The Slowdown in China’s Carbon Emissions Growth in the New Phase of Economic Development

One Earth - Tập 1 Số 2 - Trang 240-253 - 2019
Jiali Zheng1,2,3, Zhifu Mi3, D’Maris Coffman3, Yuli Shan4, Dabo Guan5, Shouyang Wang1,2
1Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China
2School of Economics and Management, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China
3The Bartlett School of Construction and Project Management, University College London, London, WC1E 7HB, UK
4Energy and Sustainability Research Institute Groningen, University of Groningen, Groningen 9747 AG, the Netherlands
5Department of Earth System Science, Ministry of Education Key Laboratory for Earth System Modeling, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China

Tóm tắt

Từ khóa


Tài liệu tham khảo

Stern, N., Peters, S., Bakhshi, V., Bowen, A., Cameron, C., Catovsky, S., Crane, D., Cruickshank, S., Dietz, S. & Edmonson, N. (2006). Stern Review: The economics of climate change. HM treasury London.

Davis, 2014, Commitment accounting of CO2 emissions, Environ. Res. Lett., 9, 084018, 10.1088/1748-9326/9/8/084018

Mi, 2015, Potential impacts of industrial structure on energy consumption and CO2 emission: a case study of Beijing, J. Clean. Prod., 103, 455, 10.1016/j.jclepro.2014.06.011

Zhang, 2016, The CO2 emission efficiency, reduction potential and spatial clustering in China’s industry: Evidence from the regional level, Appl. Energy, 174, 213, 10.1016/j.apenergy.2016.04.109

Zhang, 2017, Can environmental innovation facilitate carbon emissions reduction? Evidence from China, Energy Policy, 100, 18, 10.1016/j.enpol.2016.10.005

Wei, 2015, Climate policy modeling: an online SCI-E and SSCI based literature review, Omega, 57, 70, 10.1016/j.omega.2014.10.011

Davis, 2013, Rethinking wedges, Environ. Res. Lett., 8, 011001, 10.1088/1748-9326/8/1/011001

Duan, 2018, Achieving China’s energy and climate policy targets in 2030 under multiple uncertainties, Energy Econ., 70, 45, 10.1016/j.eneco.2017.12.022

Shan, 2018, China CO2 emission accounts 1997-2015, Sci. Data, 5, 170201, 10.1038/sdata.2017.201

Guan, 2018, Structural decline in China’s CO2 emissions through transitions in industry and energy systems, Nat. Geosci., 11, 551, 10.1038/s41561-018-0161-1

Green, 2017, China’s changing economy: implications for its carbon dioxide emissions, Clim. Policy, 17, 423, 10.1080/14693062.2016.1156515

Green, 2015

Grubb, 2015, A review of Chinese CO2 emission projections to 2030: the role of economic structure and policy, Clim. Policy, 15, S7, 10.1080/14693062.2015.1101307

Yu, 2018, China can peak its energy-related carbon emissions before 2025: Evidence from industry restructuring, Energy Econ., 73, 91, 10.1016/j.eneco.2018.05.012

Shi, 2018, Environmental regulation and firm exports: Evidence from the eleventh Five-Year Plan in China, J. Environ. Econ. Manage., 89, 187, 10.1016/j.jeem.2018.03.003

Auffhammer, 2008, Forecasting the path of China’s CO2 emissions using province-level information, J. Environ. Econ. Manage., 55, 229, 10.1016/j.jeem.2007.10.002

He, 2014, An analysis of China’s CO2 emission peaking target and pathways, Adv. Clim. Chang. Res., 5, 155, 10.1016/j.accre.2015.04.002

Dietzenbacher, 2012, Trade, production fragmentation, and China’s carbon dioxide emissions, J. Environ. Econ. Manage., 64, 88, 10.1016/j.jeem.2011.12.003

Corbera, 2015, Carbon offsets: Accommodation or resistance?, Environ. Plann. A, 47, 2023, 10.1177/0308518X15611666

Lovell, 2009, Carbon offsetting: sustaining consumption?, Environ. Plann. A, 41, 2357, 10.1068/a40345

Zhang, 2009, Structural decomposition analysis of sources of decarbonizing economic development in China; 1992-2006, Ecol. Econ., 68, 2399, 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2009.03.014

Fan, 2007, Changes in carbon intensity in China: empirical findings from 1980-2003, Ecol. Econ., 62, 683, 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2006.08.016

Guan, 2008, The drivers of Chinese CO2 emissions from 1980 to 2030, Glob. Environ. Change, 18, 626, 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2008.08.001

Peters, 2007

Jorgenson, 2014, Economic development and the carbon intensity of human well-being, Nat. Clim. Chang., 4, 186, 10.1038/nclimate2110

Fritz, 2016, Economic development and prosperity patterns around the world: Structural challenges for a global steady-state economy, Glob. Environ. Change, 38, 41, 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.02.007

Mi, 2017, Pattern changes in determinants of Chinese emissions, Environ. Res. Lett., 12, 074003, 10.1088/1748-9326/aa69cf

Su, 2012, Structural decomposition analysis applied to energy and emissions: aggregation issues, Econ. Syst. Res., 24, 299, 10.1080/09535314.2012.677997

Chen, 2018

Gao, 2017

Minx, 2011, A “carbonizing dragon”: China’s fast growing CO2 emissions revisited, Environ. Sci. Technol., 45, 9144, 10.1021/es201497m

Guan, 2009, Journey to world top emitter: An analysis of the driving forces of China’s recent CO2 emissions surge, Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, 10.1029/2008GL036540

Xiao, 2016, The driving forces of changes in CO2 emissions in China: A structural decomposition analysis, Energies, 9, 259, 10.3390/en9040259

Chang, 2016, Changes in China’s production-source CO2 emissions: insights from structural decomposition analysis and linkage analysis, Econ. Syst. Res., 28, 224, 10.1080/09535314.2016.1172476

Su, 2016, China’s carbon emissions embodied in (normal and processing) exports and their driving forces, 2006–2012, Energy Econ., 59, 414, 10.1016/j.eneco.2016.09.006

Wang, 2017, Assessing drivers of economy-wide energy use and emissions: IDA versus SDA, Energy Policy, 107, 585, 10.1016/j.enpol.2017.05.034

Yan, 2018, Multiplicative structural decomposition and attribution analysis of carbon emission intensity in China, 2002–2012, J. Clean. Prod., 198, 195, 10.1016/j.jclepro.2018.07.003

Zi, 2016, CO2 emissions and urbanization correlation in China based on threshold analysis, Ecol. Indic., 61, 193, 10.1016/j.ecolind.2015.09.013

Chen, 2015, A spatio-temporal decomposition analysis of energy-related CO2 emission growth in China, J. Clean. Prod., 103, 49, 10.1016/j.jclepro.2014.09.025

Ang, 2004, Decomposition analysis for policymaking in energy:: which is the preferred method?, Energy Policy, 32, 1131, 10.1016/S0301-4215(03)00076-4

Su, 2012, Structural decomposition analysis applied to energy and emissions: some methodological developments, Energy Econ., 34, 177, 10.1016/j.eneco.2011.10.009

Liu, 2016, Targeted opportunities to address the climate-trade dilemma in China, Nat. Clim. Chang., 6, 201, 10.1038/nclimate2800

Feng, 2015, Drivers of the US CO2 emissions 1997-2013, Nat. Commun., 6, 7714, 10.1038/ncomms8714

Rose, 1996, Input–output structural decomposition analysis: a critical appraisal, Econ. Syst. Res., 8, 33, 10.1080/09535319600000003

Leontief, W. (1972). Air pollution and the economic structure: empirical results of input-output computations. Input-output techniques.

Pei, 2011, Accounting for China’s import growth: A structural decomposition for 1997–2005, Environ. Plann. A, 43, 2971, 10.1068/a43396

Chen, 2015, Structural decomposition analyses: the differences between applying the semi-closed and the open input–output model, Environment and Planning A: Economy and Space, 47, 1713, 10.1177/0308518X15597101

Malik, 2016, Trends in global greenhouse gas emissions from 1990 to 2010, Environ. Sci. Technol., 50, 4722, 10.1021/acs.est.5b06162

Arto, 2014, Drivers of the growth in global greenhouse gas emissions, Environ. Sci. Technol., 48, 5388, 10.1021/es5005347

Xu, 2014, A structural decomposition analysis of the emissions embodied in trade, Ecol. Econ., 101, 10, 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2014.02.015

Leontief, 1936, Quantitative input and output relations in the economic systems of the United States, Rev. Econ. Stat., 18, 105, 10.2307/1927837

Yan, 2016, Sensitivity analysis of technology and supply change for CO2 emission intensity of energy-intensive industries based on input-output model, Appl. Energy, 171, 456, 10.1016/j.apenergy.2016.03.081

Su, 2014, Input-output analysis of CO2 emissions embodied in trade: a multi-region model for China, Appl. Energy, 114, 377, 10.1016/j.apenergy.2013.09.036

Mi, 2018, A multi-regional input-output table mapping China’s economic outputs and interdependencies in 2012, Sci. Data, 5, 180155, 10.1038/sdata.2018.155

Cellura, 2013, An Italian input-output model for the assessment of energy and environmental benefits arising from retrofit actions of buildings, Energy Build., 62, 97, 10.1016/j.enbuild.2013.02.056

Yuan, 2010, The impact on chinese economic growth and energy consumption of the Global Financial Crisis: An input-output analysis, Energy, 35, 1805, 10.1016/j.energy.2009.12.035

Wiedmann, 2015, The material footprint of nations, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 112, 6271, 10.1073/pnas.1220362110

Weinzettel, 2013, Affluence drives the global displacement of land use, Glob. Environ. Change, 23, 433, 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2012.12.010

Yu, 2010, Assessing regional and global water footprints for the UK, Ecol. Econ., 69, 1140, 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2009.12.008

Yang, 2016, Ecological network analysis of embodied particulate matter 2.5–A case study of Beijing, Appl. Energy, 184, 882, 10.1016/j.apenergy.2016.04.087

Tian, 2014, China’s carbon footprint: a regional perspective on the effect of transitions in consumption and production patterns, Appl. Energy, 123, 19, 10.1016/j.apenergy.2014.02.016

Lenzen, 2012, International trade drives biodiversity threats in developing nations, Nature, 486, 109, 10.1038/nature11145

Mi, 2017, Socioeconomic impact assessment of China’s CO2 emissions peak prior to 2030, J. Clean. Prod., 142, 2227, 10.1016/j.jclepro.2016.11.055

Meng, 2015, Tracing Primary PM2.5 emissions via Chinese supply chains, Environ. Res. Lett., 10, 054005, 10.1088/1748-9326/10/5/054005

Turner, 2011, Incorporating jurisdiction issues into regional carbon accounts under production and consumption accounting principles, Environ. Plann. A, 43, 722, 10.1068/a43234

Zhang, 2017, The indirect energy consumption and CO2 emission caused by household consumption in China: an analysis based on the input-output method, J. Clean. Prod., 163, 69, 10.1016/j.jclepro.2015.08.044

Peters, 2008, From production-based to consumption-based national emission inventories, Ecol. Econ., 65, 13, 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2007.10.014

Su, 2013, Input–output analysis of CO2 emissions embodied in trade: competitive versus non-competitive imports, Energy Policy, 56, 83, 10.1016/j.enpol.2013.01.041

Dietzenbacher, 1998, Structural decomposition techniques: sense and sensitivity, Econ. Syst. Res., 10, 307, 10.1080/09535319800000023

Hoekstra, 2002, Structural decomposition analysis of physical flows in the economy, Environ. Resour. Econ., 23, 357, 10.1023/A:1021234216845

Mi, 2019, Carbon emissions of cities from a consumption-based perspective, Appl. Energy, 235, 509, 10.1016/j.apenergy.2018.10.137

Shan, 2016, New provincial CO2 emission inventories in China based on apparent energy consumption data and updated emission factors, Appl. Energy, 184, 742, 10.1016/j.apenergy.2016.03.073

Liang, 2017, Developing the Chinese Environmentally Extended Input-Output (CEEIO) Database, J. Ind. Ecol., 21, 953, 10.1111/jiec.12477

Peters, G., Weber, C. & Liu, J. (2006). Construction of Chinese energy and emissions inventory.

Liu, 2015, Reduced carbon emission estimates from fossil fuel combustion and cement production in China, Nature, 524, 335, 10.1038/nature14677

Wang, 2017, Mapping urban CO2 emissions using DMSP/OLS ‘city lights’ satellite data in China, Environment and Planning A. Economy and Space., 49, 248, 10.1177/0308518X16656374