Time series analysis of aerosol optical depth over New Delhi using Box–Jenkins ARIMA modeling approach

Atmospheric Pollution Research - Tập 7 - Trang 585-596 - 2016
Kanika Taneja1, Shamshad Ahmad1, Kafeel Ahmad1, S.D. Attri2
1Department of Civil Engineering, Jamia Millia Islamia, New Delhi, India
2India Meteorological Department, New Delhi, India

Tài liệu tham khảo

Abish, 2013, A stochastic model for predicting aerosol optical depth over the north Indian region, Int. J. Remote Sens., 34, 1449, 10.1080/01431161.2012.723149 Ahmad, 2002, Performance of stochastic approaches for forecasting river water quality, Water Res., 35, 4261, 10.1016/S0043-1354(01)00167-1 Attri, 2010 Box, 1994 Cadenas, 2010, Wind speed forecasting in three different regions of Mexico, using a hybrid ARIMA-ANN model, Renew. Energy, 35, 2732, 10.1016/j.renene.2010.04.022 Charlson, 1992, Climate forcing by anthropogenic aerosols, Science, 255, 423, 10.1126/science.255.5043.423 Chattopadhyay, 2009, Autoregressive forecast of monthly total ozone concentration—a neurocomputing approach, Comput. Geosci., 35, 1925, 10.1016/j.cageo.2008.11.007 Chattopadhyay, 2010, Univariate modelling of summer-monsoon rainfall time series: comparison between ARIMA and ARNN, CR Geoscience, 342, 100, 10.1016/j.crte.2009.10.016 Chaudhuri, 2014, Mann–Kendall trend of pollutants, temperature and humidity over an urban station of India with forecast verification using different ARIMA models, Environ. Monit. Assess., 186, 4719, 10.1007/s10661-014-3733-6 Chu, 2002, Validation of MODIS aerosol optical depth retrieval over land, Geophys. Res. Lett., 29, 1617, 10.1029/2001GL013205 de Meij, 2011, Evaluating aerosol optical properties observed by ground-based and satellite remote sensing over the Mediterranean and the Middle East in 2006, Atmos. Res., 99, 415, 10.1016/j.atmosres.2010.11.005 Dey, 2011, A decade of change in aerosol properties over the Indian subcontinent, Geophys. Res. Lett., L14811 Feng, 2013, Satellite and surface-based remote sensing of Southeast Asian aerosols and their radiative effects, Atmos. Res., 122, 544, 10.1016/j.atmosres.2012.02.018 Holben, 1998, AERONET-a federated instrument network and data archive for aerosol characterization, Remote Sens. Environ., 66, 1, 10.1016/S0034-4257(98)00031-5 Kaskaoutis, 2011, Contrasting aerosol trends over South Asia during the last decade based on MODIS observations, Atmos. Meas. Technol. Discuss., 4, 5275, 10.5194/amtd-4-5275-2011 King, 1992, Remote sensing of cloud, aerosol, and water vapour properties from the moderate resolution imaging spectroradiometer (MODIS), IEEE Trans. Geosci. Remote Sens., 30, 2, 10.1109/36.124212 Kripalani, 2001, Monsoon rainfall variations and teleconnections over South and East Asia, Int. J. Climatol., 21, 603, 10.1002/joc.625 Kumar, 2007, An empirical relationship between PM2.5 and aerosol optical depth in Delhi metropolitan, Atmos. Environ., 41, 4492, 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2007.01.046 Kyriakidis, 2001, Stochastic modeling of atmospheric pollution: a spatial time-series framework. Part I: methodology, Atmos. Environ., 35, 2331, 10.1016/S1352-2310(00)00541-0 Levy, 2010, Global evaluation of the Collection 5 MODIS dark-target aerosol products over land, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 10, 10399, 10.5194/acp-10-10399-2010 Moorthy, 2013, Buildup of aerosols over the Indian region, Geophys. Res. Lett., 40, 1011, 10.1002/grl.50165 Pandithurai, 2008, Aerosol radiative forcing during dust events over New Delhi, India, J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 113, D13209, 10.1029/2008JD009804 Prasad, 2007, Comparison of MISR-MODIS aerosol optical depth over the Indo-Gangetic basin during the winter and summer seasons (2000–2005), Remote Sens. Environ., 107, 109, 10.1016/j.rse.2006.09.026 Ramachandran, 2012, Contribution of natural and anthropogenic aerosols to optical properties and radiative effects over an urban location, Environ. Res. Lett., 7, 034028, 10.1088/1748-9326/7/3/034028 Remer, 2005, The MODIS aerosol algorithm, products, and validation, J. Atmos. Sci., 62, 947, 10.1175/JAS3385.1 Saha, 2005, Interannual variations of aerosol optical depth over coastal India: relation to synoptic meteorology, J. Appl. Meteorol., 44, 1066, 10.1175/JAM2256.1 Schwarz, 1978, Estimating the dimension of a model, Ann. Stat., 6, 461, 10.1214/aos/1176344136 Singh, 2005, Aerosol over Delhi during pre-monsoon months: characteristics and effect on surface radiative forcing, Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L13808, 10.1029/2005GL023062 Singh, 2010, Clear-sky direct aerosol radiative forcing variations over mega-city Delhi, Ann. Geophys., 28, 1157, 10.5194/angeo-28-1157-2010 Soni, 2014, Statistical analysis of aerosols over the Gangetic–Himalayan region using ARIMA model based on long-term MODIS observations, Atmos. Res., 149, 174, 10.1016/j.atmosres.2014.05.025 Srivastava, 2014, Aerosol characteristics over Delhi national capital region: a satellite view, Int. J. Remote Sens., 35, 5036, 10.1080/01431161.2014.934404 Srivastava, 2015, Aerosol optical properties and radiative effects over Manora Peak in the Himalayan foothills: seasonal variability and role of transported aerosols, Sci. Total Environ., 502, 287, 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2014.09.015 Srivastava, 2008, Source apportionment of suspended particulate matters in a clean area of Delhi: a note, Transp. Res. Part D Transp. Environ., 13, 59, 10.1016/j.trd.2007.09.001 Stier, 2005, The aerosol-climate model ECHAM5-HAM, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 5, 1125, 10.5194/acp-5-1125-2005 Taneja, 2014, Seasonal asymmetry of aerosol optical and radiative properties over New Delhi, India using ground-based observations, Glob. Sustain. Transit. Impacts Innov., 124 Tripathi, 2005, Ann. Geophys., 23, 1093, 10.5194/angeo-23-1093-2005 Tularam, 2010, Time series analysis of rainfall and temperature interactions in coastal catchments, J. Math. Stat., 6, 372, 10.3844/jmssp.2010.372.380 Twomey, 1974, Pollution and the planetary albedo, Atmos. Environ., 8, 1251, 10.1016/0004-6981(74)90004-3 Wang, 2014, An improved ARIMA model for precipitation simulations, Nonlinear Process. Geophys., 21, 1159, 10.5194/npg-21-1159-2014 Wild, 2005, From dimming to brightening: decadal changes in solar radiation at earth's surface, Science, 308, 847, 10.1126/science.1103215