The factor content of north-south trade in manufactures reconsidered
Tóm tắt
Nochmals zum Faktorgehalt des Nord-Süd-Handels mit Industrieprodukten. — In den konventionellen Berechnungen des Faktorgehalts der international gehandelten Güter werden die Wirkungen, die der Nord-Süd-Handel mit Industriegütern auf die Struktur der Nachfrage nach heimischen Produktionsfaktoren ausübt, erheblich unterschÄtzt. In diesem Artikel wird eine modifizierte Methode entwickelt, die mehr als sonst üblich nicht-konkurrierende Importe einbezieht. Danach ist die positive Ansto\wirkung des Handels auf die relative Nachfrage nach ungelernten ArbeitskrÄften im Süden ungefÄhr sechsmal, die negative Ansto\wirkung im Norden ungefÄhr zehnmal grö\er, als konventionelle Berechnungen ergeben. Dieser Befund könnte bedeutende Folgerungen für andere ökonomische Forschungsgebiete und für die Wirtschaftspolitik haben. Le facteur-contenu du commerce Nord-Sud des produits industriels — une reconsidération. — Les calculations conventionnelles du facteur-contenu du commerce international sous-estiment largement les effets du commerce Nord-Sud des produits industriels sur la demande de facteurs intérieurs de la production. Pour le facteur-contenu, on a développé une méthode modifiée qui se concentre aux importations non-compétitives. Cette méthode propose que l'effet sur la demande relative de main-d'∄uvre non-qualifiée est au Sud environ six fois, au Nord environ dix fois plus grand que les calculations conventionnelles indiquent. De ce résultat on peut tirer des conclusions importantes pour d'autres recherches économiques et pour la politique. Una reconsideration del contenido de factores del comercio en manufacturas Norte-Sur. — Las calculaciones convencionales del contenido de factores del comercio subestiman bastante los efectos del comercio Norte-Sur en manufacturas sobre la composición de la demanda de factores de producción domésticos. Se desarrolla un método modificado que se concentra en las importaciones no competitivas. Este método sugiere que el impacto sobre la demanda relativa de la mano de obra no calificada es seis veces más grande en el Sur que lo que las calculaciones convencionales indican y alrededor de diez veces más grande en el Norte. Este resultado podria tener importantes implicaciones para otros campos de la ciencia económica y para la política.
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