The upper temperature thresholds of life

The Lancet Planetary Health - Tập 5 - Trang e378-e385 - 2021
Senthold Asseng1, Dietrich Spänkuch2, Ixchel M Hernandez-Ochoa3, Jimena Laporta4
1Department of Life Science Engineering, Technical University of Munich, Freising, Germany
2Leibniz Society of Sciences, Berlin, Germany
3Crop Science Group, Institute of Crop Science and Resource Conservation (INRES), University of Bonn, Bonn, Germany
4Department of Animal and Dairy Sciences, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI, USA

Tài liệu tham khảo

Abdelnour, 2019, Stress biomarkers and proteomics alteration to thermal stress in ruminants: a review, J Therm Biol, 79, 120, 10.1016/j.jtherbio.2018.12.013 Prosser, 1982, 2 Koppe, 2004 Habeeb, 2018, Temperature-humidity indices as indicators to heat stress of climatic conditions with relation to production and reproduction of farm animals, Int J Recent Adv Biotechnol, 1, 35, 10.18689/ijbr-1000107 Havenith, 2015, Thermal indices and thermophysiological modeling for heat stress, Compr Physiol, 6, 255, 10.1002/cphy.c140051 Campbell, 2018, Heatwave and health impact research: a global review, Health Place, 53, 210, 10.1016/j.healthplace.2018.08.017 Bunker, 2016, Effects of air temperature on climate-sensitive mortality and morbidity outcomes in the elderly; a systematic review and meta-analysis of epidemiological evidence, EBioMedicine, 6, 258, 10.1016/j.ebiom.2016.02.034 Basagaña, 2011, Heat waves and cause-specific mortality at all ages, Epidemiology, 22, 765, 10.1097/EDE.0b013e31823031c5 Malchaire, 2006, Occupational heat stress assessment by the Predicted Heat Strain model, Ind Health, 44, 380, 10.2486/indhealth.44.380 Wang, 2013, Effects of various protective clothing and thermal environments on heat strain of unacclimated men: the PHS (Predicted Heat Strain) model revisited, Ind Health, 51, 266, 10.2486/indhealth.2012-0073 Kjellstrom, 2019 Hansen, 2009, Effects of heat stress on mammalian reproduction, Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci, 364, 3341, 10.1098/rstb.2009.0131 Polsky, 2017, Invited review: effects of heat stress on dairy cattle welfare, J Dairy Sci, 100, 8645, 10.3168/jds.2017-12651 Lai, 2017, Evaluation of a hybrid personal cooling system using a manikin operated in constant temperature mode and thermoregulatory model control mode in warm conditions, Text Res J, 87, 46, 10.1177/0040517515622152 Blažeczyk, 2013, An introduction to the Universal Thermal Climate Index (UTCI), Geogr Pol, 86, 5, 10.7163/GPol.2013.1 Bröde, 2013, The Universal Thermal Climate Index UTCI compared to ergonomics standards for assessing the thermal environment, Ind Health, 51, 16, 10.2486/indhealth.2012-0098 Fiala, 2012, UTCI-Fiala multi-node model of human heat transfer and temperature regulation, Int J Biometeorol, 56, 429, 10.1007/s00484-011-0424-7 Havenith, 2012, The UTCI-clothing model, Int J Biometeorol, 56, 461, 10.1007/s00484-011-0451-4 Bröde, 2012, Deriving the operational procedure for the Universal Thermal Climate Index (UTCI), Int J Biometeorol, 56, 481, 10.1007/s00484-011-0454-1 Pappenberger, 2015, Global forecasting of thermal health hazards: the skill of probabilistic predictions of the Universal Thermal Climate Index (UTCI), Int J Biometeorol, 59, 311, 10.1007/s00484-014-0843-3 Di Napoli, 2018, Assessing heat-related health risk in Europe via the Universal Thermal Climate Index (UTCI), Int J Biometeorol, 62, 1155, 10.1007/s00484-018-1518-2 Marai, 2002, Rabbits' productive, reproductive and physiological performance traits as affected by heat stress: a review, Livest Prod Sci, 78, 71, 10.1016/S0301-6226(02)00091-X Porter, 1999, Temperatures and the growth and development of wheat: a review, Eur J Agron, 10, 23, 10.1016/S1161-0301(98)00047-1 Wang, 2017, The uncertainty of crop yield projections is reduced by improved temperature response functions, Nat Plants, 3 Sánchez, 2014, Temperatures and the growth and development of maize and rice: a review, Glob Change Biol, 20, 408, 10.1111/gcb.12389 Yin, 1996, Differential effects of day and night temperature on development to flowering in rice, Ann Bot (Lond), 77, 203, 10.1006/anbo.1996.0024 Plessis Prasad, 2008, Sensitivity of grain sorghum to high temperature stress during reproductive development, Crop Sci, 48, 1911, 10.2135/cropsci2008.01.0036 Chaves, 2009, Modeling plantain (Musa AAB Simmonds) potential yield, Agron Colomb, 27, 359 Turner, 1983, The growth of banana plants in relation to temperature, Aust J Plant Physiol, 10, 43 Van Der Ploeg, 2005, Influence of sub-optimal temperature on tomato growth and yield: a review, J Hortic Sci Biotechnol, 80, 652, 10.1080/14620316.2005.11511994 Boote, 1998, Chapter 18, 651 Prasad, 2003, Super-optimal temperatures are detrimental to peanut (Arachis hypogaea L.) reproductive processes and yield at both ambient and elevated carbon dioxide, Glob Change Biol, 9, 1775, 10.1046/j.1365-2486.2003.00708.x El-Sharkawy, 1990, Photosynthesis of cassava (Manihot esculenta), Exp Agric, 26, 325, 10.1017/S0014479700018494 El-Sharkawy, 2004, Cassava biology and physiology, Plant Mol Biol, 56, 481, 10.1007/s11103-005-2270-7 Yang, 2018, Effects of different growth temperatures on growth, development, and plastid pigments metabolism of tobacco (Nicotiana tabacum L.) plants, Bot Stud, 59, 5, 10.1186/s40529-018-0221-2 Ryakaczewska, 2013, The impact of high temperature during growing season on potato cultivars with different response to environmental stresses, Am J Plant Sci, 4, 2386, 10.4236/ajps.2013.412295 Feyereisen, 2006, Plant growth component of a simple rye growth model, Trans ASABE, 49, 1569, 10.13031/2013.22031 Tashiro, 1990, The response to high shock and humidity changes prior to and during the early stages of grain development in wheat, Aust J Plant Physiol, 17, 551 Sato, 1971, The development of rice grains under controlled environment ll. The effects of temperature combined with air-humidity and light intensity during ripening on grain development, Tohoku J Agric Res, 1971, 69 Wheeler, 1989, Potato growth in response to relative humidity, HortScience, 24, 482, 10.21273/HORTSCI.24.3.482 Mora, 2017, Global risk of deadly heat, Nat Clim Chang, 7, 501, 10.1038/nclimate3322 Sherwood, 2010, An adaptability limit to climate change due to heat stress, Proc Natl Acad Sci USA, 107, 9552, 10.1073/pnas.0913352107 Steadman, 1979, An assessment of sultriness. Part I: a temperature-humidity index based on human physiology and clothing science, J Appl Meteorol, 18, 861, 10.1175/1520-0450(1979)018<0861:TAOSPI>2.0.CO;2 Li S, Gebremedhin K, Lee CN, Collier RJ. Evaluation of thermal stress indices for cattle. American Society of Agricultural and Biological Engineers Annual International Meeting; Reno, NV; Jun 21–24, 2009 (abstr). Thom, 1959, The discomfort index, Weatherwise, 12, 57, 10.1080/00431672.1959.9926960 Bianca, 1962, Relative importance of dry- and wet-bulb temperatures in causing heat stress in cattle, Nature, 195, 251, 10.1038/195251a0 Berry, 1964, Dairy shelter design: based on milk production decline as affected by temperature and humidity, Trans ASAE, 7, 329, 10.13031/2013.40772 1971 Galán, 2008, A systematic review of non-productivity-related animal-based indicators of heat stress resilience in dairy cattle, PLoS One, 13 Ravagnolo, 2000, Genetic component of heat stress in dairy cattle, development of heat index function, J Dairy Sci, 83, 2120, 10.3168/jds.S0022-0302(00)75094-6 Collier RJ, Zimbelman RB, Rhoads RP, Rhoads ML, Baumgard LH. A re-evaluation of the impact of temperature humidity index (THI) and black globe humidity index (BGHI) on milk production in high producing dairy cows. Western Dairy Management Conference; Reno, NV; March 9–11, 2011. Ouellet, 2019, The relationship between the number of consecutive days with heat stress and milk production of Holstein dairy cows raised in a humid continental climate, J Dairy Sci, 102, 8537, 10.3168/jds.2018-16060 Hammami, 2013, Evaluation of heat stress effects on production traits and somatic cell score of Holsteins in a temperate environment, J Dairy Sci, 96, 1844, 10.3168/jds.2012-5947 Brügemann, 2011, Genetic analyses of protein yield in dairy cows applying random regression models with time-dependent and temperature x humidity-dependent covariates, J Dairy Sci, 94, 4129, 10.3168/jds.2010-4063 St-Pierre, 2003, Economic losses from heat stress by US livestock industries, J Dairy Sci, 86, e52, 10.3168/jds.S0022-0302(03)74040-5 Spänkuch, 2016, Auswirkungen des Klimawandels auf Natur und Gesellschaft in Europa, Sitzungsberichte der Leibniz-Sozietät, 129, 129 Schauberger, 2019, Global warming impact on confined livestock in buildings: efficacy of adaptation measures to reduce heat stress for growing-fattening pigs, Clim Change, 156, 567, 10.1007/s10584-019-02525-3 Marai, 2000, Response of male lambs to concentrate mixtures given with or without natural clay under Egypt conditions, Ann Arid Zone, 39, 449 Mignon-Grasteau, 2015, Robustness to chronic heat stress in laying hens: a meta-analysis, Poult Sci, 94, 586, 10.3382/ps/pev028 Renaudeau, 2012, Adaptation to hot climate and strategies to alleviate heat stress in livestock production, Animal, 6, 707, 10.1017/S1751731111002448 Hansen, 2004, Physiological and cellular adaptations of zebu cattle to thermal stress, Anim Reprod Sci, 82–83, 349, 10.1016/j.anireprosci.2004.04.011 Olson, 2003, Evidence of a major gene influencing hair length and heat tolerance in Bos taurus cattle, J Anim Sci, 81, 80, 10.2527/2003.81180x Dikmen, 2014, The SLICK hair locus derived from Senepol cattle confers thermotolerance to intensively managed lactating Holstein cows, J Dairy Sci, 97, 5508, 10.3168/jds.2014-8087 Mazzi, 2002, Effect of heat exposure on the thermoregulatory responses of selected naked neck chickens, Arq Bras Med Vet Zootec, 54, 35, 10.1590/S0102-09352002000100006 Breau, 2011, Behaviour during elevated water temperatures: can physiology explain movement of juvenile Atlantic salmon to cool water?, J Anim Ecol, 80, 844, 10.1111/j.1365-2656.2011.01828.x Ravaux, 2003, Heat-shock response and temperature resistance in the deep-sea vent shrimp Rimicaris exoculata, J Exp Biol, 206, 2345, 10.1242/jeb.00419 Rijnsdorp, 2009, Resolving the effect of climate change on fish populations, ICES J Mar Sci, 66, 1570, 10.1093/icesjms/fsp056 Islam, 2019, Climate change adaptations of shrimp farmers: a case study from southwest coastal Bangladesh, Clim Dev, 11, 459, 10.1080/17565529.2018.1442807 Lighten, 2016, Adaptive phenotypic response to climate enabled by epigenetics in a K-strategy species, the fish Leucoraja ocellata (Rajidae), R Soc Open Sci, 3, 10.1098/rsos.160299 Allakhverdiev, 2008, Heat stress: an overview of molecular responses in photosynthesis, Photosynth Res, 98, 541, 10.1007/s11120-008-9331-0 Wahid, 2007, Heat tolerance in plants: an overview, Environ Exp Bot, 61, 199, 10.1016/j.envexpbot.2007.05.011 Mathur, 2014, Photosynthesis: response to high temperature stress, J Photochem Photobiol B, 137, 116, 10.1016/j.jphotobiol.2014.01.010 Hatfield, 2015, Temperature extremes: effect on plant growth and development, Weather Clim Extrem, 10, 4, 10.1016/j.wace.2015.08.001 Amani, 1996, Canopy temperature depression associated with yield of irrigated spring wheat cultivars in a hot climate, J Agron Crop Sci, 176, 119, 10.1111/j.1439-037X.1996.tb00454.x Siebert, 2014, Impact of heat stress on crop yield-on the importance of considering canopy temperature, Environ Res Lett, 9, 10.1088/1748-9326/9/4/044012 Lobell, 2008, The role of irrigation expansion in past and future temperature trends, Earth Interact, 12, 1, 10.1175/2007EI241.1 Ottman, 2012, Wheat growth response to increased temperature from varied planting dates and supplemental infrared heating, Agron J, 104, 7, 10.2134/agronj2011.0212 Tubiello, 2002, Effects of climate change on US crop production: simulation results using two different GCM scenarios. Part I: wheat, potato, maize, and citrus, Clim Res, 20, 259, 10.3354/cr020259 Marklein, 2020, Projected temperature increases may require shifts in the growing season of cool-season crops and the growing locations of warm-season crops, Sci Total Environ, 746, 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.140918 Reynolds, 1994, Physiological and morphological traits associated with spring wheat yield under hot, irrigated conditions, Aust J Plant Physiol, 21, 717 Zaveri, 2019, The role of irrigation in changing wheat yields and heat sensitivity in India, Nat Commun, 10, 10.1038/s41467-019-12183-9 2010 Asseng, 2019, Climate change impact and adaptation for wheat protein, Glob Change Biol, 25, 155, 10.1111/gcb.14481 Asseng, 2020, Wheat yield potential in controlled-environment vertical farms, PNAS, 117, 19131, 10.1073/pnas.2002655117 Dillon, 2010, Global metabolic impacts of recent climate warming, Nature, 467, 704, 10.1038/nature09407 Payne, 2017, An alternative explanation for global trends in thermal tolerance, Ecol Lett, 20, 70, 10.1111/ele.12707 Nairn, 2014, The excess heat factor: a metric for heatwave intensity and its use in classifying heatwave severity, Int J Environ Res Public Health, 12, 227, 10.3390/ijerph120100227 Russo, 2015, Top ten European heatwaves since 1950 and their occurrence in the coming decades, Environ Res Lett, 10, 10.1088/1748-9326/10/12/124003 Robine, 2008, Death toll exceeded 70,000 in Europe during the summer of 2003, C R Biol, 331, 171, 10.1016/j.crvi.2007.12.001 Morignat, 2014, Assessment of the impact of the 2003 and 2006 heat waves on cattle mortality in France, PLoS One, 9, 10.1371/journal.pone.0093176 Kornhuber, 2020, Amplified Rossby waves enhance risk of concurrent heatwaves in major breadbasket regions, Nat Clim Chang, 10, 48, 10.1038/s41558-019-0637-z Im, 2017, Deadly heat waves projected in the densely populated agricultural regions of South Asia, Sci Adv, 3, 10.1126/sciadv.1603322 Mao Hildebrand, 1982, 24 Steffen, 2018, Trajectories of the earth system in the anthropocene, Proc Natl Acad Sci USA, 115, 8252, 10.1073/pnas.1810141115 Lenton, 2019, Climate tipping points—too risky to bet against, Nature, 575, 592, 10.1038/d41586-019-03595-0 Martre, 2018, The Hot Serial Cereal Experiment for modeling wheat response to temperature: field experiments and AgMIP-Wheat multi-model simulations, ODjAR, 4, 28, 10.18174/odjar.v4i0.15830