The Marine Hindcast and Forecast System for Diagnosis and Prediction of Hydrometeorological Characteristics of the Caspian Sea and Forecast Verification Based on Field Measurements
Tóm tắt
The possibility of using the Marine Hindcast
and Forecast System (MHFS) developed at Zubov State Oceanographic
Institute for short-term forecasting of hydrometeorological and ice
characteristics of the Caspian Sea is demonstrated. The presented
implementation of the system is based on the regional nonhydrostatic
atmospheric model WRF (Weather Research and Forecast Model) and model of
marine circulation INMOM (Institute of Numerical Mathematics Ocean
Model). The system performance is assessed for the period from January 1
to March 31, 2017 by comparing the forecasts of hydrometeorological
characteristics with observational data from hydrometeorological
stations. The quality of reproducing sea ice characteristics based on
ESIMO objective data is also evaluated.
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