The role of spawning stock in formation of recruitment of northeast atlantic cod Gadus morhua

V. M. Borisov1, A. A. Elizarov1, V. D. Nesterov1
1Russian Federal Institute of Marine Fisheries and Oceanography, Moscow, Russia

Tóm tắt

On the basis of statistical treatment of the data for 1946–2003 (correlation analysis and analysis of variance) on the biomass of the spawning stock (SSB) and of the resulting recruitment (R), expressed as abundance of three-year-old fish (N3), of the Northeast Atlantic cod Gadus morhua, the relationship SSB → N3 is revised and the extent of the influence of SSB on the formation of R is assessed. The relationship of SSB → N3 turned out to be significant only at SSB ≤ 250 000 t. The influence of SSB is only 4.3–14.7%, in comparison to the other background factors controlling R. This casts doubt on the adequacy of the so-called precautionary approach in fishery management, popular in international fishery organizations, which is based on efforts to support the spawning stock at a certain level (Bpa) taken as the optimum one.

Từ khóa


Tài liệu tham khảo

Anonymous, “Report of the Atlantic Fisheries Working Group. ICES, CM 2003,” ACFM: 22 (2003). Anonymous, “Report of the Atlantic Fisheries Working Group. ICES, CM 2004,” ACFM: 28 (2004). R. J. H. Beverton and S. J. Holt, “On the Dynamics of Exploited Fish Populations,” Fish. Invest., Ser. 2 19 (U. K. Ministry of Agriculture and Fisheries, London, 1957). V. D. Boitsov, N. I. Lebeds’, V. P. Ponomarenko, et al., Cod of the Barents Sea (Biological-Commercial Survey), 2nd ed. (PINRO, Murmansk, 2003) [in Russian]. M. V. Bondarenko, A. S. Krovnin, and V. P. Serebryakov, Ranking Year Class of Year-Classes and Coefficients of Survival of Year-Classes in Early Ontogenesis of Commercial Fish of the Barents Sea to Determine Biological Reference Points and Assess the Environmental Variation (VNIRO, Moscow, 2003) [in Russian]. V. M. Borisov and A. A. Elizarov, “Long-Term Variations of Biotic and Abiotic Conditions in the Ecosystem of the Barents Sea,” J. Fish. Biol. 35, 139–144 (1989). V. M. Borisov, M. V. Bondarenko, and A. S. Krovnin, “To the Problem of the Stock Management of North-East Atlantic Cod (Gadus morhua),” ICES ACS 02(12) (2001). D. H. Cushing, “Dependence of Recruitment on Parent Stock,” J. Fish. Res. Board Can. 30, 1965–1976 (1973). K. Drinkwater, “The Response of Atlantic Cod (Gadus morhua) to Future Climate Change,” in Proceedings of ICES Symposium on Influence of the Climate Change on North Atlantic Fish Stocks (Bergen, Norway, 2004). D. Garrod, “Population Dynamics of the Arcto-Norwegian Cod,” J. Fish. Res. Board Can. 24(1), 145–190 (1967). O. R. Godø, “Fluctuation in Stock Properties of North-East Atlantic Cod Related to Long-Term Environmental Changes,” Fish Fish. 4, 121–137 (2003). J. A. Gulland, Fish Stock Assessment: A Manual of Basic Methods (Wiley, New York, 1983). R. Hilborn and C. J. Walters, Quantitative Fisheries Stock Assessment: Choice, Dynamics and Uncertainty (Chapman and Hall, New York, London, 1992; St. Petersburg, 2001). D. V. Hoyt and K. H. Schatten, The Role of the Sun in Climate Change (Oxford Univ. Press, New York, 1997). G. K. Izhevskii, Oceanological Foundations of Formation of the Commercial Productivity of Seas (Pishchepromizdat, Moscow, 1961) [in Russian]. T. Jakobsen, “Biological Reference Points for North-East Atlantic Cod and Haddock,” ICES J. Mar. Sci. 49, 155–166 (1992). A. S. Krovnin, N. V. Klovach, V. M. Borisov, et al., “Large-Scale Fluctuations of Stock of Marine Commercial Organizms,” Rybn. Khoz., No. 4, 20–23 (2003). C. T. Marshall, O. Kjesbu, N. Yaragina, et al., “Is Spawner Biomass a Sensitive Measure of the Reproductive and Recruitment Potentials of Northeast Atlantic Cod?,” Can. J. Fish. and Aquat. Sci. 55, 1766–1783 (1998). K. Michalsen, O. R. Godø, and V. Thorsteinsson, “Behaviour of Atlantic Cod (Gadus morhua L.) at Thermal Fronts,” in Proceedings of ICES Symposium on Influence of the Climate Change on North Atlantic Fish Stocks (Bergen, Norway, 2004). G. V. Nikolsky, The Theory of Dynamics of Fish School (Pishch. Prom-sts’, Moscow, 1974) [in Russian]. W. E. Ricker, “Stock and Recruitment,” J. Fish. Res. Board Can. 11, 559–623 (1954). G. Saetersdal and H. Loeng, “Ecological Adaptation of Reproduction in Northeast Atlantic Cod,” Fish. Res. 5, 253–270 (1987). S. Skreslet, A. Borja, L. Bugliaro, et al., “Some Roles of Climate in the Population Ecology of Calanus finmarchicus (Copepoda) in Mid-Norwegian Shelf Waters and in the Year-Class Formation of NE Atlantic Cod (Gadus morhua),” in Proceedings of ICES Symposium on the Influence of the Climate Change on North Atlantic Fish Stocks (Bergen, Norway, 2004). K. Sunana, “Climate Effects on Fish Stocks Illustrated by the Influence of Incoming Solar Energy Available for Photosynthesis and Ambient Temperature,” in Proceedings of ICES Symposium on the Influence of the Climate Change on North Atlantic Fish Stocks (Bergen, Norway, 2004). S. Sundby and O. Nakken, “Spawning Habitats of Arcto-Norwegian Cod and Climate Change,” in Proceedings of ICES Symposium on Influence of the Climate Change on North Atlantic Fish Stocks (Bergen, Norway, 2004). A. G. Trofimov, V. A. Ivshin, and N. V. Mukhina, “The Effect of Circulation and Vertical Structure on Abundance of the Barents Sea Cod (Gadus morhua L.) Year-Classes in Early Ontogeny,” in Proceedings of ICES Symposium on Influence of the Climate Change on North Atlantic Fish Stocks (Bergen, Norway, 2004). O. Ultang, “Stock Assessment and Biological Knowledge: Can Prediction Uncertainty Be Reduced?,” ICES J. Mar. Sci. 53, 659–675 (1996).