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Các chính sách thuốc lá tại Louisiana: Các khuyến nghị cho đầu tư kiểm soát thuốc lá trong tương lai từ SimSmoke, một mô hình mô phỏng chính sách
Tóm tắt
Mặc dù đã có chính sách kiểm soát thuốc lá, Louisiana vẫn tiếp tục phải đối mặt với gánh nặng hút thuốc cao và tỷ lệ tử vong do thuốc lá gia tăng. Mô hình SimSmoke cung cấp các dự đoán về các kết quả sức khỏe này trong bối cảnh các chính sách kiểm soát thuốc lá hiện tại và mở rộng (mô phỏng). Mô hình SimSmoke sử dụng dữ liệu dân số, tỷ lệ hút thuốc, và các biện pháp kiểm soát thuốc lá khác nhau từ Louisiana để dự đoán sự phổ biến của việc hút thuốc và tỷ lệ tử vong liên quan đến thuốc lá. Mô hình bắt đầu từ năm 1993 và các ước tính được dự đoán đến năm 2054. Mô hình được xác nhận với các dữ liệu tỷ lệ hút thuốc hiện có ở Louisiana. Biện pháp chính sách cá nhân mạnh mẽ nhất để giảm tỷ lệ hút thuốc là thuế tiêu thụ đặc biệt đối với thuốc lá. Tuy nhiên, một chính sách điều trị cai thuốc lá toàn diện được dự đoán sẽ cứu sống nhiều người nhất. Sự kết hợp của các chính sách kiểm soát thuốc lá sẽ mang lại sự giảm thiểu lớn nhất trong tỷ lệ hút thuốc và tỷ lệ tử vong liên quan đến thuốc lá. Thuế tiêu thụ đặc biệt hiện tại của Louisiana xếp vào hàng thấp nhất ở Mỹ và cơ quan lập pháp chống lại việc tăng thêm. Các biện pháp chính sách thay thế nhằm giảm tỷ lệ hút thuốc và tử vong liên quan bao gồm: các phương pháp điều trị cai thuốc, các chính sách không khói thuốc toàn diện, và hạn chế quyền tiếp cận của thanh thiếu niên. Ba chính sách này có ảnh hưởng đáng kể đến tỷ lệ hút thuốc và tử vong liên quan và khả năng cao sẽ gặp sự ủng hộ hơn trong cơ quan lập pháp Louisiana so với việc tăng thuế tiêu thụ đặc biệt của bang.
Từ khóa
#Louisiana #thuốc lá #kiểm soát thuốc lá #mô hình SimSmoke #chính sách cộng đồng #tỷ lệ hút thuốc #tử vong liên quan đến thuốc lá.Tài liệu tham khảo
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