The SO2 pollution in Madrid
Tóm tắt
In this work, two different stochastic models will be considered, both oriented to the real-time forecast of daily SO2 pollution in Madrid. The first one is a «black-box» model, in which the input-output transfer function is identified by means of the methodology given by Box and Jenkins. The second one is a «grey-box» model with a simple reasonable structure in accordance with the physical laws of the phenomena. Moreover, its parameters can assume different values according to the different meteorological synoptic classes defined in part I. The comparison between the performance of the two models shows that the second one is more effective in predicting the critical pollution values.
Tài liệu tham khảo
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