Tipping points in adaptation to urban flooding under climate change and urban growth: The case of the Dhaka megacity

Abazi, 2005 Ahmed, 2018, Integrated adaptation tipping points (IATP) for urban flood resilience, Environ. Urban, 10.1177/0956247818776510 Ahmed, 2015, How will Dhaka grow spatially in future?-Modelling its urban growth with a near-future planning scenario perspective, Int. J. Sustain. Built Environ., 4, 359, 10.1016/j.ijsbe.2015.07.003 Alam, 2014, “The organized encroachment of land developers”—Effects on urban flood management in Greater Dhaka, Bangladesh, Sustain. Cities Soc., 10, 49, 10.1016/j.scs.2013.05.006 Alnsour, 2016, Managing urban growth in the city of Amman, Jordan, Cities, 50, 93, 10.1016/j.cities.2015.08.011 Araos, 2016, Climate change adaptation planning for global South megacities: the case of Dhaka, J. Environ. Policy Plan., 1 Bashar, 2005 Batty, 2003, 70 BBS, 2014 Brammer, 2010, After the Bangladesh flood action plan: looking to the future, Environ. Hazards, 9, 118, 10.3763/ehaz.2010.SI01 Corner, 2013, Monitoring and prediction of Land-use and Land-cover (LULC) change Costa, 1991, Evolving planning systems in Madrid, Rome, and Athens, GeoJournal, 24, 293, 10.1007/BF00189030 Dasgupta, 2015 Dewan, 2013 Dewan, 2008, Effect of Land cover changes on flooding: example from Greater Dhaka of Bangladesh, Int. J. Geoinf., 4 Discoli, 2012, Unplanned Urban growth and its effect on the sustainability, Resour. Environ., 2, 107, 10.5923/j.re.20120203.05 Djordjević, 2011, New policies to deal with climate change and other drivers impacting on resilience to flooding in urban areas: the CORFU approach, Environ. Sci. Policy, 14, 864, 10.1016/j.envsci.2011.05.008 DWASA, 2014 FAP-8A, 1991 FAP-8B, 1991 Gain, 2013, Flood risk assessment and its application in the eastern part of Dhaka City, Bangladesh, J. Flood Risk Manage., 6, 219, 10.1111/jfr3.12003 García, 2012, A comparative analysis of cellular automata models for simulation of small urban areas in Galicia, NW Spain, Comp. Environ. Urban Syst., 36, 291, 10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2012.01.001 GoB, 2014 Graham, 2004, Peri-urbanization and in-home environmental health risks: the side effects of planned and unplanned growth, Int. J. Hyg. Environ. Health, 207, 447, 10.1078/1438-4639-00314 Haasnoot, 2011, A method to develop sustainable water management strategies for an uncertain future, Sustain. Dev., 19, 369, 10.1002/sd.438 Islam, 2014 Kaya, 2006, Monitoring urban growth on the European side of the Istanbul metropolitan area: a case study, Int. J. Appl. Earth Obs. Geoinf., 8, 18, 10.1016/j.jag.2005.05.002 Kithiia, 2010, An integrated city-level planning process to address the impacts of climate change in Kenya: The case of Mombasa, Cities, 27, 466, 10.1016/j.cities.2010.08.001 Kwadijk, 2010, Using adaptation tipping points to prepare for climate change and sea level rise: a case study in the Netherlands, Wiley Interdiscip. Rev.: Clim. Change, 1, 729 Mahmoud, 2016, Analysis of settlement expansion and urban growth modelling using geoinformation for assessing potential impacts of urbanization on climate in Abuja City, Nigeria, Remote Sens., 8, 220, 10.3390/rs8030220 Monirul Qader Mirza, 2002, Global warming and changes in the probability of occurrence of floods in Bangladesh and implications, Global Environ. Change, 12, 127, 10.1016/S0959-3780(02)00002-X MPO (1986). National Water Plan. Volume I: Sector Analysis., Dhaka, Master Plan Organisation (MPO). Muis, 2015, Flood risk and adaptation strategies under climate change and urban expansion: a probabilistic analysis using global data, Sci. Total Environ., 538, 445, 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2015.08.068 Nicholls, 1995, Coastal megacities and climate change, GeoJournal, 37, 369, 10.1007/BF00814018 Onishi, 2013 Pathirana, 2014, Impact of urban growth-driven landuse change on microclimate and extreme precipitation—A sensitivity study, Atmos. Res., 138, 59, 10.1016/j.atmosres.2013.10.005 RAJUK, 2015, Dhaka structure plan, 2016 Roy, 2009, Planning for sustainable urbanisation in fast growing cities: mitigation and adaptation issues addressed in Dhaka, Bangladesh, Habitat Int., 33, 276, 10.1016/j.habitatint.2008.10.022 Shahid, 2016, Climate variability and changes in the major cities of Bangladesh: observations, possible impacts and adaptation, Regional Environ. Change, 16, 459, 10.1007/s10113-015-0757-6 Tawhid, 2004 UN, 2014 UNHSP, 2011 Veerbeek, 2017 Walker, 2011 Walker, 2013, Adapt or perish: a review of planning approaches for adaptation under deep uncertainty, Sustainability, 5, 955, 10.3390/su5030955 Walters, 2015, The problem of community resilience in two flooded cities: Dhaka 1998 and Brisbane 2011, Habitat Int., 50, 51, 10.1016/j.habitatint.2015.08.004 Werners, 2012 Winsemius, 2016, Global drivers of future river flood risk, Nat. Clim. Change, 6, 381, 10.1038/nclimate2893 Young, 2013, Urban expansion and environmental risk in the São Paulo metropolitan area, J. Climate Res., 57, 73, 10.3354/cr01161