Thailand’s net-zero emissions by 2050: analysis of economy-wide impacts
Tóm tắt
Từ khóa
Tài liệu tham khảo
ADB (2013) Prospects for carbon capture and storage in Southeast Asia Mandaluyong City, Philippines, A. D. Bank. https://www.adb.org/sites/default/files/publication/31122/carbon-capture-storage-southeast-asia.pdf
Bahadur Pradhan B, Limmeechokchai B, Chunark P, Chaichaloempreecha A, Rajbhandari S, Pita P (2022) Energy system transformation for attainability of net zero emissions in Thailand. Int J Sustain Energy Plan Manag 35:27–44
Bauer N, Rose SK, Fujimori S, van Vuuren DP, Weyant J, Wise M, Cui Y, Daioglou V, Gidden MJ, Kato E, Kitous A, Leblanc F, Sands R, Sano F, Strefler J, Tsutsui J, Bibas R, Fricko O, Hasegawa T, Klein D, Kurosawa A, Mima S, Muratori M (2020) Global energy sector emission reductions and bioenergy use: overview of the bioenergy demand phase of the EMF-33 model comparison. Clim Change 163(3):1553–1568
Benavente G, Miguel J (2016) Impact of a carbon tax on the Chilean economy: a computable general equilibrium analysis. Energy Econ 57:106–127
Böhringer C, Rutherford TF (1997) Carbon taxes with exemptions in an open economy: a general equilibrium analysis of the German tax initiative. J Environ Econ Manag 32(2):189–203
Boonpanya T, Masui T (2020) Assessment of Thailand socio-economic impact towards greenhouse gas mitigation actions in 2030 using a computable general equilibrium model. Chem Eng Trans 78:289–294
Boonpanya T, Masui T (2021a) Assessing the economic and environmental impact of freight transport sectors in Thailand using computable general equilibrium model. J Clean Prod 280:124271
Boonpanya T, Masui T (2021b) Decarbonizing Thailand: a socio-economic impact study of peak emissions before 2050. Thai Environ Eng J 35(1):23–30
Chaichaloempreecha A, Chunark P, Hanaoka T, Limmeechokchai B (2022) Thailand’s mid-century greenhouse gas emission pathways to achieve the 2 degrees Celsius target. Energy Sustain Soc 12(1):22
Dai H, Masui T (2017) Achieving carbon emissions peak in China by 2030: the key options and economic impacts. In: Fujimori S, Kainuma M, Masui T (eds) Post-2020 climate action: global and Asian perspectives. Springer, Singapore, pp 77–111
Dai H, Xie Y, Liu J, Masui T (2018) Aligning renewable energy targets with carbon emissions trading to achieve China’s INDCs: a general equilibrium assessment. Renew Sustain Energy Rev 82:4121–4131
DEDE (2021) Thailand energy balance. Thailand Energy Commodity Account 2563. Retrieved 5/19/2021, 2021, from https://www.dede.go.th/ewt_news.php?nid=47341
Dong H, Dai H, Geng Y, Fujita T, Liu Z, Xie Y, Wu R, Fujii M, Masui T, Tang L (2017) Exploring impact of carbon tax on China’s CO2 reductions and provincial disparities. Renew Sustain Energy Rev 77:596–603
ECN (2016) ASEAN in a climate of change, spotlight on sustainable energy in Malaysia, Thailand and Vietnam, T. E. C. Network. http://ftp01.economist.com.hk/ECN_papers/SustainableEnergy
ERIA (2021) Study on the potential for the promotion of carbon dioxide capture, utilisation, and storage in ASEAN countries: current situation and future perspectives. E. R. I. f. A. a. E. Asia, Jakarta. https://www.eria.org/uploads/media/Research-Project-Report/RPR-2020-21/Study-on-the-Potential-for-the-Promotion-of-Carbon-Dioxide_rev.pdf
Fujimori S, Masui T, Matsuoka Y (2012) AIM/CGE 7.0 manual. a. K. U. National Institute for Environmental Studies, Japan
Hanaoka T, Masui T, Matsuoka Y, Hibino G, Fujiwara K, Motoki Y, Oshiro K (2015) AIM enduse model manual. Tsukuba, Japan. https://www-iam.nies.go.jp/aim/
IEA (2021) Net zero by 2050: a roadmap for the global energy sector. I.E. Agency, Paris
Kainuma M, Fujimori S, Masui T (2017) Introduction: overview and key messages. In: Fujimori S, Kainuma M, Masui T (eds) Post-2020 climate action: global and Asian perspectives. Springer, Singapore, pp 1–9
Khanunthong A (2021) Industry outlook 2021–2023: biodiesel. Retrieved 8 December 2022, from https://www.krungsri.com/getmedia/61faa668-cd22-4f7c-a923-11f60562864f/IO_Biodiesel_210520_EN_EX.pdf.aspx
Li W, Jia Z, Zhang H (2017) The impact of electric vehicles and CCS in the context of emission trading scheme in China: a CGE-based analysis. Energy 119:800–816
Limmeechokchai B, Rajbhandari S, Pradhan BB, Chunark P, Chaichaloempreecha A, Fujimori S, Oshiro K, Ochi Y (2023) Scaling up climate ambition post-2030: a long-term GHG mitigation analysis for Thailand. Clim Policy 23(2):168–183
Malahayati M, Masui T (2021) Potential impact of introducing emission mitigation policies in Indonesia: how much will Indonesia have to spend? Mitig Adapt Strat Glob Change 26(8):37
MNRE (2021) Mid-century, long-term low greenhouse gas emission development strategy of Thailand. Submittted under the Paris Agreement. M. o. N. R. a. Environment, Thailand. https://unfccc.int/sites/default/files/resource/Thailand_LTS1.pdf
MNRE (2022) Thailand’s long-term low greenhouse gas emission development strategy (revised version). M. o. N. R. a. E. Office of Natural Resources and Environmental Policy and Planning, Bangkok. https://unfccc.int/sites/default/files/resource/Thailand%20LT-LEDS%20%28Revised%20Version%29_08Nov2022.pdf
MOE (2020a) Energy efficiency plan 2018–2037 (EEP2018). M. o. E. Department of Alternative Energy Development and Efficiency, Bangkok. https://www.dede.go.th/ewt_w3c/ewt_dl_link.php?filename=index&nid=54495
MOE (2020b) Thailand power development plan 2561–2580 revision 1 (PDP2018). Energy Policy and Planning Office (EPPO), Ministry of Energy, Bangkok
NESDC (2019) Report of the population projections for Thailand 2010–2040 (Revision). O. o. t. N. E. a. S. D. Council, Bangkok
NESDC (2020) Thailand social's outlook of Q4/2020. O. o. t. N. E. a. S. D. Council, Bangkok. https://www.nesdc.go.th/nesdb_en/ewt_dl_link.php?nid=4450&filename=social_dev_report
NESDC (2021) Input–output tables (I–O tables). Office of the National Economic and Social Development Council, Bangkok
NSO (2020) Statistical year book of Thailand 2020. M. o. D. E. a. S. National Statistical Office, Bangkok. http://service.nso.go.th/nso/nsopublish/pubs/e-book/SYB-2563/files/assets/basic-html/index.html#1.
ONEP (2018) Thailand's third national communication. Thailand Submitted to United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, Office of Natural Resources and Environmental Policy and Planning, Ministry of Natural Resources and Environment
ONEP (2020) Thailand third biennial update report. Office of Natural Resources and Environmental Policy and Planning, Bangkok
ONEP (2022) Thailand’s second updated nationally determined contribution. M. o. N. R. a. E. Office of Natural Resources and Environmental Policy and Planning. https://unfccc.int/sites/default/files/NDC/2022-11/Thailand%202nd%20Updated%20NDC.pdf
Paltsev S, Reilly JM, Jacoby HD, Eckaus RS, McFarland J, Sarofim M, Asadoorian M, Babiker M (2005) The MIT emissions prediction and policy analysis (EPPA) model: version 4. https://globalchange.mit.edu/publication/14578
Rajbhandari S, Limmeechokchai B (2021) Assessment of greenhouse gas mitigation pathways for Thailand towards achievement of the 2 °C and 1.5 °C Paris agreement targets. Clim Policy 21(4):492–513
Rajbhandari S, Limmeechokchai B, Masui T (2019) The impact of different GHG reduction scenarios on the economy and social welfare of Thailand using a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model. Energy Sustain Soc 9(1):19
Riahi K, van Vuuren DP, Kriegler E, Edmonds J, O’Neill BC, Fujimori S, Bauer N, Calvin K, Dellink R, Fricko O, Lutz W, Popp A, Cuaresma JC, Kc S, Leimbach M, Jiang L, Kram T, Rao S, Emmerling J, Ebi K, Hasegawa T, Havlik P, Humpenöder F, Da Silva LA, Smith S, Stehfest E, Bosetti V, Eom J, Gernaat D, Masui T, Rogelj J, Strefler J, Drouet L, Krey V, Luderer G, Harmsen M, Takahashi K, Baumstark L, Doelman JC, Kainuma M, Klimont Z, Marangoni G, Lotze-Campen H, Obersteiner M, Tabeau A, Tavoni M (2017) The shared socioeconomic pathways and their energy, land use, and greenhouse gas emissions implications: an overview. Glob Environ Change 42:153–168
Rogelj J, Reisinger A, McCollum DL, Knutti R, Riahi K, Meinshausen M (2015) Mitigation choices impact carbon budget size compatible with low temperature goals. Environ Res Lett 10(7):075003
Rogelj J, Shindell D, Jiang K, Fifita S, Forster P, Ginzburg V, Handa C, Kheshgi H, Kobayashi S, Kriegler E, Mundaca L, Séférian R, Vilariño MV (2018) Mitigation pathways compatible with 1.5 °C in the context of sustainable development. In: Masson-Delmotte V, Zhai P, Pörtner H-O, Roberts D, Skea J, Shukla PR, Pirani A, Moufouma-Okia W, Péan C, Pidcock R, Connors S, Matthews JBR, Chen Y, Zhou X, Gomis MI, Lonnoy E, Maycock T, Tignor M, Waterfield T (eds) Global warming of 1.5 °C. An IPCC special report on the impacts of global warming of 1.5 °C above pre-industrial levels and related global greenhouse gas emission pathways, in the context of strengthening the global response to the threat of climate change, sustainable development, and efforts to eradicate poverty. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK and New York, NY, USA, pp 1–82
Rutherford TF (1999) Applied general equilibrium modeling with MPSGE as a GAMS subsystem: an overview of the modeling framework and syntax. Comput Econ 14(1):1–46
Sandu S, Yang M, Mahlia TM, Wongsapai W, Ong HC, Putra N, Rahman SMA (2019) Energy-related CO2 emissions growth in ASEAN countries: trends, drivers and policy implications. Energies 12(24):4650
USDA (2022) Thailand: biofuels annual. U. S. D. o. A. Foreign Agricultural Service, Global Agricultural Information Network (GAIN), Bangkok. https://www.fas.usda.gov/data/thailand-biofuels-annual-6
Wang P, Dai H-C, Ren S-Y, Zhao D-Q, Masui T (2015) Achieving Copenhagen target through carbon emission trading: economic impacts assessment in Guangdong Province of China. Energy 79:212–227
World Bank (2020) Thailand overview. Retrieved 5/19/2021, 2021, from https://www.worldbank.org/en/country/thailand/overview