. Vybory prezydenta 2010 [presidential elections 2010]. http://www.cvk.gov.ua/vp_2010/.
Chaney, 2013, Revolt on the nile: economic shocks, religion, and political power, Econometrica, 81, 2033, 10.3982/ECTA10233
Ciccone, 2011, Economic shocks and civil conflict: a comment, Am. Econ. J.: Appl. Econ., 3, 215
CIESIN, Columbia University, 2005. Gridded population of the world, version 3 (GPWv3) data collection. Center for International Earth Science Information Network (CIESIN), Centro Internacional de Agricultura Tropical (CIAT).
CityNews, 2015. Prokuratura otkryla proizvodstvo v otnoshenii pao luganskteplovoz za finansirovanie terrorizma [prosecutor opens criminal proceedings against luhanskteplovoz for terrorist financing]. citynews.net.ua.
Collier, 1998, On economic causes of civil war, Oxford Econ. Papers, 50, 563, 10.1093/oep/50.4.563
Collier, 2004, Greed and grievance in civil war, Oxford Econ. Papers New Ser., 56, 563, 10.1093/oep/gpf064
Dal Bó, 2011, Workers, warriors, and criminals: social conflict in general equilibrium, J. Eur. Econ. Assoc., 9, 646, 10.1111/j.1542-4774.2011.01025.x
Defense Mapping Agency, 1992. Development of the digital chart of the world. U.S. Government Printing Office.
Delegation of the European Union to Ukraine, 2013. The eu-ukraine association agreement and deep and comprehensive free trade area: what’s it all about? European External Action Service.
Dube, 2013, Commodity price shocks and civil conflict: evidence from colombia, Rev. Econ. Stud., 80, 1384, 10.1093/restud/rdt009
Elbadawi, 2002, How much war will we see? explaining the prevalence of civil war, J. Confl. Resolut., 46, 307, 10.1177/0022002702046003001
Fearon, 1995, Rationalist explanations for war, Int. Organ., 49, 379, 10.1017/S0020818300033324
Fearon, 1998, Commitment problems and the spread of ethnic conflict, 107
Fearon, 2004, Why do some civil wars last so much longer than others?, J. Peace Res., 41, 275, 10.1177/0022343304043770
Gentile, 2015, West oriented in the east-oriented donbas: a political stratigraphy of geopolitical identity in luhansk, ukraine, Post-Soviet Affairs, 31, 201, 10.1080/1060586X.2014.995410
Gleditsch, 2007, Transnational dimensions of civil war, J. Peace Res., 44, 293, 10.1177/0022343307076637
Global Administrative Areas, 2012. Gadm database of global administrative areas.
Grossman, 1991, A general equilibrium model of insurrections, Am. Econ. Rev., 81
Guillory, 2014, Donbass miners and the people’s republics, Warscapes
Hegre, 2006, Sensitivity analysis of empirical results on civil war onset, J. Confl. Resolut., 50, 508, 10.1177/0022002706289303
Hoeting, 1999, Bayesian model averaging: a tutorial, Stat. Sci., 14, 382
Iyer, 2014, Poverty and crime: evidence from rainfall and trade shocks in India
Karpov, P., 2014. Zavod rabotaet v obychnom rezhime. luganskteplovoz.com. URL: http://www.luganskteplovoz.com/News/OnlyNews/277.
Koluntovych, 2014, Rol’ donbassa v ekonomike ukrainy [role of donbas in ukraine’s economy], Ukrainskiy vybor
Koubi, 2012, Climate variability, economic growth, and civil conflict, J. Peace Res., 49, 113, 10.1177/0022343311427173
Langston, 2015, On the dnr frontline: Ukraine’s failed ceasefire (part 1), Vice News
Loveland, 2000, Development of a global land cover characteristics database and igbp discover from 1 km avhrr data, Int. J. Remote Sens., 21, 1303, 10.1080/014311600210191
Luhn, 2014, East ukraine protestors joined by miners of the barricades, The Guardian
Madigan, 1994, Model selection and accounting for model uncertainty in graphical models using occam’s window, J. Am. Stat. Assoc., 89, 1535, 10.1080/01621459.1994.10476894
Makogon, 2014, Ekonomika donbassa ne smozhet sushchestvovat’ bez ukrainy [Donbass’ economy cannot exist without Ukraine], Segondya
Maystadt, 2014, Extreme weather and civil war: does drought fuel conflict in somalia through livestock price shocks?, Am. J. Agric. Econ., 96, 1157, 10.1093/ajae/aau010
Miguel, 2011, Re-examining economic shocks and civil conflict, Am. Econ. J.: Appl. Econ., 3, 228
Miguel, 2004, Economic shocks and civil conflict: an instrumental variables approach, J. Polit. Econ., 112, 725, 10.1086/421174
Ministry of Economic Development of the Russian Federation, 2014. Kratkie itogi vzaimnoy torgovli tovarami i uslugami rossii i ukrainy v janvare-sentyabre 2014 goga [short summary of russian-ukrainan bilateral trade in january-september 2014]. Foreign trade information portal. URL: http://www.ved.gov.ru/exportcountries/ua/ua_ru_relations/ua_ru_trade/.
Montgomery, 2012, Improving predictions using ensemble bayesian model averaging, Polit. Anal., 20, 271, 10.1093/pan/mps002
Montgomery, 2010, Bayesian model averaging: theoretical developments and practical applications, Polit. Anal., 18, 245, 10.1093/pan/mpq001
Morin, 2014, Donbass: zabytyi referendum-1994 [donbass: the forgotten referendum of 1994], The Kyiv Times
Ostrovsky, 2015, Should the us send lethal aid to ukraine?, Vice News
OstroVu, 2015, Luganskteplovoz okonchatel’no ostanovil vse raboty [luhanskteplovoz permanantly halted operations], OstroVu
Popeski, 2014, Kyiv at crossroad: ‘all we can do is hope for the best’, Winnipeg Free Press
Saideman, 2000, Determining the causes of irredentism: logit analyses of minorities at risk data from the 1980s and 1990s, J. Polit., 62, 1126, 10.1111/0022-3816.00049
Salehyan, 2007, Transnational rebels: neighboring states as sanctuary for rebel groups, World Polit., 59, 217, 10.1353/wp.2007.0024
Salehyan, 2011, Explaining external support for insurgent groups, Int. Organ., 65, 709, 10.1017/S0020818311000233
Savun, 2010, Exogenous shocks, bargaining problems, and the onset of civil war
Segodnya, 2015, Ekonomika donetskoy oblasti v upadke iz-za voyny - gubernator kikhtenko, Segodnya
Siegelbaum, 1995
Stasenko, 2014, Novaya ekonomika ukrainy budet stroit’sya bez rossii i donbassa [ukraine’s new economy will be built without russia or the donbas], Delo.ua
State Committee on Statistics of Ukraine, 2001. Ukrainian census 2001. State Committee on Statistics of Ukraine.
State Committee on Statistics of Ukraine, 2013. Geografichna struktura zovnishn’oy torgovli tovaramy za 2013 rik [geographic structure of foreign trade in goods in 2013]. URL: http://www.ukrstat.gov.ua/operativ/operativ2013/zd/ztt/ztt_u/ztt1213_u.htm.
State Statistics Service of Ukraine, 2015. Statystichna informatsiya [statistical information]. URL: http://www.ukrstat.gov.ua/.
Tarnavskiy, 2014, Vymirayushchaya promyshlennost’ [dying industry], MinProm
TASS, 2014, Manturov: Rossiya zamestit vse postavki iz ukrainy za 3 goda [manturov: Russia will substitute all ukrainian imports within 3 years], TASS
Toft, 2003
Tullock, 1971, The paradox of revolution, Public Choice, 11, 89, 10.1007/BF01726214
Ulfelder, J., 2012. Forecasting onsets of mass killing. Available at SSRN 2056306.
U.S. Geological Survey, 1996. Global 30-Arc-Second Elevation Data Set. Dni.ru.
Walker, 2013, Ukraine’s eu trade deal will be catastrophic, says russia, The Guardian
Weidmann, 2009, Geography as Motivation and Opportunity: group Concentration and Ethnic Conflict, J. Confl. Resolut., 53, 526, 10.1177/0022002709336456
Wimmer, 2002
Zhukov, 2012, Roads and the diffusion of insurgent violence: the logistics of conflict in Russia’s North Caucasus, Polit. Geogr., 31, 144, 10.1016/j.polgeo.2011.12.002