The role of statisticians in international science policy

Environmetrics - Tập 22 Số 7 - Trang 817-825 - 2011
Peter Guttorp1
1Norwegian Computing Center, Oslo, Norway and University of Washington, Seattle, WA, U.S.A.

Tóm tắt

There are precious few statisticians involved in science policy, either nationally or internationally. In this paper I will, in an unusually personal way for a scientific journal, describe some of the possibilities for policy work and the potential impact such work can have. An example is the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. I will also discuss ways that organizations, individuals, and the statistical community as a whole can get involved in policy aspects of research. And policy research is unavoidably political! Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Từ khóa


Tài liệu tham khảo

10.1002/env.866

10.1080/14786449608620846

Charlier CVC, 1901, Kungl Fysiografiska Sällskapets Handl 12

10.1002/env.642

10.1111/j.1467-9868.2007.00633.x

Croll J, 1875, Climate and Time in Their Geological Relations: A Theory of Secular Changes of the Earth's Climate

10.1126/science.189.4204.679

10.1093/biomet/63.3.421

Fourier J‐BJ, 1824, Remarques générales sur les températures du globe terrestre et des espaces planétaires, Annales de Chimie et de Physique, 27, 136

10.1201/9781420072884

10.1306/eg.06070504026

Hayes R, 2006, A Scientist's Guide to Talking with the Media

Huff D, 1954, How To Lie With Statistics

IPCC.2004. 16 Years of Scientific Assessment in Support of the Climate Convention.http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/10th‐anniversary/anniversary‐brochure.pdf.

IPCC, 2007, Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis

10.1002/joc.1981

Lindgren F, 2011, An explicit link between Gaussian fields and Gaussian Markov random fields: the SPDE approach

10.1038/462545a

10.1017/CBO9780511818110

Resource Innovations.2005.The Economic Impacts of Climate Change in Oregon: A Preliminary Assessment University of Oregon Institute for a Sustainable Environment.http://www.uoregon.edu/∼cwch/publicationspress/Consensus_report.pdf.

Smith RL, 1993, Statistics for the Environment, 141

SmithRL GuttorpP SheppardL LumleyT IshikawaN.2001. Comments on the criteria document for particulate matter air pollution.NRCSE Technical Report Series 066.http://www.nrcse.washington.edu/pdf/trs66_pmcd.pdf.

Smith RL, 2010, Statisticians comment on status of climate change science, AmStat News., 393, 13

SOU, 2007, Sverige inför klimatförändringarna: hot och möjligheter

SwitzerP.2002. A review of statistical methods used in time‐series epidemiologic studies of ambient particulate matter and acute health effects.EPA Draft PM Criteria Document.http://www.asl‐associates.com/Images/PaulSwitzercomments.pdf.

SwitzerP.2004. The EPA assessment of epidemiologic studies of ambient particulate matter [August 2004 draft of chapter 9 of the PM criteria document].An Assessment of the EPA Assessment.http://www.asl‐associates.com/Images/Paul_Switzer_Ch9CD.pdf.

10.1038/nature06982

Trewin D, 2002, Message from the President, ISI Newsletter, 26, 1

UN Statistical Commission.2002. Report on the 33rd session (5–8 March 2002).Economic and Social Council Official Records Supplement No. 4. New York: United Nations.http://unstats.un.org/unsd/statcom/doc02/report‐english.pdf[accessed on 4 August 2010].

WeartS.2009. The discovery of global warming.http://www.aip.org/history/climate/. (There is also a shorter print version published in 2008 by Harvard UP). Version created October 2009. [17 March 2010].

Wilk MB, 1968, Probability plotting methods for the analysis of data, Biometrika, 55, 1